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Ripple Effect

The Truth About Gold

Loading ...Andrew Packer

August 22, 2025 • 1 minute, 16 second read


goldinflation-adjusted returns

The Truth About Gold

If you’re a regular Grey Swan reader, you already know the value in gold.

But in case you’re still on the sideline… or know someone who is…

This is the chart to share:

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As measured against gold’s purchasing power, stocks have lost ground against the metal since 1971. (Source: TradingView)

Measured in gold, stocks have underperformed the metal since the U.S. left the remnants of the gold standard in 1971.

You can see a small blip in stocks around 2000, reflecting not only the dotcom bubble, but gold hitting a generational low.

Sure, if you only held Apple, Tesla, and NVIDIA over the past 15 years, you may have fared better. Different timeframes will lead to different results.

But it goes to show that even though stocks are the best game in town, there’s still a place for gold in your portfolio.

And right now, gold mining stocks are starting to break higher, buoyed by higher earnings and cash flow potential for quarters to come.

~ Andrew

P.S. The stock market may soon undergo a “Quickening” event, where stocks soar as several technologies accelerate from here.

If that’s the case, stocks may pick up some slack in the short-term. And investors in the right stocks can make huge gains.

But when it comes time to take some profits, consider investing some of it into gold — the metal continues to stand the test of time.

If you have any questions for us about the market, send them our way now to: Addison@GreySwanFraternity.com.


Powell Cools Talk of December Rate Cut

October 30, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Yesterday’s Fed meeting offered something for everyone.

For bullish investors, the quarter-point rate cut provided a clear signal. And the Fed is just about done with its quantitative tightening.

But for the bears, Powell doused expectations that a December rate cut was 100% on the table.

Powell Cools Talk of December Rate Cut
Autonomous Weapons

October 29, 2025 • John Robb

In the past, weapon systems took decades to build and changed slowly. Autonomy changes this. For example, new capabilities developed by field tests or simulation (testing scenarios in full physics simulators depicting actual environments) could be downloaded to existing weapon systems, making it possible to upgrade a weapon system significantly without any meaningful hardware changes. A process of improvement that used to take many years would shrink to weeks and, in time, days.

Autonomous Weapons
The Great Repricing of Power

October 29, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Markets heard what they wanted. NVIDIA’s stock surged premarket on news that Trump would discuss the company’s Blackwell AI chip with Xi, pushing it to an unprecedented $5 trillion valuation.

Meanwhile, China quietly bought its first cargoes of U.S. soybeans this season — a symbolic gesture that reminded traders that diplomacy still runs on trade.

“It’s not détente,” wrote  Bloomberg’s Jennifer Welch this morning, “It is a dealmaking with a timer.” Wall Street is ambivalent on peace, but they do like profits.

In the background, China’s biotech sector continues its ethically murky sprint forward — this week, reports surfaced of Chinese scientists creating monkeys engineered to exhibit schizophrenia and autism.

The Great Repricing of Power
About Yesterday’s Rally

October 29, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

A high concentration of capital in a few stocks at the top ranks high among the features we detailed in Anatomy of a Stock Market Bubble.  

On days like yesterday, headlines urge investors to buy. However, they also underscore the fragility of this terrifying bull market: just a handful of names can make the difference between a big up day and a big down day.

About Yesterday’s Rally