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Ripple Effect

Yesterday’s Biggest Market Loser Will Be Back

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

July 31, 2025 • 1 minute, 19 second read


Copper

Yesterday’s Biggest Market Loser Will Be Back

Yesterday, the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at a 4.25%-4.5% range.

The real action came from President Trump’s various trade announcements.

That included finalizing a tariff on raw copper imports of 50%. That’s lower than what Trump had hinted at – imagine that.

As a result, copper had its biggest daily drop on record, and the metal gave up all of its massive gains for 2025:

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Copper prices soared on the prospect of steep tariffs, then collapsed as the reality wasn’t as bad as imagined

The U.S. still needs to import about 1 million tonnes of copper annually to meet its needs.

Just as the market overreacted and overheated, now may be a second chance to buy into the copper trade with a longer-term view.

~ Addison

P.S. While the Fed held rates steady, two members of the FOMC dissented from the decision, the first time since 1993.

Turmoil continues to brew at the Federal Reserve, and it’s very likely that the next Grey Swan event is kicked off from events swirling around the Fed, its Chairman Jerome Powell, and President Trump – who once again took to Truth Social this morning to criticize Powell for being, “TOO LATE.”

That’s why assets like gold, which also sold off yesterday, still look attractive.

Our very first recommendation in the Grey Swan Trading Fraternity seeks to capitalize quickly on copper’s whopper price action. Details for new paying members are on the way. Check your inbox.

As always, your reader feedback is welcome: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com (We read all emails. Thanks in advance for your contribution.)


Jesse Colombo: Did Gold and Silver Just Peak?

October 10, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Just a couple of days ago, everyone was celebrating gold’s move above the critical $4,000 psychological resistance level. But with today’s pullback, it slipped back below that level in both COMEX futures and spot, which makes me pause and think, as it indicates a rejection of that key level.

This increases the likelihood of a modest pullback or a period of sideways consolidation, as gold may have temporarily run out of momentum to push higher in the short term. That is perfectly normal, healthy, and not at all surprising. It is much like a sprinter who has just run hard and needs a moment to catch their breath.

Jesse Colombo: Did Gold and Silver Just Peak?
A Brief Schelling Point for Global Markets

October 10, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Gold. Stocks. Bitcoin. Prediction markets. Each a different surface on the same wave — money searching for a story it can still believe in.

The Schelling Point of this moment isn’t one price or policy; it’s the shared intuition that something historic is shifting… even though we haven’t named it.

It’s Friday. It’s a good time to “remobilize our axioms,” as my favorite William F. Buckley quote goes.

We need to stick to our guns and remember that the goal of understanding Grey Swan events as they unfold is to plan, preserve our capital, and earn a good return for the long run. Let’s not get distracted by the market highs or headlines of a terrifying bull!

A Brief Schelling Point for Global Markets
What Goes Up…

October 10, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Only during the ‘08 financial crisis and its aftermath have the majority of money managers seen stocks as undervalued.

This data point is another in a list of historic highs – stock indexes, gold, silver, bitcoin, retail investment, retail margin borrowing – we’re seeing in the market right now.

Markets are out of whack to the upside.

History’s cautionary tale? When markets are out of whack… it takes an unsettling event (crisis) to get them back into whack.

What Goes Up…
George Gilder: Led by Coherent, The Data Center is Turning to the Light

October 9, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

As AI clusters demand more light at every layer — from rack to package — Coherent’s share of that energy pathway increases. The startups illustrate what’s possible; Coherent ensures it happens.

As light enters the data center — step by step, layer by layer — Coherent is the most experienced and scaled name in the field. It carries the light forward.

George Gilder: Led by Coherent, The Data Center is Turning to the Light