GSI Banner
  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • My Account
  • Sign In
  • Join Now

  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • Contact

© 2026 Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

  • Cookie Policy
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information
  • Whitelist Us
Ripple Effect

The Next Banking Crisis Is A Failure Away

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

May 23, 2025 • 58 second read


banking systemBanks

The Next Banking Crisis Is A Failure Away

Bond yields are soaring, with the benchmark 30-year U.S. Treasury bond hitting 5.15% this week.

With yields rising, bond holders are sitting on substantial losses. Perhaps the worst of those losses are in the banking sector.

Turn Your Images On

In total, U.S. banks are sitting on over $480 billion in unrealized losses.

Remember, it took a much smaller crack in the bond market to lead to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, the second-largest bank failure in U.S history.

As we noted in Grey Swan Live! yesterday, unrealized bond losses may have to be realized at an inopportune time. The Federal Reserve was able to paper over those losses last time quickly, but events could quickly run out of control.

~ Addison

 

P.S. We’ve released new research on today’s markets, and how President Trump is following through on a Great Reset of the U.S. economy. This first phase isn’t pretty – we call it the Great Fire. But it could still mean some big investment opportunities now. Click here for more details.

As always, your reader feedback is welcome: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com (We read all emails. Thanks in advance for your contribution.)


Don’t Be a Turkey

April 3, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Gold is an ideal hedge for protection against government foolishness and market volatility. Except… when it isn’t, like we’re seeing today.

Don’t Be a Turkey
Shattered Assumptions, Real Energy

April 2, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Politicians talk. Markets often discount any potential follow-through or just ignore them altogether. But Trump isn’t like other politicians.

Shattered Assumptions, Real Energy
Private Credit’s Implosion

April 2, 2026 • Andrew Packer

With private credit infecting the entire financial system, the contagion is proving as hard to “contain” as subprime mortgages in 2007…

Private Credit’s Implosion
Mr. Powell, Please Do No Harm

March 31, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Fix the system, and it snaps under pressure. Free it, and it adapts. The Federal Reserve is about to make that choice in real time…

Mr. Powell, Please Do No Harm