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Ripple Effect

Where Markets Go From Here After Israel Strikes Iran

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

June 13, 2025 • 2 minute, 18 second read


geopoliticsIranIsraelMarkets

Where Markets Go From Here After Israel Strikes Iran

As the saying goes: “history doesn’t repeat itself – but it does rhyme.”

While the situation in the Middle East is fresh in the news, investors are feeling a dose of deja vu fear following Israel’s strike on Iran last night.

The U.S. officially stepped aside. And markets haven’t reacted too strongly. But it’s worth asking the question. What can we expect going forward? Prior similar events provide a clue:

Turn Your Images On

The real question is not “what happens next”?

Rather, the one we should be asking is ”what was the market trend before” the conflict got heated?

The U.S.’s invasion of Afghanistan in 2001 occurred during the midst of the dotcom bust. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine occurred in 2022, when the Fed started raising interest rates and the market was already trending lower.

Likewise, during Russia’s 2014 Crimea incursion, markets were in an uptrend.

Ditto early 2003, when the U.S. started its misadventure in Iraq.

With stocks in an uptrend before Israel’s latest attack, markets may still have a bit more room to run over the summer.

But from our perspective, the more fundamental issues – like out-of-control spending, endless deficits, and failing bond auctions – pose the real danger.

Those issues are only taking a back seat to the headlines for now.

~ Addison

June 15: Denmark’s Last Gasp…

Turn On Your Images.

The Arctic’s vast abundance of riches — shipping lanes, resources, and space ports — makes it an economic and geopolitical Holy Grail, which is why Denmark’s stewardship of Greenland must end.

Greenland needs real protection. American protection.

Investors, take notice…

As President Trump attends the G7 Summit (on June 15), the potential exists for a bombshell announcement regarding Greenland. We mapped Greenland’s five major profit zones, which could boom any minute.

Click here to view our presentation, ASAP >>

P.S.: Paid readers who didn’t get the chance to sit in on Grey Swan Live! with John Robb yesterday, we urge you to check out the recorded version right here. John takes us behind the scenes of asymmetric warfare and the impact of AI, drones and pinpoint missile accuracy in today’s most alarming conflicts.

And, with the hard asset story getting stronger by the minute, so is our research. Andrew will be at the Rule Investment Symposium in Boca Raton on July 7-11, 2025.

The Symposium is a five-day affair featuring in-depth research from dozens of small-cap resource companies, including gold and silver mining companies – but also copper, uranium, and other critical commodities we’ve explored in-depth in our research over the past year. Click here to attend and meet your future cutting-edge resource investments face-to-face.

As always, your reader feedback is welcome: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com (We read all emails. Thanks in advance for your contribution.)


The Hindenburg Five

February 24, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The stock market “rebalancing” is a polite way to put it. Energy and health care are getting a healthy boost. But tech hardware and software makers are still getting dressed down and have been asked to report to the principal’s office.

The great rotation underway has triggered a series of “Hindenburg Omens.” Five have occurred in recent weeks.

The Hindenburg Five
Piercing The Veil

February 23, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The S&P 500 has traded in a 3.7% range over the past two months — less than half the 20-year median of 8.6%. One of the tightest ranges in modern history.

In trader parlance, the indexes are “flat,” a setup that often materializes before a sell-off at the top after a multi-year bull market.

Goldman Sachs told its own traders to be aware that institutional trading activity resembles a VIX reading near 35. Rather than a reading of 20, where the VIX has been trading over that same 2-month period.

The U.S. software ETF, IGV, tested its April 2025 lows last week and trades roughly 35% below its peak. The “SaaS-pocalypse” in software companies reflects the fear of Citrini’s 2028 scenario happening in real time.   That divergence now exceeds the spread seen at the peak of the Great Financial Crisis.

Under the surface, the “great rotation” we wrote about last week is threatening to widen.

Piercing The Veil
Oh. Canada

February 23, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Despite its overly-educated 40-million-plus population, on a GDP per capita basis Canada is null. Collectively, the Great White North would rank as America’s second-lowest state, coming in above Mississippi, but below Alabama.

Oh. Canada
Matt Milner: SpaceX + xAI: What It Means for You

February 20, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

SpaceX is the most valuable private startup in history — and if its success continues, it might become the most valuable public company in history.

After all, as Musk famously said in 2023, “I have never lost money for those who invest in me and I am not starting now.”

For investors, SpaceX has been a wild, joyful ride — and now the journey continues!

Matt Milner: SpaceX + xAI: What It Means for You