Elon Musk’s Coming Gold Shock
Addison Wiggin / February 5, 2025
The maverick financial fraternity that predicted the Internet boom, the Great Recession, and the incredible rise of Bitcoin has a bold, new prediction…
BREAKING NEWS
Addison Wiggin / March 24, 2025
The headline isn’t “Tariffs are rising.”
The real story is from where.
We’re coming off 80-year lows, historically speaking. Tariffs haven’t been this low since Eisenhower was mowing his own lawn, and nobody knew what “globalization” meant.
The consequences?
Oh, they’re coming.
You’ll see the market separate like oil and water: winners and losers. And, like always, the winners will have lobbyists. The losers will get no airtime. Forget what social media may say to the contrary.
Addison Wiggin / March 21, 2025
Last year, well before the idea of auditing Fort Knox was ever floated, we followed some macroeconomic trends and released research suggesting that gold prices could be in for a massive move higher, potentially over $20,000 per ounce.
The number seemed ridiculous at first glance. We had to do the calculations and recheck our premises several times.
Addison Wiggin / March 20, 2025
The price of anything is just a number, a snapshot of collective mood swings wrapped in market jargon. Traders will tell you that price distills a world of information into one clean figure. If that’s true, then gold’s relentless climb tells us something sobering: despite the stock market flirting with record highs, caution is creeping back into the room.
Pricing is supposed to be a rational affair — supply, demand, and a few other economic theories you vaguely remember from that class you slept through in college.
Why does a Toyota Corolla cost less than an Aston Martin? Same raw materials, different perception.
Gold, however, plays by its own rules.
One ounce today is the same as one ounce 2,000 years ago. No upgrades, no Bluetooth, no marketing gimmicks. Just the same shiny metal that has survived the economic follies of every civilization that thought it was too clever for its own good.
Andrew Packer / March 19, 2025
Right now, there are some fearful headlines for the oil industry. There’s rising talk of a recession. Reduced global trade from tariffs. And President Trump’s call to “drill, baby, drill,” encourages more production.
More supply, all else being equal, means lower prices. Good for consumers, but that’s usually not good for energy producers. Or is it?
Oil could be ground zero for the phenomenon of what we call “winners and losers.”
John Robb / March 18, 2025
Networked warfare didn’t begin in Trump’s America; it emerged earlier, far from Washington, in the chaos of the Iraq War. During the early 2000s, traditional military analyses failed against an insurgency that defied conventional explanation. Over seventy distinct Iraqi insurgent groups—driven by diverse motives such as religious zeal, tribal loyalty, or economic despair—operated together with astonishing adaptability. Though fragmented, they became a networked insurgency unified around a single goal: expelling American forces.
Bill Bonner / March 17, 2025
If the price of gold stays around $3,000, it would mean the Dow would have to fall to 15,000…another two-thirds drop. Or if gold were to go to $5,000, we’d be looking at Dow 25,000 to reach our trigger point.
Whatever. We’ll wait. And when (and if) we get a Dow priced at 5 ounces…we’ll sell gold and buy every quality stock we can find.
Do we get rich this way? It depends. More importantly, we don’t expect to get poor.
Addison Wiggin / March 14, 2025
Enter the Trump Master Playbook — a scenario where interest rates fall enough to dodge a recession (with or without the Fed), and the economy roars back from slowing growth fueled by massive government cuts.
Late 2025 kicks off like a scripted comeback, and the 2026 midterms keep the MAGA coalition in power.
Under this playbook, markets wobble early, spooked by tariffs and policy shifts, but the bond market forces Powell’s hand, slashing rates. By year’s end, cheap money fuels a new bull run. By 2026, the economy hits full stride — booming housing, surging small caps, and a stock market on a sugar high.
Addison Wiggin / March 13, 2025
Forget steel and aluminum tariffs — the next market crash will be because some guy on Twitter claims Canada is threatening to cut off maple syrup exports… or electricity, one of the two.
Musk, DOGE and tariff skirmishes have markets reacting like a cat on bath salts.
So, with all the fury and bluster, what’s an individual investor supposed to do?
Addison Wiggin / March 12, 2025
We’re here in Nassau this morning, watching the major U.S. stock indices tick lower, even after we’ve seen considerable signs of declining inflation over the past 24 hours.
The headline CPI data cooled, and a site called Truflation, which looks at 80,000 prices in real-time, suggests that inflation in the U.S. is actually at 1.35%, far under the Fed’s 2% target rate.
The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all opened higher, but have been bleeding out their gains. Funds and institutions continue to deleverage at the fastest pace since the 2020 Covid crash.
Andrew Packer / March 11, 2025
If the AI revolution plays out like the internet, we could see AI technology continue to develop, but for high-flying AI startups to collapse like dotcom stocks.
That’s not to say investors should get out now. By some measures looking at AI development versus the internet, 2025 may be another big year for tech stocks, much like stock returns in 1998 and 1999.
If anything, today’s high market valuation reflects a high level of overconfidence in stocks, as seen by how quickly sentiment has changed in recent weeks as companies like Tesla Motors have slipped 50% from their recent highs.
From the creators of The Daily Reckoning, I.O.U.S.A, Empire of Debt and The Daily Missive
