GSI Banner
  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • My Account
  • Sign In
  • Join Now

  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • Contact

© 2026 Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

  • Cookie Policy
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information
  • Whitelist Us
Ripple Effect

The Small Cap Breakout

Addison WigginAddison Wiggin

September 19, 2025 • 1 minute, 12 second read


IWMSmall Caps

The Small Cap Breakout

The terrifying bull market broadened its base yesterday, driven by expectations of easy money.

Small caps tend to be more dependent on borrowing to finance operations than the cash-rich mega-cap players.

So it’s no surprise that as the Fed acquiesced to cutting interest rates Wednesday, small caps, as measured by the Russell 2000 Index (IWM) broke out of a four-year range:

Turn Your Images On

Small cap stocks broke through an existing trading range to new all time highs yesterday.  (Source: TrendSpider)

Adam O’Dell suggested during yesterday’s Grey Swan Live! that the iShares Russell 2000 ETF, IWM, might be the index to watch – it could outperform the S&P 500 for the rest of the calendar year.

~ Addison

P.S. Our paid-up Grey Swan Investment Fraternity members got a masterclass in Adam’s data-driven approach to small-cap investing. That includes how he identified gold mining stocks before they outperformed the Mag 7 AI stocks over the past year.

Sign up now to become a member and join us for next week’s Live.

If you are already a member, look for your monthly Bulletin later today.

If you have any questions for us about the market, send them our way now to: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com.

How did we get here? Find out in these riveting reads: Demise of the Dollar, Financial Reckoning Day, and Empire of Debt — all three books are now available in their third post-pandemic editions. You might enjoy one or all three.


Why the Semiconductor Trade Isn’t Over Yet

October 22, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

After leading stocks for most of 2026, the sell-off in the semiconductor space has taken off. But there’s another key component to the story.

Why the Semiconductor Trade Isn’t Over Yet
Uranium Stocks Are a Contrarian Buy Now

October 21, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Uranium is one of many oversold sectors. But when commodity stocks get oversold, the move higher tends to be strong…

Uranium Stocks Are a Contrarian Buy Now
Nobody Voted For This

October 20, 2026 • John Hunt

The dollar’s unique position as a fiat currency serving as the global reserve currency, cloaking dysfunctional government spending.

Nobody Voted For This
The AI Trade’s Next Swing Higher

October 20, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The AI buildout has reached historic proportions. As a consequence, everyone’s already in the pool… and borrowing more to swim extra laps…

The AI Trade’s Next Swing Higher