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Beneath the Surface

Washington’s Last Scandal Exposed

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

February 28, 2025 • 3 minute, 2 second read


Congressional trading

Washington’s Last Scandal Exposed

“You can’t get rich in politics unless you’re a crook.”

– Harry Truman


 

February 28, 2025— Chris Josephs didn’t set out to expose one of the most lucrative investment strategies in America. He just wanted to make money. And, as it turns out, the best traders in the country aren’t sitting on Wall Street — they’re walking the halls of Congress.

Josephs, 29, co-founded an app that allows users to track the stock trades of U.S. lawmakers. He was recently on Tucker Carlson’s podcast, detailing how he arrived at his “if you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em” approach: Instead of lamenting the legalized corruption of congressional stock trading, he decided to profit from it.

According to Josephs, Nancy Pelosi alone has outperformed the S&P 500 by 50% since 2021. If that sounds outrageous, consider this: The lawmakers who write and regulate the rules of our economy are somehow, miraculously, also its most consistently successful investors.

Pelosi, for her part, has been quite clear. “It’s a free market,” she says. But that definition of “free” seems to apply exclusively to her stock portfolio — not, say, to the businesses subject to the regulations she helps craft. Because when Congress controls the money spigot, principles of fiscal restraint have a funny way of vanishing.

Tucker Carlson pointed out something even more fundamental: The money Congress throws around doesn’t come from some magical, self-replenishing pot. It comes from taxpayers. Or, failing that, from debt — piled high and financed by tomorrow’s taxpayers. So when members of Congress personally profit from deciding where those dollars go, the idea that they’re objective legislators goes right out the window.

Let’s not sugarcoat it. This is corruption. And if Congress were truly interested in stopping it, they could pass a law requiring all lawmakers to move their assets into blind trusts or limit their holdings to index funds and U.S. bonds. But don’t hold your breath.

The odds of meaningful reform are about the same as the odds of Congress imposing term limits on itself. Or the full, unredacted Jeffrey Epstein files being made public. In other words, it’s not happening.

So, what’s the takeaway? You could shake your fist at the system. Or, like Josephs, you could recognize reality and use it to your advantage.

The Nancy Pelosi Stock Tracker isn’t just about watching corruption unfold in real-time. It’s about identifying where the big money is flowing, which industries Congress is quietly betting on, and which companies are about to benefit. If you’re an investor, that’s information you can’t afford to ignore.


Addison Wiggin,
Grey Swan

P.S. To benefit yourself, what you need is an accurate source of information Congress is trading on. It’s going to be even more important as Musk and DOGE continue to romp around the deep state.

We’ve got a man with his finger on the pulse of Washington scuttlebutt.

The Wall Street Journal says Andrew Zatlin is “knocking it out of the park,” and Bloomberg has ranked his forecasting as #1 in their terminal many times over.

The Washington Post said during the Biden administration, Zatlin’s forecasts predicted economic data more accurately than the government’s own institutions…

Anticipating President Trump’s State of the Union address on March 4, 2025, Zatlin has identified three stocks he believes will directly benefit from the information flowing around the Capitol’s marbled halls.

Yesterday, we previewed Zatlin’s proprietary political trading tracker. If you missed it, we arranged for a replay, right here.

Please send your comments to addison@greyswanfraternity.com. Thank you in advance.


Are We In a Bubble?

November 25, 2025 • Timothy Sykes

CNBC analysts are debating it.

Twitter threads are dissecting it.

Portfolio managers are losing sleep over it.

One question is dominating financial news right now:

“Are we in a bubble?”

Are We In a Bubble?
The AI Boom’s Hidden Ticking Clock

November 25, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

We noticed yesterday, Michael Burry, of Big Short fame, just set up a Substack page to help understand the proper depreciation values of the “Nvidia Model.”

The simple fact is that longevity estimates determine the entire profit picture for Mag 7 companies, whose earnings have been beating expectations.

The current numbers don’t reflect reality. Model sizes grow faster than chip cycles. Performance requirements leapfrog hardware before the ink dries on the purchase orders. Depreciation schedules assume years of usefulness that, in practice, last months.

If that mismatch becomes undeniable, or even a popular meme, the bubble doesn’t burst spectacularly — it simply deflates through balance sheets. Slowly. Silently. Just enough to take the glow off the entire narrative.

The AI Boom’s Hidden Ticking Clock
A Simple Pair Trade

November 25, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

When the Fed began hiking rates to combat inflation, bond holdings tanked. Banks have been sweating it out, anticipating a rate cut cycle.

If the Fed cuts rates in December — odds now 80% — bond prices will continue to rise. Banks will be in better shape as unrealized losses decline. Hopefully, before a crisis breaks out.

But banks are not out of the woods, yet. And increased competition from digital assets (Dollar 2.0) will further squeeze the traditional banking business model.

A Simple Pair Trade
Buffett’s Thanksgiving Message

November 24, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

I’m happy to say I feel better about the second half of my life than the first. My advice: Don’t beat yourself up over past mistakes—learn at least a little from them and move on. It is never too late to improve. Get the right heroes and copy them.

Remember Alfred Nobel, later of Nobel Prize fame, who—reportedly—read his own obituary that was mistakenly printed when his brother died and a newspaper got mixed up. He was horrified at what he read and realized he should change his behavior.

Don’t count on a newsroom mix-up: Decide what you would like your obituary to say and live the life to deserve it.

Greatness does not come about through accumulating great amounts of money, great amounts of publicity, or great power in government. When you help someone in any one of thousands of ways, you help the world. Kindness is costless but also priceless. Whether you are religious or not, it’s hard to beat the Golden Rule as a guide to behavior.

Buffett’s Thanksgiving Message