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Ripple Effect

The Labor Market’s Warning Signal Now

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

July 8, 2025 • 1 minute, 49 second read


Labor Market

The Labor Market’s Warning Signal Now

Last week’s jobless claims data was, well, whatever you wanted it to be. The ADP private payroll data showed fewer private sector jobs than forecast.

A day later, the BLS jobs report showed a massive gain.

Markets ignored the ADP report. And used the government data to rally into the three-day weekend, only to give up those gains yesterday as they were reminded that more negative tariff changes were on the way.

What to make of two different reports showing two different things? Find a third piece of data – so we did:

Turn Your Images On

Americans expect a worse job market by year-end

A Bloomberg survey shows 30% of everyday Americans expect the labor market to get worse. Each jump of this magnitude in the past has preceded a recession.

Labor market data is screaming that there’s trouble in the real economy.

Except, of course, the data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics – the same government agency that has “revised” away over a million jobs reported as having been created during the Biden administration.

~ Addison

Is This the Company Behind
Elon’s Optimus Chips???

The man who called Tesla before it skyrocketed as high as 1000% in a little over a year, is now recommending another stock…

Because he believes it could be supplying Elon Musk with chips for his Optimus robot…

The same robot that Elon is calling “The biggest product ever of any kind.”

Keep in mind that this company already supplies chips for Elon’s SpaceX and Tesla…

And from the looks of one expert’s research it may be announced as a key development partner for the Optimus robot as well.

If Elon announces this company as a supplier for the Optimus robot, there’s no telling how high shares could go.

Click here now to get full details and learn about this company before it’s too late.

P.S.  Paid members, please join us for Grey Swan Live! with Matt Milner , Thursday, July 10 at 11 a.m. ET. With both private credit and private equity markets gaining pop trend status in the investment markets, we’ll dig deeper into Elon Musk’s SpaceX and xAI private placements — the next curveballs from the Trump arch-nemesis universe.


Dan Denning: The 2026 Battle Royale

December 3, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Altman’s claim is that not only will people get more done with less with AI, they will be happier because their work is easier and…more fun. This follows a report from Anthropic, responsible for the Claude AI, that said AI increases productivity.

I will say I’m skeptical. But we’ve been told the nature of exponential change is that it comes at you faster than you can measure or observe. And if that is true, it will have consequences in 2026 for employees and investors. Big ones.

For employees–those who are not replaced by automated processes and robots–it will mean secure employment and higher wages. A small number of winners getting richer.

Dan Denning: The 2026 Battle Royale
The Inflation Episodes — Act II, Featuring Silver, Gold and Dollar 2.0

December 3, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

American consumers don’t feel – or are at least unaware of – monetary nuance. They’re just getting the bill.

Trump declared last night that “affordability doesn’t mean anything to anybody,” dismissing the term as a “Democrat scam”— this despite recently proclaiming
himself the “Affordability President” on Truth Social.

That’s the current state of political messaging on cost-of-living: part whiplash, part vaudeville. But voters aren’t confused. Grocery prices are still 30% higher than 2020. Tariffs add daily friction. Utilities, rent, houses, tuition, healthcare continue their daily grind upward.

The Inflation Episodes — Act II, Featuring Silver, Gold and Dollar 2.0
The “New” Contrarian Case for Bonds

December 3, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

During a Fed rate cut cycle, bond yields follow, which typically means bond prices tick higher. If you buy bonds now, you’ll be getting in ahead of the crowd.

And if this tech wreck shapes up anything like 2000-01, investors will want to get out fast. Despite the debt mess in Washington, bonds will again look “safe.”

One minor bonus: if you buy now, you’ll lock in higher yields before the next Fed rate cut, which is expected to come one week from today.

The “New” Contrarian Case for Bonds
American Life: Less Ordinary

December 2, 2025 • Bill Bonner

But Green is describing more than just a new calculation. He’s talking about a new form of misery.’ It’s a poverty where you may still have most of the accoutrements of middle-class life. But your relationship with the financial elite has changed: you are indentured to the credit industry — for life.

American Life: Less Ordinary