How We’re Positioning the Model Portfolio for the Midterm Election and 2027

April 29, 2026Addison Wiggin

How We’re Positioning the Model Portfolio for the Midterm Election and 2027

How We’re Positioning the Model Portfolio for the Midterm Election and 2027
How We're Positioning the Model Portfolio for the Midterm Election and 2027
The Treasury market is loaded with short sellers, and Scott Bessent may be preparing to turn that crowded trade against them...

A growing share of fund managers now believe gold is undervalued, signaling a sharp shift toward hard assets.

The bond market matters regardless of what’s happening in the stock market. And that's why traders are reaching for non-government money.

BREAKING NEWS

Market Crash Insurance Is Cheap

A low VIX does not predict disaster. It measures complacency. A serial skeptic will read it as the calm before a storm. We shook off that feeling this morning and opted to pursue an opportunity instead.

Here goes:

A VIX reading below 15 means the market is not pricing in much near-term trouble, even though there are obvious risks still sitting in the room: Iran, oil prices, memory chip speculation, circular financing, high valuations, epic high concentrations, spiking long-term interest rates, a regime change at the Fed, a meltdown in Japan and a historic deficit and rising national debt.


The Energy Boom, Powering Up
The Energy Boom, Powering Up

August 11, 2026Addison Wiggin

AI may arrive on the screen as software, but it lands in the world as a load. The International Energy Agency (IEA) expects data-center electricity demand to roughly double by 2030, growing several times faster than the rest of the power market.

The grid was not built for that kind of appetite, certainly not on the timetable now being demanded by Google, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft and the rest of the hyperscaler parade.

Energy’s 15-Year Breakout
Energy’s 15-Year Breakout

August 10, 2026Addison Wiggin

Instead of chasing the obvious oil producers, look at refiners and oil services companies profiting more directly from tight fuel supplies and strong margins.

One Sign that Government Spending Is At a Crisis Point
One Sign that Government Spending Is At a Crisis Point

August 7, 2026Addison Wiggin

Debts and deficits will eventually cause a crisis. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s effort to help bail out the Japanese Yen this week is entirely motivated by self-preservation. The contagion signal flashing in Japanese bonds since late ‘25 is infecting the BOJ, which may be forced to sell U.S. Treasurys to stabilize its own currency.

“Doc” Copper Tests Positive for Testosterone

August 6, 2026Addison Wiggin

The copper price is no doubt benefiting from inflation driven by money printing. But the doc don’t lie. Copper’s new all-time highs, while gold and silver still languish, are a sign the AI growth story is also that of the global economy itself.


Gold Mining Stocks Still Big Winners Amid the Price Pause

August 5, 2026Addison Wiggin

Many miners were profitable with gold around $2,000 and silver near $50. At sustained prices closer to $4,000 gold and $60 silver, the arithmetic changes dramatically.


The “Yentervention” Kicks US Markets Into High Gear

August 4, 2026Addison Wiggin

The stock market is getting an unexpected boost to kick off August, bucking the historically weak summer session for the U.S. stock market.

What’s happening? The Bank of Japan and the U.S. Treasury are making a coordinated effort to support Japanese yen; a move last attempted nearly 30 years in the height of the Asian Financial contagion (1998).

Stealth Correction for U.S. Stocks
Stealth Correction for U.S. Stocks

August 3, 2026Addison Wiggin

Global opportunities aside, the US stock market’s stealthy reset of sectors outside the complex AI trade means solid U.S. companies are offering attractive entry prices, particularly in energy, rare earths and critical minerals.

The Real AI Crisis
The Real AI Crisis

July 31, 2026Addison Wiggin

The next phase of the AI boom won’t be decided by who builds the fastest chips, but by who can keep them powered.

Retail Investors Get the Memo
Retail Investors Get the Memo

July 30, 2026Addison Wiggin

Even retail investors are now increasingly skeptical of the AI space, particularly its cash flow. And rightly so…

Nowhere Near Peak Power
Nowhere Near Peak Power

July 29, 2026Addison Wiggin

The backlash against data centers is seeping into the midterm election year. But the real issue is energy production and grid capacity…

From the creators of The Daily Reckoning, I.O.U.S.A, Empire of Debt and The Daily Missive

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