Daily Missive

Matt Milner: Now You Can Buy SpaceX — Should You?

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

July 10, 20254 minute, 22 second read



Matt Milner: Now You Can Buy SpaceX — Should You?

Now You Can Buy SpaceX — Should You?

“The great lesson in microeconomics is to discriminate between when technology is going to help you and when it’s going to kill you.”

~ Charlie Munger

July 10, 2025 — Earlier this month, something extraordinary happened:

Ordinary investors like you and me were offered the chance to buy “shares” in some of the fastest-growing private companies on Earth.

I’m talking about pre-IPO companies like OpenAI, Anthropic, even SpaceX.

But there’s a catch.

These aren’t actual shares. They’re something called tokens.

What’s going on here? Is this a breakthrough — or the next bubble?
Let’s unpack it.

Here’s What Just Happened

Two major investment platforms made headlines last week:

  • Robinhood started offering investors “tokenized shares” of OpenAI and SpaceX.
  • Republic launched a new offering called “Mirror Tokens” that are tied to four major startups: OpenAI, Anthropic, Epic Games, and SpaceX.

The pitch? These tokens give regular investors exposure to high-flying, pre-IPO companies—starting with as little as $50.

How It Actually Works

This isn’t like buying shares of Apple or Tesla in the stock market.

Instead, these platforms are using a concept called tokenization:

They take private shares, or derivatives tied to the private shares, and wrap them in a “token” that lives on the blockchain. (A blockchain is a digital ledger that records transactions in a secure, transparent way. It’s like a spreadsheet that everyone can see, but no one can change.)

So you’re not buying actual equity in OpenAI or SpaceX. Instead, you’re buying a digital token that’s meant to track the performance of that equity.

In Robinhood’s case, these tokens are available only to non-U.S. customers. In Republic’s case, the token sales are relying on SEC rules created by the JOBS Act — the regulations that have started opening up private investing to ordinary investors.

Tokenization is innovative. It’s clever.

But it also raises a lot of questions.

Continued Below…

The Risks

Here are four risks you need to understand about tokenization.

1. You Might Not Own What You Think

Sam Altman, the founder of CEO of OpenAI, said OpenAI didn’t authorize the sale of these tokens, and reminded the public that actual equity transfers require company approval. In fact, OpenAI publicly disavowed Robinhood’s offering. Translation? These tokens might not be backed by enforceable ownership rights.

2. Regulatory Loopholes Are Being Exploited

Robinhood and Republic are threading the needle of U.S. securities law by targeting non-U.S. customers, or by using exemptions found in the JOBS Act. These strategies may be legal — but they also sidestep investor protections designed to keep retail investors safe.

3. Liquidity Isn’t Guaranteed

Despite being built on the blockchain, these tokens can only be traded on pre-approved digital “wallets,” on limited exchanges, or on exchanges that are planned for the future, but don’t yet exist. This is a far cry from truly liquid markets. In other words, don’t invest any capital here that you might need for your rent, mortgage, or groceries.

4. Lack of Transparency

The mechanics of pricing the tokens aren’t clear. Without this transparency, how will you know what your tokens are actually worth?

Many investment platforms are steering clear. For example, as Public’s co-CEO Leif Abraham put it, “We decided not to offer tokenized startup shares because of the risk and ambiguity for retail investors.”

Why It Still Matters

Despite the risks and ambiguity, the demand is obvious — and growing:

  • Individual investors are hungry for access to elite startups.As we explained last week, ordinary investors are starting to understand that there’s been a major shift: the biggest returns are now found in the private markets.
  • The JOBS Act helps. These new regulations enable any investor, regardless of income or net worth, to invest in a large universe of private startups. But getting access to the fastest-growing pre-IPO companies — like OpenAI or SpaceX — is still gated by wealth, access, and accreditation laws.
  • Tokenization could finally open up these markets to the masses.

Even if the first generation of these products is imperfect, the underlying trend is real.

It’s likely that regulators, institutions, and tech platforms will eventually find a middle ground — one that preserves investor protections while succeeding in broadening access.

The Bottom Line

This new wave of tokenized shares is exciting. It has the potential to break down walls and democratize access to pre-IPO giants.

But at the moment, it’s also risky, opaque, and largely unregulated.

So while we applaud the innovation, we urge caution — especially if you’re being offered something that seems too good to be true.

Best Regards,

Turn Your Images On

Founder Crowdability.com and Grey Swan


The Small Cap Breakout

September 19, 2025Addison Wiggin

The terrifying bull market broadened its base yesterday, driven by expectations of easy money.

Small caps tend to be more dependent on borrowing to finance operations than the cash-rich mega-cap players.

So it’s no surprise that as the Fed acquiesced to cutting interest rates Wednesday, small caps, as measured by the Russell 2000 Index (IWM) broke out of a four-year range.

The Small Cap Breakout
DASH and LOW Stock Have One Key Thing In Common

September 18, 2025Adam O'Dell

Sometimes, a compelling market trend flashes like a neon sign on the Vegas strip.

We’ve seen that a lot with mega trends like artificial intelligence (AI) over the last few years. Just last week, Oracle was rewarded with a 40% post-earnings pop in its stock price after a strong earnings outlook for its AI cloud business.

Other times, you’ve got to do a little work to find out what’s driving a stock’s price higher. And my “New Bulls” list each week is a great place to start.

DASH and LOW Stock Have One Key Thing In Common
The Carrot and The Stick

September 18, 2025Addison Wiggin

Incentives grow markets. Regulation stunts their fragile bones.

The Fed’s rate cuts are carrots. Markets are feasting on them. Over in the Grey Swan Trading Fraternity, Portfolio Director Andrew Packer added a long trade in the commodity market – in a small-cap player, producing a commodity domestically.

As a cherry on top, it might be the next MP Materials or Intel and get explicit government backing, which could really cause shares to take off.

Trump’s threats to the Fed, or the FCC’s jawboning of broadcasters, are sticks. Investors must decide which matters more.

As one market veteran told The Wall Street Journal: “Cheaper money is a carrot. But the bigger question is whether trust in our institutions can hold. Without that, the carrots won’t matter.”

The Carrot and The Stick
Nasdaq Enters Nosebleed Heights

September 18, 2025Addison Wiggin

If you follow technical indicators, the Nasdaq — a broad measure of tech stocks — is now “extremely overbought”… a level only seen in 0.4% of its history.

That’s less than half a percent, and it is likely the precursor to a correction when traders decide to take profits.

Our advice, “panic now, avoid the rush” and rotate your tech into hard assets such as gold , bitcoin, and commodities in general.

Nasdaq Enters Nosebleed Heights