GSI Banner
  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • My Account
  • Sign In
  • Join Now

  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • Contact

© 2026 Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

  • Cookie Policy
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information
  • Whitelist Us
Ripple Effect

The Next Banking Crisis Is A Failure Away

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

May 23, 2025 • 58 second read


banking systemBanks

The Next Banking Crisis Is A Failure Away

Bond yields are soaring, with the benchmark 30-year U.S. Treasury bond hitting 5.15% this week.

With yields rising, bond holders are sitting on substantial losses. Perhaps the worst of those losses are in the banking sector.

Turn Your Images On

In total, U.S. banks are sitting on over $480 billion in unrealized losses.

Remember, it took a much smaller crack in the bond market to lead to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, the second-largest bank failure in U.S history.

As we noted in Grey Swan Live! yesterday, unrealized bond losses may have to be realized at an inopportune time. The Federal Reserve was able to paper over those losses last time quickly, but events could quickly run out of control.

~ Addison

 

P.S. We’ve released new research on today’s markets, and how President Trump is following through on a Great Reset of the U.S. economy. This first phase isn’t pretty – we call it the Great Fire. But it could still mean some big investment opportunities now. Click here for more details.

As always, your reader feedback is welcome: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com (We read all emails. Thanks in advance for your contribution.)


You Can’t Print That!

March 13, 2026 • Andrew Packer

The Federal Reserve can print money, but it can’t print oil. As energy prices surge and supply disruptions loom, the central bank may find itself with limited tools to fight inflation driven by real-world shortages.

You Can’t Print That!
The SPR Drain Is Worse than You Think

March 13, 2026 • Andrew Packer

The plan to release 172 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve would leave the U.S. with its smallest stockpile of emergency oil in more than four decades. And with tensions simmering globally, the shrinking reserve raises uncomfortable questions about how prepared the U.S. is for the next supply disruption…

The SPR Drain Is Worse than You Think
Now The West Begins To Panic

March 12, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The IEA is weighing the largest coordinated oil reserve release in its history, but global supply risks remain as tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz faces ongoing disruption…

Now The West Begins To Panic
When Macro and Seasonality Collide

March 12, 2026 • Andrew Packer

Headlines, a sluggish labor market, and persistent inflation are keeping the tone bearish, despite seasonal trends that usually turn bullish. But long-term investors can still find oversold opportunities if they buy strategically now…

When Macro and Seasonality Collide