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Ripple Effect

U.S. Government Spent 51% More Than It Took In Last Month

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

September 15, 2025 • 1 minute, 31 second read


debtdeficit

U.S. Government Spent 51% More Than It Took In Last Month

President Trump is happy that tariff taxes reaped by the government continue to grow.

For August, the U.S. government collected $30 billion in tariffs.

That’s good news if you’re a government bean counter.

However, tariff revenue still only makes up 10% of total government revenue. Back in April, Trump flirted with the idea that tariffs could lower or eliminate income taxes.

Politically, the idea sounds great.

In reality the numbers don’t come close.

The $344 billion the government collected from all forms of taxes last month is just 49% of the $689 billion it spent:

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The U.S. continues to run massive peacetime deficits. (Source: U.S. Treasury)

In other words, the government spent more than half of the money again, as much as it earned last month. Imagine how long spending like that would last if it were your family budget.

This week, the semi-annual budget theatre returns to Washington, D.C. House Speaker Mike Johnson will be making his rounds trying to justify another continuing resolution to keep the government open. All the while, the hard math of demography will grind away at the fabric of U.S. empire.

~ Addison

 

P.S. Politics are exerting pressure on money market funds, too.

This week on Grey Swan Live! with Adam O’Dell – at 2 p.m. ET, Thursday, September 18, 2025 — we’ll be investigating the $10 trillion pile of cash sitting on the sidelines during the terrifying bull market on Wall Street.

Mr. O’Dell has been warning investors how impending changes to monetary policy are going to force savers out of cash and into the markets… or gold. More details to come. Sign up now to become a member and join us for this week’s call.

If you have any questions for us about the market, send them our way now to: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com.


Grey Swan Forecast #6: China Annexes Taiwan — Without a Shot Fired

December 26, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Our forecast will feel obvious in hindsight and controversial in advance — the hallmark of a Grey Swan.

Most analysts we speak to are thinking in terms of the history of Western conflict. 

They expect full-frontal military engagement.

Beijing, from our modest perch, prefers resolution because resolution compounds its power. Why sacrifice the workshop of the world, when cajoling and bribery will do?

Taiwan will not fall.

It will merge.

Grey Swan Forecast #6: China Annexes Taiwan — Without a Shot Fired
Grey Swan Forecast #7: A Global Debt Crisis Will Reprice Democracy

December 24, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Wars, technology races, and political upheavals — all of them rest on fiscal capacity.

In 2026, that capacity will tighten across the developed world simultaneously. Democracies will discover that generosity financed by debt carries conditions, whether voters approve of them or not.

Bond markets will not shout so much as clear their throats. Repeatedly.

Grey Swan Forecast #7: A Global Debt Crisis Will Reprice Democracy
Seven Grey Swans, One Year Later

December 23, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Taken together, the seven Grey Swans of 2025 behaved less like isolated events and more like interlocking stories readers already recognize.

The year moved in phases. A sharp April selloff cleared leverage quickly. Policy shifted toward tax relief, lighter regulation, and renewed tolerance for liquidity. Innovations began to slowly dominate the marketplace conversation – from Dollar 2.0 digital assets to AI-powered applications in all manner of commercial enterprises, ranging from airline and hotel bookings to driverless taxis and robots. 

Seven Grey Swans, One Year Later
2025: The Lens We Used — Fire, Transition, and What’s Next… The Boom!

December 22, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Back in April, when we published what we called the Trump Great Reset Strategy, we described the grand realignment we believed President Trump and his acolytes were embarking on in three phases.

At the time, it read like a conceptual map. As the months passed, it began to feel like a set of operating instructions written in advance of turbulence.

As you can expect, any grandiose plan would get all kinds of blowback… but this year exhibited all manner of Trump Derangement Syndrome on top of the difficulty of steering a sclerotic empire clear of the rocky shores.

The “phases” were never about optimism or pessimism. They were about sequencing — how stress surfaces, how systems adapt, and what must hold before confidence can regenerate. And in the end, what do we do with our money?!

2025: The Lens We Used — Fire, Transition, and What’s Next… The Boom!