GSI Banner
  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • My Account
  • Sign In
  • Join Now

  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • Contact

© 2026 Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

  • Cookie Policy
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information
  • Whitelist Us
Ripple Effect

The Next Banking Crisis Is A Failure Away

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

May 23, 2025 • 58 second read


banking systemBanks

The Next Banking Crisis Is A Failure Away

Bond yields are soaring, with the benchmark 30-year U.S. Treasury bond hitting 5.15% this week.

With yields rising, bond holders are sitting on substantial losses. Perhaps the worst of those losses are in the banking sector.

Turn Your Images On

In total, U.S. banks are sitting on over $480 billion in unrealized losses.

Remember, it took a much smaller crack in the bond market to lead to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, the second-largest bank failure in U.S history.

As we noted in Grey Swan Live! yesterday, unrealized bond losses may have to be realized at an inopportune time. The Federal Reserve was able to paper over those losses last time quickly, but events could quickly run out of control.

~ Addison

 

P.S. We’ve released new research on today’s markets, and how President Trump is following through on a Great Reset of the U.S. economy. This first phase isn’t pretty – we call it the Great Fire. But it could still mean some big investment opportunities now. Click here for more details.

As always, your reader feedback is welcome: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com (We read all emails. Thanks in advance for your contribution.)


Debt, Demographics and the Great Race

May 15, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Trump’s global reset tour stop in Beijing gives us a chance to step back and examine the big picture amid heightened geopolitical tensions…

Debt, Demographics and the Great Race
Treasury Bond Yields Hit 2007 Highs

May 15, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The risk/reward equation around earnings season has shifted sharply, as downside reactions now vastly upside from positive surprises…

Treasury Bond Yields Hit 2007 Highs
XI, Warsh, Clarity, Tether and Gold

May 14, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Xi Jinping rolled out the pageantry in Beijing, but beneath the ceremony the same hard-edged U.S.-China negotiations remain unresolved.

XI, Warsh, Clarity, Tether and Gold
Dollar 2.0 Is About to Go Into Overdrive

May 14, 2026 • Andrew Packer

The shift toward blockchain-based finance could create faster, cheaper and always-open global markets for trading tokenized assets.

Dollar 2.0 Is About to Go Into Overdrive