GSI Banner
  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • My Account
  • Sign In
  • Join Now

  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • Contact

© 2026 Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

  • Cookie Policy
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information
  • Whitelist Us
Ripple Effect

Households Get It, Even if Governments Don’t

Addison WigginAddison Wiggin

July 11, 2025 • 1 minute, 45 second read


consumersdebtdebt to asset ratio

Households Get It, Even if Governments Don’t

President Trump’s Big, Beautiful Bill will add trillions to the federal debt.

We’re critical of that debt being frontloaded – especially at a time when interest rates are at their highest level in nearly 15 years.

Fortunately, your average American household has gotten the memo.

Today’s relatively high interest rates – essentially the cost of capital – have consumers avoiding debt. And rising asset prices, including homes and 401(k) plans, are actually improving consumer finances:

Turn Your Images On

American households continue to deleverage

Of course, that’s just on average.

We know many consumers continue to live paycheck to paycheck. After spiking higher, the drawdown in savings—cash that can be used in an emergency—is back to pre-pandemic levels.

While the overall debt picture is ugly, in some ways it isn’t – and that it may take some more time for a debt crisis to reach a kitchen countertop near you.

~ Addison

MAJOR Gold Tipping Point Predicted

Turn On Your Images.

Gold has already taken Wall Street by surprise…

During Trump’s first term, it shot up by 53%.

And it has crushed the market nearly 3-to-1 since the start of the 21st century.

But that’s just a drop in the bucket compared to what one expert expects gold to do next…

$22,227 an ounce.

Why such a huge jump? Because of the three simple charts shown right here.

P.S. President Trump is on fire this week, adding tariffs on copper and threatening higher rates on trade partners like Canada. And targeting Vietnam as the proxy for Chinese manufacturing.

Markets are usually calm and trend higher in July, but as a centerpiece of President Trump’s Great Reset plan, we’re expecting more volatility. There’s nothing run-of-the-mill about the economy or politics right now.

With the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hitting all-new historic highs again yesterday, we suggest deleveraging your brokerage account, too. Take some profits off the table.

Or, as our friend and mentor Bill Bonner would say on an occasion like this: “Panic now. Avoid the rush.”

As always, your reader feedback is welcome: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com (We read all emails. Thanks in advance for your contribution.)


Dollar “Debasement” Meet AI Buildout… Play Nice!

September 8, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

When other countries weaken their own currencies alongside the dollar, the result can become a global race toward lower purchasing power…

Dollar “Debasement” Meet AI Buildout… Play Nice!
Inflation Pressure Begins With Shippers

September 4, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

A surge in the cost of moving raw materials could be the latest sign that persistent inflation is building throughout the global supply chain.

Inflation Pressure Begins With Shippers
Fertilizer Sows Inflation

September 3, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Fertilizer sits beneath the crops. And right now, it’s moving first. This breakout is one worth watching — and potentially worth investing in.

Fertilizer Sows Inflation
The Master of Financial Engineering

September 2, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Tim Cook famously helped Apple reach $1 trillion in market cap. This is how he created over 2,200% in “shareholder value.”

The Master of Financial Engineering