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Ripple Effect

The Income Effect

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

September 11, 2025 • 1 minute, 44 second read


DividendsIncome

The Income Effect

Your investment returns come from just two sources.

The first is capital gains. As the AI bubble blows higher, that’s the big focus for investors.

That means the second source of returns is being overlooked.

What’s the second source? Income.

The dividend yield on the S&P 500 is a paltry 1.18% today, almost touching its 1999 low:

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Investors ignore income stocks at their own peril (Source: Multpl)

Dividend-paying stocks have a lot to offer investors. A company can restate its earnings – but they can’t restate a cash dividend.

Plus, dividend growth companies tend to offer lower beta, or volatility relative to the market itself.

Finally, as Jeremy Siegel has documented in Stocks for the Long Run, over an investor’s lifetime, reinvesting dividends can account for over half of an investor’s total returns.

With the growing likelihood of a terrifying bull market in stocks kicking off, investors can get a relative safe-haven with dividend-paying stocks.

With the Fed about to slash interest rates, dividends may soon be the best game in town for income investors.

Even with overall yields looking low, there are plenty of companies that still offer decent yields and the potential to grow their dividend over time. We have plenty of such holdings in our Model Portfolio.

~ Addison

P.S.: Grey Swan Live! this afternoon at 2 pm ET: Mark Jeftovic joins us for “Shadow Fed & the American Dream” — how a September rate cut could hit the dollar’s purchasing power, where the money-market flood might go next, and why “control of money” is migrating from central banks to code, corporates, and courts.

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No doubt, we’ll touch on the claims made by Anton Kobyakov, senior adviser to Russian President Vladimir Putin, that the U.S. is using stablecoins to devalue its debt. Paid members, join us at 2 p.m. ET today.

If you’re not a paid member of the Grey Swan Investment Fraternity, you can review the benefits of becoming one here.

If you have any questions for us about the market, send them our way now to: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com.


Marin Katusa: Silver Miner Q4 Earnings Will Set Records

January 16, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Mining stocks amplify everything. First Majestic went from losing money to 45% margins without building anything new. They just held the line on costs while silver did the heavy lifting.

That cuts both ways. If silver drops hard, margins compress just as fast. Same leverage, opposite direction.

The miners with the lowest costs and cleanest balance sheets will hold up best in a pullback and capture the most upside if the deficit keeps grinding.

Marin Katusa: Silver Miner Q4 Earnings Will Set Records
“Dispersion Rising”

January 16, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Economists at Goldman Sachs said this morning they expect core inflation to finish the year around 2% even while GDP rises at a “surprisingly strong” 2.5% clip.

In our view, their inflation forecast is optimistic. Their GDP call? Modest.

The last time we pumped this much liquidity into the system — 2020 through 2022—the result was a manic asset bubble, runaway inflation, and an epic hangover at the Fed.

Goldman’s optimism has triggered a fresh round of bullish bets: cyclical stocks are rallying, “dispersion” in the S&P 500 is spiking, and the Fed is expected to cut interest rates twice before Jerome Powell gets kicked out of Washington at the end of his term on May 15.

“Dispersion Rising”
The Boom Behind the Data

January 16, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Anecdotally, we’re hearing stories of warehouses full of GPUs sitting unused for lack of energy to power them. It’s a natural feature of the heavy capital investment in new machines. The grid has to catch up!

While Trump’s great reset rolls on in 2026, keep an eye on modular nuclear reactors and increased demand for uranium, natural gas and related resources.

The Boom Behind the Data
The Economics of Precious Metals Stocks Today

January 15, 2026 • Shad Marquitz

These PM producers are literally printing the most ‘hard money’ that they ever have at these metals prices and record margins here at the midway point in Q4.

If there ever was a time for this sector to get overheated and frothy, this would be it… only that isn’t what we’ve seen playing out.

PM producers are still insanely profitable at even at current metals prices and should be far more valuable based on their margins, revenue generating potential, and their resources still in the ground.

The Economics of Precious Metals Stocks Today