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Ripple Effect

The US Dollar, Trading Like a Memecoin

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

July 7, 2025 • 1 minute, 47 second read


international tradeUS dollar

The US Dollar, Trading Like a Memecoin

We’re now in the second half of 2025. While market volatility may be the big story this year, the bigger story may be that of the U.S. dollar itself.

Year-to-date, it’s down over 10%.

That’s a huge move for any currency.

But usually the 10% moves occur in third-world countries experiencing a crisis, not the so-called world reserve currency.

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The U.S. dollar has sold off heavily year-to-date.

The greenback started the year at 52-week highs. So, part of the pullback would have simply been reversion to the mean – the tendency of assets to move back to their averages over time.

However, the further drop suggests a shift away from the dollar, just in time for the BRICS summit in Rio de Janeiro, which is underway this morning.

~ Addison

Why Are 21 Billionaires
Moving Their Money ASAP?

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Under the surface of the U.S. financial system…

One of the biggest stock market events in 25 years is rapidly unfolding…

The economist who predicted the 2008 Financial Crisis says it will be: “The Biggest Crash of Our Lifetime.”

Starting August 27th — your favorite tech stocks like Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Google, and hundreds more could come crashing down…

Cutting the entire tech market by HALF – virtually overnight.

This is why the world’s financial elite are panic-selling stocks at the fastest rate in a decade.

To help you prepare…

Our guest expert is giving you his #1 stock to profit – 100% FREE.

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P.S. The dollar’s weakening may have been the key push to get the stock market back to all-time highs, not anything fundamental. Many hedge funds are betting big on a pullback in the stock indexes. We’re also expecting continued weakness in the dollar globally.

Paid members, please join us for Grey Swan Live! with Matt Milner , Thursday, July 10 at 11 a.m. ET. With both private credit and private equity markets gaining pop trend status in the investment markets, we’ll dig deeper into Elon Musk’s SpaceX and xAI private placements — the next curveballs from the Trump arch-nemesis universe.

As always, your reader feedback is welcome: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com (We read all emails. Thanks in advance for your contribution.)


Grey Swan Forecast #6: China Annexes Taiwan — Without a Shot Fired

December 26, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Our forecast will feel obvious in hindsight and controversial in advance — the hallmark of a Grey Swan.

Most analysts we speak to are thinking in terms of the history of Western conflict. 

They expect full-frontal military engagement.

Beijing, from our modest perch, prefers resolution because resolution compounds its power. Why sacrifice the workshop of the world, when cajoling and bribery will do?

Taiwan will not fall.

It will merge.

Grey Swan Forecast #6: China Annexes Taiwan — Without a Shot Fired
Grey Swan Forecast #7: A Global Debt Crisis Will Reprice Democracy

December 24, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Wars, technology races, and political upheavals — all of them rest on fiscal capacity.

In 2026, that capacity will tighten across the developed world simultaneously. Democracies will discover that generosity financed by debt carries conditions, whether voters approve of them or not.

Bond markets will not shout so much as clear their throats. Repeatedly.

Grey Swan Forecast #7: A Global Debt Crisis Will Reprice Democracy
Seven Grey Swans, One Year Later

December 23, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Taken together, the seven Grey Swans of 2025 behaved less like isolated events and more like interlocking stories readers already recognize.

The year moved in phases. A sharp April selloff cleared leverage quickly. Policy shifted toward tax relief, lighter regulation, and renewed tolerance for liquidity. Innovations began to slowly dominate the marketplace conversation – from Dollar 2.0 digital assets to AI-powered applications in all manner of commercial enterprises, ranging from airline and hotel bookings to driverless taxis and robots. 

Seven Grey Swans, One Year Later
2025: The Lens We Used — Fire, Transition, and What’s Next… The Boom!

December 22, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Back in April, when we published what we called the Trump Great Reset Strategy, we described the grand realignment we believed President Trump and his acolytes were embarking on in three phases.

At the time, it read like a conceptual map. As the months passed, it began to feel like a set of operating instructions written in advance of turbulence.

As you can expect, any grandiose plan would get all kinds of blowback… but this year exhibited all manner of Trump Derangement Syndrome on top of the difficulty of steering a sclerotic empire clear of the rocky shores.

The “phases” were never about optimism or pessimism. They were about sequencing — how stress surfaces, how systems adapt, and what must hold before confidence can regenerate. And in the end, what do we do with our money?!

2025: The Lens We Used — Fire, Transition, and What’s Next… The Boom!