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Beneath the Surface

The Unmutual Society

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

August 7, 2024 • 6 minute, 53 second read


The Unmutual Society

“I will not be pushed, filed, stamped, indexed, briefed, debriefed, or numbered! My life is my own!”

– No. 6, The Prisoner


[Exciting News: You’re now seeing Grey Swan Investment Fraternity branding for this email, representing our new mission. There’s nothing you need to do on your end to continue receiving your emails. Our “new look” simply better represents our goal of delivering you deeper access to the Grey Swan intelligence community — and warn you of potential low-probability, but high-impact events. Watch for the Grey Swan website soon!]

 

August 7, 2024 — The dip buyers turned much of the market around yesterday, including Microsoft and Nvidia… the incestuous pair leading investment in Large Language Model (LLMs).

For a breather ourselves, Grey Swan’s managing editor Andrew Packer shares his recent experiences in Portmeirion, Wales, a unique piece of architecture with a unique history. And a lesson in public policy Tim Walz could most definitely learn from. Enjoy ~~ Addison

CONTINUED BELOW…


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The Unmutual Society: Finding Freedom In an Increasingly Unfree World
Andrew Packer, Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

Portmeirion, Wales – In November 1936, the United States started issuing its first Social Security cards.

Unlike today’s cards, which are printed on low-quality paper and we’re told not to laminate, they were made of higher-quality stock. I even have my great uncle’s old card, which he had bronzed.

There’s another major difference between the first run of cards and today’s. Before the early 1970s, the card had a specific line of text on the bottom of the card.

Turn Your Images On

Right there at the bottom: “Not for identification.”

Of course, today, your Social Security number is a crucial piece of identification for just about anything, not just your taxes and calculating your benefits.

That’s one of the major problems with government programs: mission creep.

There were legitimate concerns about how Social Security numbers could be used to track and identify American citizens. The program had to walk a fine line to ensure that Americans would be aided and benefitted, while also respecting their right to privacy. Today, however, identification is the primary purpose of the card.

But there’s something else about it too. Just consider your tax form…

When you file your taxes, are you John Q. Public, everyday man of the grand American republic? Or are you a bureaucratic number, devoid of any humanity?

It’s the number, isn’t it? It’s hard not to file your taxes and think of yourself as No. 6, the protagonist of the colorful and surreal 1960’s British television series, The Prisoner.

The series involves a British agent who submits his resignation. He’s gassed in his home, and wakes up in a mysterious village. Those who run the village want information, starting with why he resigned in the first place.

Each episode is either a test of wills with N0. 6 and the village leader (an ever-changing No. 2), or an attempt to escape. The opening credits end with the memorable:

“I am not a number, I am a free man!”

For four weeks in the summer of 1967, The Prisoner filmed its exterior shots in the resort of Portmeirion in Northern Wales, providing the iconic location of “The Village” from the show.

Turn Your Images On

Built between 1925 and 1975, the resort is a mismatch  vastly of architectural styles and bright colors, all fit into a remarkably small geographic area, along the steep Welsh slopes overlooking a tidal basin. No description can truly do it justice…

Turn Your Images On

It’s thrilling, but surreal, to see The Villiage in person. Amid the gorgeous scenery, replete in English-summer gray, it’s easy to get the sense of entering a land from a children’s story… or a Kafkaesque nightmare.

The village of The Prisoner hides an underground facility beneath the bright, cheery topside of Portmeirion. Behind the cheery faces of the prisoners belies technological and medical terrors designed to keep life docile.

If that sounds similar to some dangers being posed in today’s post-Covid age, it’s for a good reason…

Beware Today’s Monetary Mission Creep

In The Village, prisoners can get better creature comforts by earning work credits or work units. We don’t see any paper currency, as accounts are simply debited or credited as needed.

For 1967, that concept was ahead of its time. Credit cards were still in their infancy. But for a surveillance state, it’s a logical way to organize a monetary policy.

Last year, the Federal Reserve launched a program called FedNow.

The program is designed to allow the central bank to more efficiently settle payments globally.

However, it could also provide the infrastructure necessary to roll out a U.S.-based central bank digital currency (CBDC).

Essentially, a CBDC is programmable money. It can be provided – or withdrawn – instantly, with no settlement time. It’s also controlled and monitored in real-time.

Who programs this money? Central bankers. What is their goal? Precision control.

A CBDC could radically change your life. And not for the better. Perhaps the government thinks you shouldn’t buy a firearm. It could program a CBDC so that it couldn’t be used to make that purchase. And remember, as a fully digital currency, you wouldn’t be able to use physical cash.

Perhaps the government thinks you’ve donated too much to political parties that it disagrees with. The same thing could happen. If the operator of a CBDC decides that you’re “unmutual,” to borrow another word from The Prisoner, you could be fully cut off from all the money you’ve earned. Ever.

Even without a fully digital central currency, this is on par with China and its vile social credit system.

Think that sort of thing can’t happen in the United States? Think again.

The Federal Reserve likes to claim that it’s an independent central bank. And, while high-level members are appointed by Congress, it’s largely an untouchable institution.

If they’re able to roll out a CBDC, even politicians who have the spine to fight against it may not have the clout to succeed.

Just as your Social Security card wasn’t initially designed for identification, your money wasn’t designed to be fully controlled and observable at all times.

If a CBDC rolls out, we, too, will find our country much like the Village of The Prisoner.

And the rollout might occur amid a market crisis (yen carry trade unwind 2.0?) when investors clamor for policymakers to “do something.” ~ Andrew Packer, Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

So it goes,


Addison Wiggin
Founder, The Wiggin Sessions

P.S.: The Prisoner is available on Amazon Prime right now (regrettably with ads), and certainly worth a watch (or rewatch).

P.P.S.:  How did we get here? An alternative view of the financial, economic, and political history of the United States from Demise of the Dollar through Financial Reckoning Day and on to Empire of Debt — all three books are available in their third post-pandemic editions.

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(Or… simply pre-order Empire of Debt: We Came, We Saw, We Borrowed, now available at Amazon and Barnes & Noble or if you prefer one of these sites:Bookshop.org; Books-A-Million; or Target.)

Please send your comments, reactions, opprobrium, vitriol and praise to: addison@greyswanfraternity.com

Past performance is not indicative of future returns, investing involves risk. See disclosures masterworks.com/cd


The Money Printer Is Coming Back—And Trump Is Taking Over the Fed

December 9, 2025 • Lau Vegys

Trump and Powell are no buddies. They’ve been fighting over rate cuts all year—Trump demanding more, Powell holding back. Even after cutting twice, Trump called him “grossly incompetent” and said he’d “love to fire” him. The tension has been building for months.

And Trump now seems ready to install someone who shares his appetite for lower rates and easier money.

Trump has been dropping hints for weeks—saying on November 18, “I think I already know my choice,” and then doubling down last Sunday aboard Air Force One with, “I know who I am going to pick… we’ll be announcing it.”

He was referring to one Kevin Hassett, who—according to a recent Bloomberg report—has emerged as the overwhelming favorite to become the next Fed chair.

The Money Printer Is Coming Back—And Trump Is Taking Over the Fed
Waiting for Jerome

December 9, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Here we sit — investors, analysts, retirees, accountants, even a few masochistic economists — gathered beneath the leafless monetary tree, rehearsing our lines as we wait for Jerome Powell to step onstage and tell us what the future means.

Spoiler: he can’t. But that does not stop us from waiting.

Tomorrow, he is expected to deliver the December rate cut. Polymarket odds sit at 96% for a dainty 25-point cut.

Trump, Navarro and Lutnick pine for 50 points.

And somewhere in the wings smiles Kevin Hassett — at 74% odds this morning,  the presumed Powell successor — watching the last few snowflakes fall before his cue arrives.

Waiting for Jerome
Deep Value Going Global in 2026

December 9, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

With U.S. stocks trading at about 24 times forward earnings, plans for capital growth have to go off without a hitch. Given the billions of dollars in commitments by AI companies, financing to the hilt on debt, the most realistic outcome is a hitch.

On a valuation basis, global markets will likely show better returns than U.S. stocks in 2026.

America leads the world in innovation. A U.S. tech stock will naturally fetch a higher price than, say, a German brewery. But value matters, too.

Deep Value Going Global in 2026
Pablo Hill: An Unmistakable Pattern in Copper

December 8, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

As copper flowed into the United States, LME inventories thinned and backwardation steepened. Higher U.S. pricing, tariff protection, and lower political risk made American warehouses the most attractive destination for metal. Each new shipment strengthened the spread.

The arbitrage, once triggered, became self-reinforcing. Traders were not participating in theory; they were responding to the physical incentives in front of them.

The United States had quietly become the marginal buyer of the world’s most important industrial metal. China, long the gravitational center of global copper demand, found itself on the outside.

Pablo Hill: An Unmistakable Pattern in Copper