GSI Banner
  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • My Account
  • Sign In
  • Join Now

  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • Contact

© 2025 Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

  • Cookie Policy
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information
  • Whitelist Us
Beneath the Surface

The Plot To Seize Russia, Redux

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

March 6, 2025 • 5 minute, 38 second read


NATORussiaUkraine

The Plot To Seize Russia, Redux

“Expanding NATO would be the most fateful error of American policy in the post cold-war era. Such a decision may be expected . . . to impel Russian foreign policy in directions decidedly not to our liking.”

– George Kennan, 1997


 

March 6, 2025— On Monday, a news nugget revealed Vice President JD Vance was heckled in Vermont over the weekend. Vance was on a family ski outing. A fellow skier shouted while Vance as Vance fumbled his way by: “Hey, JD, how does it feel to be in Putin’s pocket?”

Not all that surprising. Vermont, home to Senator Bernie Sanders, the self-identified Socialist who twice ran for President as a Democrat, prides itself on being a bastion of the progressive movement.

The Vance family ski trip to Sugarbush had been planned far in advance of the spat heard ’round the world between Vance, President Trump and Ukrainian wartime chief, Vlodymyr Zelensky.

Along the street near our Baltimore house, a politically active neighbor sports a chalkboard on the sidewalk where she parrots the left talking points. Perfect. Who needs headlines when we’ve got the local clarion telling us what way the political wind is blowing?

On Tuesday, her chalkboard read “Mafia Don Needs A Time Out!” followed by “I Heart Zelensky” in comic letters.

The two anecdotes point to one (just one) of the spectacular conundrums now facing the Democratic Party after Kamala Harris lost the election in November: How did the Democratic Party become the party that supports war?

The conservative gadfly Michael Shellenberger asked in his post on Public yesterday: “Why won’t the party of open borders, transgender rights and the climate apocalypse defend its agenda?”

Then goes on to answer it on X:

Turn Your Images On

Democrats have a terrible night in a Joint Session of Congress, Tuesday, March 4, 2025

We don’t have a dog in this fight, per se.

In fact, we remember explicitly writing during the 2015 primary season: “The worst thing Donald Trump ever did is make people care about politics again.”

Ironically, we happen to agree with Bernie Sanders, who appeared on NBC’s Meet the Press the day after an assassination attempt on then-candidate Donald Trump’s life in Butler, Pennsylvania, on July 13, 2025.

Sanders suggested trying to kill the man was a bad idea. Specifically, he said, “Politics is supposed to be boring.”

And so it is. Most of the time.

We share the dog we do have in the fight with every other tax-paying citizen.

We support DOGE’s efforts to reign in government waste, fraud and abuse. It’s absurd that people keep pointing out that Elon Musk is unelected… when unelected busybodies staff all the Federal agencies he’s looking into.

We also happen to agree with a point of contention that Russian President Vladimir Putin has made repeatedly.

Way before it became a social media meme, we discussed NATO’s outlandish goals and ambitions after the fall of the Soviet Union.

In one interview we did on our podcast, The Wiggin Sessions, our friend and military historian, Byron King, outlined the gross mission creep of the bureaucracy NATO became following the collapse of the Soviet Union.

Later, one of the most widely viewed episodes of the Wiggin Sessions is one from 2022. The iconoclast economist Martin Armstrong felt strongly enough about artifacts of Cold War expansionism to make a coffee table book out of his research.

Martin had sent me a copy out of the blue.

Turn Your Images On

Martin Armstrong’s 2022 coffee table expose of the Plot To Seize Russia (Source: Addison Wiggin)

Here’s an animated .gif from Reddit that illustrates one of the premises of Armstrong’s book:

Turn Your Images On

Growth of NATO in the 75 years since its inception (Source: Reddit)

Of course, as you might expect from a coffee table book, Armstrong digs into the many plot twists and points of intrigue that align over the years since the Wall came down in 1989.

Back to Vance getting heckled.

If you disagree with NATO mission creep…

If you disagree with a defensive alliance slowly encircling Russia…

If you are aware of Putin’s warnings to keep Ukraine out of NATO…

And if you disagree with your taxpayer money being used to fuel that mission creep… and a destructive war halfway around the planet… does that really mean you support the bloodthirsty megalomaniac Vladimir Putin?

Really?

The idea is as patently absurd as the oft-repeated trope that the 2024 election would be the last election of the U.S. Republic.

Politics as an enterprise is really about controlling money and resources.

Realpolitik, or, as we call it on occasion, metapolitics, is the art of calling a spade a spade and practicing diplomacy to achieve aims in one’s own national interest.

Like the proverbial pucker hole, everyone’s got a national interest.

Alas, war is the extension of failed politics.

People die.

Here’s the real question: When the United States has $36 trillion in debt and a deficit track destined to add trillions more each year, is it really in the nation’s best interest to support a hot war, even one where American lives are far from the front lines?

That’s just a tiny point, but it doesn’t do anything to help explain why the vice president is getting heckled as a traitor on a ski trip to Vermont.

Oy vey.

It’s really kind of astounding, isn’t it? How twisted and absurd the politics of a geriatric empire have become?

Regards,


Addison Wiggin,
Grey Swan

P.S. On Tuesday, BlackRock announced it will buy Hutchinson Port Holdings in a deal valued at $22.8 Billion. They operate 43 ports in 23 countries, including two of the four major ports that exist along the Panama Canal.

The deal will give the BlackRock consortium control over 43 ports in 23 countries, including Mexico, the Netherlands, Egypt, Australia, Pakistan and elsewhere.

The deal will allow BlackRock to acquire 90% of the interests in Panama Ports Company, which owns and operates the ports of Balboa and Cristobal in Panama.

We present it here as exhibit A in the argument we outlined yesterday in our email titled: “Trump Eats World, or Or, The Willful Destruction of the Old Order.”

P.P.S. Today, we’re releasing our latest research on 7 MAGA stocks  we expect to do very well under the current Trump administration. Whether you’re a paid subscriber or not, we’re taking a close look at how Trump’s policies could play out in the next four years.

If you’re a paid member of the Grey Swan Investment Advisory, you’ll receive an email later today with access to our latest reports. If you’re not yet a paying member, you can click here to get access to all our research.

Please send your comments to feedback@greyswanfraternity.com. Thank you in advance.


The Debasement “Trade”

November 18, 2025 • Mark Jeftovic

Bitcoin isn’t a trade and trying to time it with chart patterns generally does not work.

I’ve never really felt like technical analysis carried much real predictive edge in general and when it comes to BTC, I’ve seen too many failed “death crosses” to change my opinion.

The one that just triggered in mid-November as bitcoin flirted with $90,000 is just the latest.

What really matters? It’s a monetary regime change – if market participants are trading anything it’s getting rid of a currency (“it’s the denominator, stupid”) for a store of value – and we’re seeing it in spades with Bitcoin and gold.

The Debasement “Trade”
The Cult of Stock Market Riches

November 18, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

White-collar hiring is, in fact, slowing. Engel’s Pause is taking hold of the jobs picture.

In the meantime, everyday Americans are rediscovering an ancient truth: there is wisdom in wearing steel-toed boots.

Jobs that struggle to attract bodies in boom times are now seeing stampedes of applicants.

– Georgia’s Department of Corrections: applications up 40%.

– The U.S. military: reached 2025 recruiting goals early.

– Waste management staffing: applications up 50%.

For now, economists call this “labor market tightness.” Anyone who has ever scrubbed a grease trap knows it by another name: fear.

The Cult of Stock Market Riches
Whales Buy the Bitcoin Dip

November 18, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Bitcoin has historically weathered 30%+ corrections while still in a bull market. 

Global liquidity fears and lower odds of a Fed rate cut in December are driving bitcoin and other cryptos lower at present. 

As Andrew Zatlin described on Thursday’s Live! we can expect a series of stimulus efforts next year, ahead of the midterms, driving new liquidity. The $2,000 “tariff rebate” checks President Trump has been touting are but one example.

When higher liquidity hits the market – in whatever form it takes – today’s bitcoin buyers will be waiting.

Make like the whales, and use market selloffs and stimulus to your advantage.

Whales Buy the Bitcoin Dip
Private Credit’s Creditanstalt Moment

November 17, 2025 • Andrew Packer

The market seems to know something about private credit that we don’t. And in a big enough liquidity event for private credit, investors will have to sell off more liquid assets if they want capital.

That’s the danger private credit poses today, exactly at a time when rules are being eased to make it easier for retail investors like us to buy into this asset class.

I’m in the camp that this smells like a way to keep the party going by providing another source of liquidity – the passive investment flows from your regular 401(k) contributions. The smell takes on a sour note as this sector starts to falter.

Perhaps today’s selloff is simply a reaction to declining interest rates, the growth of private credit, and a few inevitable deals that have gone sour recently.

Private Credit’s Creditanstalt Moment