GSI Banner
  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • My Account
  • Sign In
  • Join Now

  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • Contact

© 2026 Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

  • Cookie Policy
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information
  • Whitelist Us
Ripple Effect

The Small Cap Breakout

Addison WigginAddison Wiggin

September 19, 2025 • 1 minute, 12 second read


IWMSmall Caps

The Small Cap Breakout

The terrifying bull market broadened its base yesterday, driven by expectations of easy money.

Small caps tend to be more dependent on borrowing to finance operations than the cash-rich mega-cap players.

So it’s no surprise that as the Fed acquiesced to cutting interest rates Wednesday, small caps, as measured by the Russell 2000 Index (IWM) broke out of a four-year range:

Turn Your Images On

Small cap stocks broke through an existing trading range to new all time highs yesterday.  (Source: TrendSpider)

Adam O’Dell suggested during yesterday’s Grey Swan Live! that the iShares Russell 2000 ETF, IWM, might be the index to watch – it could outperform the S&P 500 for the rest of the calendar year.

~ Addison

P.S. Our paid-up Grey Swan Investment Fraternity members got a masterclass in Adam’s data-driven approach to small-cap investing. That includes how he identified gold mining stocks before they outperformed the Mag 7 AI stocks over the past year.

Sign up now to become a member and join us for next week’s Live.

If you are already a member, look for your monthly Bulletin later today.

If you have any questions for us about the market, send them our way now to: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com.

How did we get here? Find out in these riveting reads: Demise of the Dollar, Financial Reckoning Day, and Empire of Debt — all three books are now available in their third post-pandemic editions. You might enjoy one or all three.


Housing Shortage? Hardly.

September 11, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The dollar may be losing purchasing power, but housing prices aren’t getting the memo because buyers can’t afford the financing…

Housing Shortage? Hardly.
Bessent’s Three-Part Gambit

September 10, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Bessent lost round one with the bond vigilantes, but he could take another route involving the world’s most heavily shorted major currency…

Bessent’s Three-Part Gambit
The Sapporo Strategy

September 9, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Like the development of AI applications, the Sapporo model relies on allied capacity rather than on a single state-directed machine…

The Sapporo Strategy
Dollar “Debasement” Meet AI Buildout… Play Nice!

September 8, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

When other countries weaken their own currencies alongside the dollar, the result can become a global race toward lower purchasing power…

Dollar “Debasement” Meet AI Buildout… Play Nice!