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Ripple Effect

The Economy’s Top Doctor Is Under the Influence of Tariffs

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

July 9, 2025 • 1 minute, 42 second read

Copper
The Economy’s Top Doctor Is Under the Influence of Tariffs

In economics, we often focus on gold as a barometer of the monetary system’s health.

But it’s actually copper that’s known as Doctor Copper, for its economic predictive prowess.

That’s because copper prices tend to rise in an expanding economy, given copper’s ubiquitous use in everything from construction to high-tech gadgets.

Year-to-date, copper prices are surging higher, suggesting a rip-roaring economy:

Turn Your Images On

Copper prices hit a one-year high yesterday and
demand has soared ahead of potential copper tariffs.

The problem? Prices hit new highs as President Trump casually floated a 50% tariff on copper imports.

With copper imports soaring going into the news, it’s a sign that prices may be rising on pre-tariff demand. Much like how Apple filled airplanes full of iPhones from China before Trump kicked up tariff rates on Chinese goods.

For now, it’s another sign of the economic distortions being caused by President Trump’s Great Reset plan.

While copper prices may continue to rise, it’s going to be a wild ride with many pullbacks along the way. And this is your economy on tariffs – where even the trusted doctor is uncertainty stumbling along

~ Addison

“The Nvidia Killer”

Turn On Your Images.

Elon Musk is set to revolutionize the AI industry with his latest invention.

It could make a lot of people rich in the process…

All while triggering a crash of up to 50% in the next 12 months in Nvidia and other popular AI stocks.

Which is why this former hedge-fund manager is calling it “the Nvidia killer”.

Click here to see Elon Musk’s new invention now.

P.S.  Paid members, please join us for Grey Swan Live! with Matt Milner , tomorrow, July 10 at 11 a.m. ET. With both private credit and private equity markets gaining pop trend status in the investment markets, we’ll dig deeper into Elon Musk’s SpaceX and xAI private placements — the next curveballs from the Trump arch-nemesis universe.

As always, your reader feedback is welcome: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com (We read all emails. Thanks in advance for your contribution.)

The Crack-Up Boom – Part II

July 29, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Never in the history of man had any people been able to get rich by spending money  .  .  .  nor had investment markets ever made the average buy-and-hold investor rich  .  .  .  nor had paper money, unbacked by gold, ever retained its value for very long.

In the late 1990s, however, all these things seemed not only possible, but inevitable. Everything seemed to be going in Americans’ favor. Then, suddenly, at the beginning of this new century, everything seemed to be going against them.

How could US consumer capitalism, which had been phenomenally successful for so long, fail them now? It can’t, they will say to themselves. Why should they have to accept a decline in their standards of living, when everybody knew that they were getting richer and richer? It cannot be.

Besides, said Americans to themselves in early 2003, if there were problems, they must be the fault of others: terrorists, greedy CEOs, or policy errors at the Fed.

The Crack-Up Boom – Part II
The Latest Meme Stock Craze Is About Out of Gas

July 29, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

While meme stocks sound innocuous, there is a critical factor that causes these names to get sudden interest from retail investors: a high level of short interest.

After all, if you’re short a stock and it starts to rise, you start to lose money on the trade.

That means if investors can engineer a move higher in a heavily-shorted stock, a squeeze could trigger as shorts buy to close.

That’s why heavily-shorted stocks, often unprofitable has-beens in the business world, have periods of strong performance.

The Latest Meme Stock Craze Is About Out of Gas
Where There’s Smoke…

July 29, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Against the earnings backdrop, the Fed begins its two-day meeting. Given Trump’s open desires for lower rates, Jerome Powell and the Fed governors are under political scrutiny as much as they usually are under the watchful eye of Wall Street.

While most big analysts expect no change in rates, one voice is warning markets that the Fed might… raise rates.

Raise rates…what?! Now?! Sacrilege!

“The unemployment rate is low, but the rate of inflation is somewhat elevated,” economist William Silber argues in The Wall Street Journal.

“That suggests, if anything, the target interest rate should be higher to push down inflation.”

Inflation is still running hot — 2.7% in June, up from 2.4% in May — and unemployment ticked down to 4.1%. Despite pressure, the Fed hasn’t budged since December, holding rates steady at 4.25–4.50%.

Where There’s Smoke…
The Crack-Up Boom – Part I

July 28, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

The crash of the Nasdaq was caused by the people who bid up prices in the years preceding.

In the 5 years ahead of the 2000 crash, prices rose six times.

Had buyers not been so bullish, sellers would not have had so much to sell. In the event, prices fell in half . . . and then in half again.

The crash did not just happen; it happened because of the bubble in tech shares. A bubble is a natural market phenomenon. But bubbles are created by man; all bubbles are destroyed by men too.

The Crack-Up Boom – Part I