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Ripple Effect

Correlation Breakdown

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

February 9, 2026 • 1 minute, 12 second read


correlationS&P 500Stock Market

Correlation Breakdown

On Friday, during a face-ripping rally, the S&P 500 rallied nearly 2% and erased a week of losses.

The week’s trading revealed that a rotation out of high-flying tech into defensive names is well underway. The Dow, which includes broader, non-tech-related stocks, is starting the week above 50,000 for the first time in its history.

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The correlation between S&P 500 sectors indicates capital flight from tech into other sectors.  (Source: Sentiment Trader)

Prior breakdowns in S&P 500 correlation have signaled market weakness. Most notably in the tech wreck of 2000-01.

“We’ve got our eyes peeled for further signs of a tech selloff,” notes our portfolio director, Andrew Packer. “Take some profits off the table, and expect more big swings.”

If markets sell off in earnest, the correlation between sectors will get back into whack… as everything gets sold off in unison.

~ Addison

P.S. On Friday, Andrew, Mark Jeftovic, and I dug deep into the bitcoin and crypto selloff on  Grey Swan Live! We unpacked a set of signals in crypto and Dollar 2.0 digital assets that rarely appear together — and almost never by accident.

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As a proxy for the space, bitcoin is down close to 50% after another pullback over the weekend. Now is a good time to know what the sell-off means for gold, silver and the companies we still recommend in our  Dollar 2.0 thesis. Check out the replay in the members section of the Grey Swan website.

 


David v. Goliath in Davos

February 6, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The most important moment in finance this week didn’t happen in a committee room or on cable television. It took place over coffee last week in Davos.

Brian Armstrong, the founder and CEO of Coinbase, was mid-conversation with former U.K. Prime Minister Tony Blair when Jamie Dimon stepped in, pointed a finger, and said, “You are full of s—.”

Dimon wasn’t debating crypto theory. He was defending deposits.

Armstrong had spent the week accusing large banks of leaning on lawmakers to kneecap digital-asset legislation that threatens their core franchise. Dimon, whose firm sits atop the U.S. deposit pile, heard enough. According to people familiar with the exchange, he told Armstrong to stop lying on television.

David v. Goliath in Davos
Bitcoin Gets Taken to the Woodshed

February 6, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Bitcoin is now selling off at a pace last seen at bear-market bottoms in 2018 and 2022.

Our trading channel was buzzing yesterday. Traders are actively seeking the bottom and trying to plot a way back in!

Indeed, bitcoin is rebounding and back up to $68,000 in today’s trading. Nail-biting stuff.

Bitcoin Gets Taken to the Woodshed
The Trump Great Reset Enters Its 2026 Endgame

February 5, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

As we’ve tracked since April 2, 2025,  the early phase of the reset burned hot. Institutions weakened. Assumptions cracked.

This week supplied fresh evidence. Software buckled under pressure from artificial intelligence. Metals convulsed under leverage.

What follows looks colder and more deliberate. The metaphor shifts from bonfire to board game. The game isn’t chess. It’s Risk. Territory matters. Chokepoints matter. Supply lines matter.

Winning depends less on elegance and more on control.

The Trump Great Reset Enters Its 2026 Endgame
Crypto’s $2 Trillion Wipeout

February 5, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Since peaking in early October, the market cap of all cryptocurrencies has slid from a $4.3 trillion peak to about $2.3 trillion today.

Crypto’s $2 Trillion Wipeout