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Beneath the Surface

The Real Global Threat

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

August 13, 2024 • 2 minute, 57 second read


The Real Global Threat

“Only the dead have seen the end of war.”

– George Santayana

 


Amid the rising threat of all out war in the Middle East and a US senator in-country rooting for the Ukraine incursion into Russian territory, today we have new insight into modern global warfare…

Over the years, it has been eye-opening to share the insights Grey Swan founding contributor John Robb has about the military industrial complex, their impact on domestic politics and how influential they are in crafting US foreign policy.

It’s shocking to me every time I talk to him how little citizens know about what our military is up to let alone where the fat checks from our defense budget go…

But that’s just my perspective. I’ll let you make up your own mind. I recommend you listen to the entire Wiggin Sessions we just recorded together. You won’t look at the headlines coming out of the Middle East, Ukraine or the South China Sea the same way again.

John is a former Navy Seal mission architect and boots on-the-ground commander. After retiring from that gig because it was too physically demanding, he turned his intellect to analyzing social media networks for Forrester Research and forecasting their impact while developing counter-terrorist strategies. 

His first published work on social media for Forrester came out in 1995 a full decade before Facebook and Google were viable commercial efforts. 

His book Brave New War (2007) was a groundbreaking analysis of the post 9-11 military strategy fighting global terror organizations like Al Qeda and Isis. And helped inform military commanders and strategists from all the military branches. The book earned him a role as an adviser to the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.

Through his own private publishing group, Global Guerillas, Mr. Robb has continued developing his insights and informing groups that use his ideas in the financial markets, economic strategies… even marketing, as you’ll find out. 

Modern Warfare and The Real Global Threat

Last night, Senator Lindsey Graham made headlines globally cheering the Ukraine army’s novel push into Russian territory. 

Likewise, analysts – even in our own Grey Swan network – debated the veracity of claims that Iran is pushing a wider Mid-East war, not least by supporting Houthi, Hezbollah and Hamas terrorists with weapons, safe haven and financing.

The world is a volatile place. Mr. Robb believes that not only is the U.S. military-industrial complex’s desire to control all political events globally a fool’s errand destined to bankrupt the government, but it’s also the driving force behind what could ultimately be the financial ruin of the empire.

The details matter, of course. Specific details on how the Houthi rebels in Yemen and the Red Sea may actually encourage China’s invasion of Taiwan… and how the inevitable could trigger the collapse of the US dollar’s reserve currency status follow:

Watch the video right here.

Read a transcript of the video here.

Today, I’m sharing Part I of our most recent interview. John’s insight is derived from observing the global footprint of the West’s military and how technology through satellites, drones and encrypted communications – and now AI — have evolved to a new phase of modern warfare far surpassing the kinetic frontlines of conflicts in the past.

So it goes,

 

Addison Wiggin

Founder, Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

P.S. Part I is critical to understanding the forecast John makes in the second half of our Wiggin Session interview.  Part II is coming soon … so bone up… and stay tuned!


The AI Middle

March 4, 2026 • John Robb

Given our country’s history, a new middle based on proprietary autonomous AIs would generate a level of prosperity, dynamism, and societal success an order of magnitude greater than any AI-enabled socioeconomic system without it. Decentralized economic superempowerment would also serve as a bulwark against a slide into the long night of AI-enabled tyranny. So, what do we need to do to make it inevitable rather than a possibility?

The AI Middle
Trump Teases Escorts and Offers Insurance

March 4, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

President Trump ordered the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation to provide political-risk insurance and financial guarantees for commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

He also said the U.S. Navy could begin escorting tankers “if necessary” and “as soon as possible.”

The plan is meant to restart maritime traffic after Iran’s attacks and threats helped shut down the Strait of Hormuz, the waterway that carries about one-fifth of global oil and gas flows.

Trump Teases Escorts and Offers Insurance
China’s Oil Squeeze

March 4, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Nearly 90% of Iran’s exports and roughly half of Venezuela’s oil had been making its way to Chinese buyers, much of it feeding independent refineries and price-sensitive manufacturing supply chains.

China’s Oil Squeeze
The Disruption Doctrine

March 3, 2026 • John Robb

All of the prohibitions against decapitations or other catastrophic, disruptive attacks against opposition networks have evaporated. Everyone is now free to do it, and in most cases, there won’t be a response. Not only that, it’s not hard to do, so nearly everyone can (which is the reason this prohibition was put in place).

The Disruption Doctrine