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Ripple Effect

Yesterday’s Biggest Market Loser Will Be Back

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

July 31, 2025 • 1 minute, 19 second read


Copper

Yesterday’s Biggest Market Loser Will Be Back

Yesterday, the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at a 4.25%-4.5% range.

The real action came from President Trump’s various trade announcements.

That included finalizing a tariff on raw copper imports of 50%. That’s lower than what Trump had hinted at – imagine that.

As a result, copper had its biggest daily drop on record, and the metal gave up all of its massive gains for 2025:

Turn Your Images On

Copper prices soared on the prospect of steep tariffs, then collapsed as the reality wasn’t as bad as imagined

The U.S. still needs to import about 1 million tonnes of copper annually to meet its needs.

Just as the market overreacted and overheated, now may be a second chance to buy into the copper trade with a longer-term view.

~ Addison

P.S. While the Fed held rates steady, two members of the FOMC dissented from the decision, the first time since 1993.

Turmoil continues to brew at the Federal Reserve, and it’s very likely that the next Grey Swan event is kicked off from events swirling around the Fed, its Chairman Jerome Powell, and President Trump – who once again took to Truth Social this morning to criticize Powell for being, “TOO LATE.”

That’s why assets like gold, which also sold off yesterday, still look attractive.

Our very first recommendation in the Grey Swan Trading Fraternity seeks to capitalize quickly on copper’s whopper price action. Details for new paying members are on the way. Check your inbox.

As always, your reader feedback is welcome: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com (We read all emails. Thanks in advance for your contribution.)


The Hindenburg Five

February 24, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The stock market “rebalancing” is a polite way to put it. Energy and health care are getting a healthy boost. But tech hardware and software makers are still getting dressed down and have been asked to report to the principal’s office.

The great rotation underway has triggered a series of “Hindenburg Omens.” Five have occurred in recent weeks.

The Hindenburg Five
Piercing The Veil

February 23, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The S&P 500 has traded in a 3.7% range over the past two months — less than half the 20-year median of 8.6%. One of the tightest ranges in modern history.

In trader parlance, the indexes are “flat,” a setup that often materializes before a sell-off at the top after a multi-year bull market.

Goldman Sachs told its own traders to be aware that institutional trading activity resembles a VIX reading near 35. Rather than a reading of 20, where the VIX has been trading over that same 2-month period.

The U.S. software ETF, IGV, tested its April 2025 lows last week and trades roughly 35% below its peak. The “SaaS-pocalypse” in software companies reflects the fear of Citrini’s 2028 scenario happening in real time.   That divergence now exceeds the spread seen at the peak of the Great Financial Crisis.

Under the surface, the “great rotation” we wrote about last week is threatening to widen.

Piercing The Veil
Oh. Canada

February 23, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Despite its overly-educated 40-million-plus population, on a GDP per capita basis Canada is null. Collectively, the Great White North would rank as America’s second-lowest state, coming in above Mississippi, but below Alabama.

Oh. Canada
Matt Milner: SpaceX + xAI: What It Means for You

February 20, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

SpaceX is the most valuable private startup in history — and if its success continues, it might become the most valuable public company in history.

After all, as Musk famously said in 2023, “I have never lost money for those who invest in me and I am not starting now.”

For investors, SpaceX has been a wild, joyful ride — and now the journey continues!

Matt Milner: SpaceX + xAI: What It Means for You