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Ripple Effect

Why the Market’s Still Obsessed With AI

Loading ...Andrew Packer

May 16, 2025 • 1 minute, 3 second read


Why the Market’s Still Obsessed With AI

Make no mistake: The stock market peaked in February, following the news that China had released a new AI program.

DeepSeek isn’t just a ChatGPT clone. According to China, it was able to train the AI with substantially fewer resources.

That’s a huge breakthrough. And a sign of a global “Cold War” in AI development.

That potential escalation still looks some time off. For now, investors love AI because it’s a pure growth story, by any metric.

For instance, ChatGPT’s total users now exceed those of Wikipedia:

Turn Your Images On

I remember when Wikipedia first launched. Several of my college professors said it shouldn’t be used as it wasn’t reliable. I also remember going on Wikipedia, ignoring the article, and going straight to the footnotes that could be used and were reliable.

Today, AI models are best used similarly: to get the creative juices flowing and to run through some ideas, not do all the work and turn down the human capacity to think.

Be mindful, though. As the saying goes, today is the worst AI will ever be.

Times and technology change, and ChatGPT’s rise shows that its fast growth comes at the cost of disrupting other industries – and that there’s more growth ahead.

-Andrew


Jesse Colombo: Did Gold and Silver Just Peak?

October 10, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Just a couple of days ago, everyone was celebrating gold’s move above the critical $4,000 psychological resistance level. But with today’s pullback, it slipped back below that level in both COMEX futures and spot, which makes me pause and think, as it indicates a rejection of that key level.

This increases the likelihood of a modest pullback or a period of sideways consolidation, as gold may have temporarily run out of momentum to push higher in the short term. That is perfectly normal, healthy, and not at all surprising. It is much like a sprinter who has just run hard and needs a moment to catch their breath.

Jesse Colombo: Did Gold and Silver Just Peak?
A Brief Schelling Point for Global Markets

October 10, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Gold. Stocks. Bitcoin. Prediction markets. Each a different surface on the same wave — money searching for a story it can still believe in.

The Schelling Point of this moment isn’t one price or policy; it’s the shared intuition that something historic is shifting… even though we haven’t named it.

It’s Friday. It’s a good time to “remobilize our axioms,” as my favorite William F. Buckley quote goes.

We need to stick to our guns and remember that the goal of understanding Grey Swan events as they unfold is to plan, preserve our capital, and earn a good return for the long run. Let’s not get distracted by the market highs or headlines of a terrifying bull!

A Brief Schelling Point for Global Markets
What Goes Up…

October 10, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Only during the ‘08 financial crisis and its aftermath have the majority of money managers seen stocks as undervalued.

This data point is another in a list of historic highs – stock indexes, gold, silver, bitcoin, retail investment, retail margin borrowing – we’re seeing in the market right now.

Markets are out of whack to the upside.

History’s cautionary tale? When markets are out of whack… it takes an unsettling event (crisis) to get them back into whack.

What Goes Up…
George Gilder: Led by Coherent, The Data Center is Turning to the Light

October 9, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

As AI clusters demand more light at every layer — from rack to package — Coherent’s share of that energy pathway increases. The startups illustrate what’s possible; Coherent ensures it happens.

As light enters the data center — step by step, layer by layer — Coherent is the most experienced and scaled name in the field. It carries the light forward.

George Gilder: Led by Coherent, The Data Center is Turning to the Light