GSI Banner
  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • My Account
  • Sign In
  • Join Now

  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • Contact

© 2026 Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

  • Cookie Policy
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information
  • Whitelist Us
Ripple Effect

Correlation Breakdown

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

February 9, 2026 • 1 minute, 12 second read


correlationS&P 500Stock Market

Correlation Breakdown

On Friday, during a face-ripping rally, the S&P 500 rallied nearly 2% and erased a week of losses.

The week’s trading revealed that a rotation out of high-flying tech into defensive names is well underway. The Dow, which includes broader, non-tech-related stocks, is starting the week above 50,000 for the first time in its history.

Turn Your Images On

The correlation between S&P 500 sectors indicates capital flight from tech into other sectors.  (Source: Sentiment Trader)

Prior breakdowns in S&P 500 correlation have signaled market weakness. Most notably in the tech wreck of 2000-01.

“We’ve got our eyes peeled for further signs of a tech selloff,” notes our portfolio director, Andrew Packer. “Take some profits off the table, and expect more big swings.”

If markets sell off in earnest, the correlation between sectors will get back into whack… as everything gets sold off in unison.

~ Addison

P.S. On Friday, Andrew, Mark Jeftovic, and I dug deep into the bitcoin and crypto selloff on  Grey Swan Live! We unpacked a set of signals in crypto and Dollar 2.0 digital assets that rarely appear together — and almost never by accident.

Turn Your Images On

As a proxy for the space, bitcoin is down close to 50% after another pullback over the weekend. Now is a good time to know what the sell-off means for gold, silver and the companies we still recommend in our  Dollar 2.0 thesis. Check out the replay in the members section of the Grey Swan website.

 


The “Warsh Shock” and tThe Modern Accord

March 20, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Kevin Warsh is calling for a “Modern Treasury-Fed Accord” to shrink the Fed’s balance sheet and end its role as a market backstop.

The “Warsh Shock” and tThe Modern Accord
Bitcoin’s Leading the Way

March 20, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Crypto markets have been under pressure since October, but fund flows suggest investors are stepping back in ahead of potential CLARITY Act clarity.

Bitcoin’s Leading the Way
Shock and Awe, Redux

March 19, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

America just crossed $39 trillion in debt—and the pace is only accelerating. At the same time, inflation is creeping back, the Fed is holding firm, and geopolitical tensions are pushing oil higher. The result: a market caught between mounting pressure and surprising resilience.

Shock and Awe, Redux
Gold: Follow the Signal, Not the Noise

March 19, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

While there may be a short-term breakdown in gold prices, several indicators show it’s still worth adding to your own stash right now…

Gold: Follow the Signal, Not the Noise