GSI Banner
  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • My Account
  • Sign In
  • Join Now

  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • Contact

© 2026 Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

  • Cookie Policy
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information
  • Whitelist Us
Ripple Effect

The Great NATO Caper

Addison WigginAddison Wiggin

January 21, 2026 • 2 minute, 6 second read


defense spendingEuropeNATO

The Great NATO Caper

President Trump made it to the 2026 World Economic Forum in Davos, in spite of an “electrical problem” forcing Air Force One to return to Andrews Air Force Base here in Maryland one hour into the flight.

One item we’re confident the President will drill his European counterparts on while at the World Economic Forum in Davos is how they’ve benefited from having the U.S. as a defense partner:

Turn Your Images On

Eurozone spending on social programs far exceeds its defence spending (Source: Ifo Institute)

Social spending in Europe has roughly doubled in the past 30 years. But only in 2025 has defense spending returned to levels last seen when the Berlin Wall was still standing.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent estimated on NBC’s Meet the Press over the weekend that the US has spent 22 trillion dollars on its commitment to NATO. Or, roughly two-thirds of the U.S.’s $38 trillion in national debt.

With the administration’s push for “Complete and Total control” (Truth Social) of Greenland, we don’t expect the attendees in Davos to offer much of a mange tak, merci, danke or muchas gracias to the US delegation. The status quo has worked just fine for them since 1990.

~ Addison

P.S. We’ve got another Grey Swan Live! two-fer for you this week:

First up, it’s a tale of two “M’s” …  Mamdani vs. Milei. If you listen to Milei’s address to the WEF in 2024 and Mamdani’s inaugural address from this year, you’ll be blown away.

They both are in sharp contrast to Trump’s foreign policy and approach to state capitalism.

This week, we called up Joel Bowman — our “man on the scene” in Buenos Aires since before President Milei got elected.

We’ll get his take on Milei and Mamdani and a primer on Investing At the End of the World.

Turn Your Images On

Then on Friday — because it’s not just about what we trade, but how we trade — we’re hosting a special presentation on how to stop overpaying the IRS in 2026.

Our guest Nick Buhelos is going to walk us through simple steps on how you can:

  • Unlock 250+ deductions you currently can’t access.
  • Apply trading losses to other income (W2, 1099, even your spouse’s).
  • Shield your personal finances from trading risk.

Stay tuned for more details on how to join us Friday at 1 p.m. ET.

If you have requests for new guests you’d like to see join us for Grey Swan Live!,  or have any questions for our guests, send them here.


🏠 The American Dream Gets a Roommate

June 25, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Housing as a proxy for “affordability” in the U.S. presents a real challenge for the Federal Reserve and Treasury in this new regime…

🏠 The American Dream Gets a Roommate
Party Like It’s 1998

June 25, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Micron remains a strong AI play, but its volatility highlights growing anxiety over whether AI enthusiasm is racing ahead of reality…

Party Like It’s 1998
🧠 Idaho, AI, and the New American (Socialist) Experiment

June 24, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

With Big Tech preparing to spend huge on AI infrastructure, the race to dominate AI is increasingly becoming a race to build right now…

🧠 Idaho, AI, and the New American (Socialist) Experiment
Micron, Micron, Microoon…

June 24, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

As fears of an “AI bubble” fade from public attention, Micron’s results could reinforce the view that AI-driven growth remains firmly intact.

Micron, Micron, Microoon…