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Beneath the Surface

Washington’s Last Scandal Exposed

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

February 28, 2025 • 3 minute, 2 second read


Congressional trading

Washington’s Last Scandal Exposed

“You can’t get rich in politics unless you’re a crook.”

– Harry Truman


 

February 28, 2025— Chris Josephs didn’t set out to expose one of the most lucrative investment strategies in America. He just wanted to make money. And, as it turns out, the best traders in the country aren’t sitting on Wall Street — they’re walking the halls of Congress.

Josephs, 29, co-founded an app that allows users to track the stock trades of U.S. lawmakers. He was recently on Tucker Carlson’s podcast, detailing how he arrived at his “if you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em” approach: Instead of lamenting the legalized corruption of congressional stock trading, he decided to profit from it.

According to Josephs, Nancy Pelosi alone has outperformed the S&P 500 by 50% since 2021. If that sounds outrageous, consider this: The lawmakers who write and regulate the rules of our economy are somehow, miraculously, also its most consistently successful investors.

Pelosi, for her part, has been quite clear. “It’s a free market,” she says. But that definition of “free” seems to apply exclusively to her stock portfolio — not, say, to the businesses subject to the regulations she helps craft. Because when Congress controls the money spigot, principles of fiscal restraint have a funny way of vanishing.

Tucker Carlson pointed out something even more fundamental: The money Congress throws around doesn’t come from some magical, self-replenishing pot. It comes from taxpayers. Or, failing that, from debt — piled high and financed by tomorrow’s taxpayers. So when members of Congress personally profit from deciding where those dollars go, the idea that they’re objective legislators goes right out the window.

Let’s not sugarcoat it. This is corruption. And if Congress were truly interested in stopping it, they could pass a law requiring all lawmakers to move their assets into blind trusts or limit their holdings to index funds and U.S. bonds. But don’t hold your breath.

The odds of meaningful reform are about the same as the odds of Congress imposing term limits on itself. Or the full, unredacted Jeffrey Epstein files being made public. In other words, it’s not happening.

So, what’s the takeaway? You could shake your fist at the system. Or, like Josephs, you could recognize reality and use it to your advantage.

The Nancy Pelosi Stock Tracker isn’t just about watching corruption unfold in real-time. It’s about identifying where the big money is flowing, which industries Congress is quietly betting on, and which companies are about to benefit. If you’re an investor, that’s information you can’t afford to ignore.


Addison Wiggin,
Grey Swan

P.S. To benefit yourself, what you need is an accurate source of information Congress is trading on. It’s going to be even more important as Musk and DOGE continue to romp around the deep state.

We’ve got a man with his finger on the pulse of Washington scuttlebutt.

The Wall Street Journal says Andrew Zatlin is “knocking it out of the park,” and Bloomberg has ranked his forecasting as #1 in their terminal many times over.

The Washington Post said during the Biden administration, Zatlin’s forecasts predicted economic data more accurately than the government’s own institutions…

Anticipating President Trump’s State of the Union address on March 4, 2025, Zatlin has identified three stocks he believes will directly benefit from the information flowing around the Capitol’s marbled halls.

Yesterday, we previewed Zatlin’s proprietary political trading tracker. If you missed it, we arranged for a replay, right here.

Please send your comments to addison@greyswanfraternity.com. Thank you in advance.


Gideon Ashwood: The Bondquake in Tokyo: Why Japan’s Shock Is Just the Beginning

December 5, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

For 30 years, Japan was the land where interest rates went to die.

The Bank of Japan used yield-curve control to keep long-term rates sedated. Traders joked that shorting Japanese bonds was the “widow-maker trade.”

Not anymore.

On November 20, 2025, everything changed. Quietly, but decisively.

The Bank of Japan finally pulled the plug on decades of easy money. Negative rates were removed. Yield-curve control was abandoned. The policy rate was lifted to a 17-year high.

Suddenly, global markets had to reprice something they had ignored for years.

What happens when the world’s largest creditor nation stops exporting cheap capital and starts pulling it back home?

The answer came fast. Bond yields in Europe and the United States began climbing. The Japanese yen strengthened sharply. Wall Street faltered.

Gideon Ashwood: The Bondquake in Tokyo: Why Japan’s Shock Is Just the Beginning
Minsky, the Fed, and the Fragile Good Cheer

December 5, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

The rate cut narrative is calcifying into gospel: the Fed must cut to save the consumer.

Bankrate reports that 59% of Americans cannot cover a $1,000 emergency without debt or selling something. And yet stocks are roaring, liquidity junkies are celebrating, and the top 10% now account for half of all consumer spending.

Here’s the plot twist: before 2020, consumer confidence faithfully tracked equity markets. After 2020, that relationship broke. As one analyst put it, “The poor don’t hate stocks going up. They just don’t feel it anymore.”

So when the Fed cuts rates in one of the hottest stock markets in history, who exactly benefits? Not the 59%. Not the middle. Certainly not anyone renting and watching shelter inflation devour their paycheck.

Minsky, the Fed, and the Fragile Good Cheer
The Unsinkable S&P

December 5, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Only the late-stage dot-com fever dreams did better in recent memory — back when analysts were valuing companies by the number of mammals breathing inside the office.

For the moment, stocks appear unsinkable, unslappable, and perhaps uninsurable. But this is what generational technology shifts do: they take a kernel of genuine innovation and inflate a decade of growth into a 36-month highlight reel. We’ve seen this movie. It premiered in 1999 and closed with adults crying into their PalmPilots.

And just as the internet continued reshaping the world long after Pets.com curled up and died, AI will keep marching on whether or not today’s multiples survive a stiff breeze. The technology is real. The valuations, however, will eventually need to stop hyperventilating and sit down with a glass of water.

The Unsinkable S&P
Dan Denning: So Much Depends on a Green Wheelbarrow

December 4, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Wheelbarrows are not chickens. A chicken is a biological production unit. A wheelbarrow is a capital good. A wheelbarrow doesn’t produce work. But it CAN be a productivity multiplier.

And that’s how we have to think of all those GPUs the hyperscalers are spending money on. If their thesis is right, trillion in AI and data center spending now, will translate into a massive burst in productivity and new technologies in the next two decades. That is the only justification for the current valuations/multiples at which these stocks trade now.

The American poet William Carlos Williams wrote, “So much depends, upon a red wheelbarrow, glazed with rainwater, beside the white chickens.”

Today the wheelbarrow is Nvidia Green. And so much of the stock market depends on that wheelbarrow being a big enough productivity multiplier to offset $340 trillion in debt.

Dan Denning: So Much Depends on a Green Wheelbarrow