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Ripple Effect

The Buck Gets Whacked

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

January 28, 2026 • 1 minute, 36 second read


U.S. dollar

The Buck Gets Whacked

Silver is trading above $110 per ounce. Gold touched on $5,300 overnight. A big part of that story in the past 48 hours is the mechanism most investors use to value those assets  – the dollar.

The U.S. dollar index has cratered to a four-year low:

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The U.S. dollar has broken to a four-year low, potentially boosting exports and supporting asset prices.
(Source: Kobeissi Letter)

A push for lower interest rates, jawboning by Trump administration officials, and concerns over U.S. debt levels are giving the dollar a good thrashing.

Dollar-denominated assets, from global commodities to U.S. stocks — even competing fiat currencies — will see prices rise versus the U.S. variety until this trend shifts.

Take note: if the dollar rout gets out of hand, the crack-up boom we forecast for 2026 will commence in earnest.

~ Addison

P.S. This week on Grey Swan Live! – Thursday, January 29, 2026, at 2 p.m. ET – we’ll be joined by Ronan McMahon of Real Estate Trend Alert . Real estate – particularly bought in foreign locales – can avoid much of the volatility of traditional assets in the U.S., even while appreciating in dollar terms.

Ronan’s going to treat us to real estate deals he’s got cooking in Mexico, Panama and Paraguay… it’s going to be a welcome tropical topic after this week’s bout with winter weather in North America.

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Ronan’s also been scouting property in Venezuela – yes, Venezuela – following Trump’s abrupt capture of Nicolas Maduro to kick off the new year. We haven’t spoken to him yet about this property, but we’ve heard he found beachfront condos for $15,000. Not everyone’s cup of tea, for sure. But if you’re into crisis investing… well, we’ll find out what deals Ronan has found.

If you have requests for new guests you’d like to see join us for Grey Swan Live!,  or have any questions for our guests, send them here.


Hedge Funds Crowd the “Sell America” Trade

February 10, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Funds net sold U.S. equities for a fourth straight week, at the fastest clip since the opening chapter of the Trump trade war on April 2, 2025.

Despite that positioning, the indexes pushed higher on Monday.

Dip buyers stepped in after last week’s slide and nudged indexes back toward their highs.
Chipmakers gained ground, and a software ETF tacked on close to 7% across two sessions, a quick counterpoint to the sector’s recent purge. Sameer Samana at Wells Fargo Investment Institute described the move as the market’s reflex after steep selloffs—fast hands cover, slower money watches.

Hedge Funds Crowd the “Sell America” Trade
Bitcoin Approaches Its Final Million

February 10, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Every ten minutes, the bitcoin network completes another block of transaction data. Another bitcoin miner seeks a reward.

The reward is cut in half every four years, thanks to the “halving protocol” which established the coin’s scarcity algorithm. Next month, total bitcoin supply will hit 20 million, leaving just 1 million left to be mined.

Bitcoin Approaches Its Final Million
Broad Market Rally Meet Narrowing Political Window

February 9, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The Nasdaq logged its fourth straight down week, pulled lower by the “SaaSpocalypse” in software.

Goldman Sachs’ Software Basket fell 16% for the week. Hedge fund exposure to software shrank sharply, according to Prime Book data.

Lou Miller, Goldman’s global head of Equity Custom Baskets, told clients that buyers remained scarce even as the group entered oversold territory.

In the late 1990s, telecom infrastructure outpaced demand, pricing compressed, and equity valuations adjusted long before usage caught up.

Today’s AI buildout carries healthier balance sheets and real utility, yet capital intensity remains high, and patience wears thin when returns depend on perfect adoption curves.

Broad Market Rally Meet Narrowing Political Window
Correlation Breakdown

February 9, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The week’s trading revealed that a rotation out of high-flying tech into defensive names is well underway. The Dow, which includes broader, non-tech-related stocks, is starting the week above 50,000 for the first time in its history.  

Correlation Breakdown