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Beneath the Surface

The Next Elon Musk

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

June 6, 2025 • 4 minute, 21 second read


AndurildefensePalmer Luckey

The Next Elon Musk

“If we continue to develop our technology without wisdom or prudence, our servant may prove to be our executioner.”

–Omar Bradley

June 6, 2025 — “I’m a crusader for vengeance. Not for truth.” – Palmer Luckey

It’s fitting that Donald Trump and Elon Musk had a very public, 11-hour, 47-minute social media spat yesterday.

We were… and are… already searching for the next Elon Musk.

And have found a good candidate.

In an age when our imperial fantasies are powered by microchips and monitored by drone, it’s only fitting that one of the strangest champions of the new American war machine looks like a cross between a Renaissance Fair cosplayer and a Mountain Dew-sponsored Bond villain.

Palmer Freeman Luckey — a man whose name sounds like it was cooked up in a video game character generator — has turned the Silicon Valley archetype on its head, stomped on it in sandals, and stuffed it into the fiberglass cockpit of a killer robot.

Yes, he invented the Oculus Rift.

Yes, he sold it to Mark Zuckerberg in 2o14, making him a billionaire at age 21.

And yes, he got fired from Meta for supporting a pro-Trump meme squad who were buying up billboard space to mock Kamala Harris on roadsides in real life.

All that is true.

But what really makes Palmer Luckey tick isn’t just tech, money, or the flashbulb of notoriety.

It’s a combustible cocktail of vengeance, obsession, frontier philosophy, and — ironically — hope.

At least, that’s what the picture painted by Jeremy Stern, a freelance writer profiling the young tech geek for The Tablet, asserts.

The article itself is worth an entertaining read.

Luckey operates less like a conventional entrepreneur and more like a techno-Tolkien paladin with a VR headset in one hand and a killer drone in the other.

He’s the anti-hero of Silicon Valley, the mullet-and-cargo-shorts engineer whose mission is as much metaphysical as military: to reclaim agency in a world trying to algorithmically strip it away.

He admits it himself. “I am a crusader for vengeance,” he said in 2024. “Not for truth.”

The fire that drives him isn’t moral purity — it’s a long memory and a longer grudge. Burned by Facebook, blacklisted by the media, disowned by the culture that celebrated him — Luckey did what a lot of fallen wunderkinder only dream of.

He came back. With drones.

His second act, Anduril, named for the sword that Aragorn wields in The Lord of the Rings trilogy, is not just a company. It’s a vendetta masquerading as a defense contractor. A challenge to both Silicon Valley’s performative pacifism and the Pentagon’s bureaucratic rot. A living bet that the defense of Western civilization can be outsourced not to government, but to a privately funded anime-loving armorer with a thing for Henry VIII cosplay.

This is what makes Palmer Luckey tick: He builds weapons to ensure peace. He seeks power not to dominate but to deter. He’s both a nationalist and a futurist, a capitalist with messianic undertones.

A man who knows that he can’t go back to the garage — but who also refuses to accept a world where being cancelled means being conquered. He is the prickly porcupine he wants America to become.

And he knows he can’t do it forever.

“This can’t last,” he said. “I cannot survive my whole life like this.”

But for now, that fuse is lit.

The rest of the story chronicles the events and ideologies that shaped this unlikely architect of empire…

And we’re only at the beginning. Stay tuned. It’s only fitting that we write these words on the 81st anniversary of D-Day.

Anduril is far from a household name – it’s still privately held, after all – but we suspect that it will come into the public’s eye in the months and years ahead much like another Tolkien-named company: Palantir.

Addison Wiggin
Grey Swan

P.S. We were joined by Frank Holmes, CEO of USFunds.com, on Grey Swan Live! yesterday. If you’re a paid-up member, it’ll also be worth your time to hear Frank talk about how the “sausage is made” behind the scenes of his successful ETFs covering the airline industry, luxury goods, AI and crypto data centers and his latest military tech.

You can catch the recorded conversation from Grey Swan Live! here.

In a follow-up conversation this morning, Frank told me he’s having his top researchers dig into Palmer Luckey’s private company, Anduril, to find more ways individual investors can get in before it goes public. Frank’s top Ukraine analyst is also going behind the scenes to understand the logistics of the surprise drone attack the Ukrainians launched in Russia on Wednesday.

“The Ukraine attack looks like a live beta test of Palmer Luckey’s ideas in action,” Frank suggested.

As you might guess, there’s way more to this story than a simple e-mail. The recent drone attacks have also been described to Grey Swan members by John Robb – but now we’re seeing the extent and reality of what 21st-century drone warfare can look like. We’ll keep you posted.

Your thoughts? Please send them here: addison@greyswanfraternity.com


The Money Printer Is Coming Back—And Trump Is Taking Over the Fed

December 9, 2025 • Lau Vegys

Trump and Powell are no buddies. They’ve been fighting over rate cuts all year—Trump demanding more, Powell holding back. Even after cutting twice, Trump called him “grossly incompetent” and said he’d “love to fire” him. The tension has been building for months.

And Trump now seems ready to install someone who shares his appetite for lower rates and easier money.

Trump has been dropping hints for weeks—saying on November 18, “I think I already know my choice,” and then doubling down last Sunday aboard Air Force One with, “I know who I am going to pick… we’ll be announcing it.”

He was referring to one Kevin Hassett, who—according to a recent Bloomberg report—has emerged as the overwhelming favorite to become the next Fed chair.

The Money Printer Is Coming Back—And Trump Is Taking Over the Fed
Waiting for Jerome

December 9, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Here we sit — investors, analysts, retirees, accountants, even a few masochistic economists — gathered beneath the leafless monetary tree, rehearsing our lines as we wait for Jerome Powell to step onstage and tell us what the future means.

Spoiler: he can’t. But that does not stop us from waiting.

Tomorrow, he is expected to deliver the December rate cut. Polymarket odds sit at 96% for a dainty 25-point cut.

Trump, Navarro and Lutnick pine for 50 points.

And somewhere in the wings smiles Kevin Hassett — at 74% odds this morning,  the presumed Powell successor — watching the last few snowflakes fall before his cue arrives.

Waiting for Jerome
Deep Value Going Global in 2026

December 9, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

With U.S. stocks trading at about 24 times forward earnings, plans for capital growth have to go off without a hitch. Given the billions of dollars in commitments by AI companies, financing to the hilt on debt, the most realistic outcome is a hitch.

On a valuation basis, global markets will likely show better returns than U.S. stocks in 2026.

America leads the world in innovation. A U.S. tech stock will naturally fetch a higher price than, say, a German brewery. But value matters, too.

Deep Value Going Global in 2026
Pablo Hill: An Unmistakable Pattern in Copper

December 8, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

As copper flowed into the United States, LME inventories thinned and backwardation steepened. Higher U.S. pricing, tariff protection, and lower political risk made American warehouses the most attractive destination for metal. Each new shipment strengthened the spread.

The arbitrage, once triggered, became self-reinforcing. Traders were not participating in theory; they were responding to the physical incentives in front of them.

The United States had quietly become the marginal buyer of the world’s most important industrial metal. China, long the gravitational center of global copper demand, found itself on the outside.

Pablo Hill: An Unmistakable Pattern in Copper