How We’re Positioning the Model Portfolio for the Midterm Election and 2027

April 29, 2026Addison Wiggin

How We’re Positioning the Model Portfolio for the Midterm Election and 2027

How We’re Positioning the Model Portfolio for the Midterm Election and 2027
How We're Positioning the Model Portfolio for the Midterm Election and 2027
Debts and deficits will eventually cause a crisis. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s effort to help bail out the Japanese Yen this week is entirely motivated by self-preservation. The contagion signal flashing in Japanese bonds since late ‘25 is infecting the BOJ, which may be forced to sell U.S. Treasurys to stabilize its own currency.

The copper price is no doubt benefiting from inflation driven by money printing. But the doc don’t lie. Copper’s new all-time highs, while gold and silver still languish, are a sign the AI growth story is also that of the global economy itself.

Many miners were profitable with gold around $2,000 and silver near $50. At sustained prices closer to $4,000 gold and $60 silver, the arithmetic changes dramatically.

BREAKING NEWS

Legacy of the Grey Swan, The Middle Years, Part II

Behind every successful investment thesis is a healthy dose of skepticism and a willingness to ask uncomfortable questions.


Nuclear Renaissance

The AI rollout needs energy. And nuclear’s ability to offer clean, cheap, abundant power makes it a complete no-brainer.


Another Bubbly Sign Hits the Markets
Another Bubbly Sign Hits the Markets

July 22, 2026Addison Wiggin

As Wall Street waits on Alphabet’s earnings, one valuation metric is flashing a warning that echoes the excesses of the dot-com era…

Better Than Tech Stocks
Better Than Tech Stocks

July 21, 2026Andrew Packer

There are plenty of ways to trade stocks. But some of the best investment opportunities today include income-producing energy plays…

Gold As Money
Gold As Money

July 20, 2026Addison Wiggin

Paper money always looks permanent — right up until it isn’t. When confidence in it fades, gold has a habit of becoming interesting again…

Denial Before The Act

July 17, 2026Addison Wiggin

Without Trump, America would still have partisan fights over voting rules. Last night, he became the first to brand it with his name…


The Market Gets Marginally Riskier By the Day

July 16, 2026Addison Wiggin

A modest pullback in margin debt can force selling, and forced selling has a nasty habit of turning a manageable decline into a trapdoor…


Gas Prices Douse Inflation Fears

July 15, 2026Addison Wiggin

Market rotation has been fueled by hopes for lower borrowing costs, a resilient domestic economy… and easing inflation.

Bank Earnings and Where To Invest
Bank Earnings and Where To Invest

July 14, 2026Addison Wiggin

A disciplined insurer with strong reserves, conservative investments and sober risk management can become a quiet compounder in any market…

🤖 The Age of Intelligence?
🤖 The Age of Intelligence?

July 13, 2026Addison Wiggin

The AI boom rages on. But the second half of 2026 could reveal whether this is a technological revolution or the start of a costly reckoning.

The Government Ruins Everything It Touches, Health Care Edition
The Government Ruins Everything It Touches, Health Care Edition

July 13, 2026Addison Wiggin

A soaring administrative state is exactly what happens as a result of government regulations going into overdrive…

1998 Redux: Why We’re Entering the Start of a Lost Decade
1998 Redux: Why We’re Entering the Start of a Lost Decade

July 10, 2026Andrew Packer

This year’s market action feels like 1998. The tech drumbeat marches on. However, the market structure is turning against investors…

From the creators of The Daily Reckoning, I.O.U.S.A, Empire of Debt and The Daily Missive

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