GSI Banner
  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • My Account
  • Sign In
  • Join Now

  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • Contact

© 2026 Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

  • Cookie Policy
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information
  • Whitelist Us
Ripple Effect

The Small Cap Breakout

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

September 19, 2025 • 1 minute, 12 second read


IWMSmall Caps

The Small Cap Breakout

The terrifying bull market broadened its base yesterday, driven by expectations of easy money.

Small caps tend to be more dependent on borrowing to finance operations than the cash-rich mega-cap players.

So it’s no surprise that as the Fed acquiesced to cutting interest rates Wednesday, small caps, as measured by the Russell 2000 Index (IWM) broke out of a four-year range:

Turn Your Images On

Small cap stocks broke through an existing trading range to new all time highs yesterday.  (Source: TrendSpider)

Adam O’Dell suggested during yesterday’s Grey Swan Live! that the iShares Russell 2000 ETF, IWM, might be the index to watch – it could outperform the S&P 500 for the rest of the calendar year.

~ Addison

P.S. Our paid-up Grey Swan Investment Fraternity members got a masterclass in Adam’s data-driven approach to small-cap investing. That includes how he identified gold mining stocks before they outperformed the Mag 7 AI stocks over the past year.

Sign up now to become a member and join us for next week’s Live.

If you are already a member, look for your monthly Bulletin later today.

If you have any questions for us about the market, send them our way now to: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com.

How did we get here? Find out in these riveting reads: Demise of the Dollar, Financial Reckoning Day, and Empire of Debt — all three books are now available in their third post-pandemic editions. You might enjoy one or all three.


You Can’t Print That!

March 13, 2026 • Andrew Packer

The Federal Reserve can print money, but it can’t print oil. As energy prices surge and supply disruptions loom, the central bank may find itself with limited tools to fight inflation driven by real-world shortages.

You Can’t Print That!
The SPR Drain Is Worse than You Think

March 13, 2026 • Andrew Packer

The plan to release 172 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve would leave the U.S. with its smallest stockpile of emergency oil in more than four decades. And with tensions simmering globally, the shrinking reserve raises uncomfortable questions about how prepared the U.S. is for the next supply disruption…

The SPR Drain Is Worse than You Think
Now The West Begins To Panic

March 12, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The IEA is weighing the largest coordinated oil reserve release in its history, but global supply risks remain as tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz faces ongoing disruption…

Now The West Begins To Panic
When Macro and Seasonality Collide

March 12, 2026 • Andrew Packer

Headlines, a sluggish labor market, and persistent inflation are keeping the tone bearish, despite seasonal trends that usually turn bullish. But long-term investors can still find oversold opportunities if they buy strategically now…

When Macro and Seasonality Collide