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Ripple Effect

Source of the “Debasement Trade”

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

October 22, 2025 • 2 minute, 13 second read


money supply

Source of the “Debasement Trade”

The global money supply is growing quickly.

Still.

M2 — cash — is up $8 trillion in the past six months alone.

Annualized, global money is growing at a 12% rate. That’s 6 times the Fed’s 2% inflation target, and over 4 times the current pace:

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While headline inflation is still under 3%, global money supply has grown 12% annually since 2020. (Source: Croseus_BTC via X)

Gold dropped nearly 2% yesterday. But with the massive increase in fiat currencies globally, that’s an opportunity to buy more cheaply.

With that much cash sloshing around the system, the “debasement trade” is a go.

Still.

~ Addison

P.S. Tomorrow on Grey Swan Live! — Thursday, October 23, at 2 p.m. ET — we’re going down the Anatomy of a Stock Market Bubble: the impressive list of historical records this terrifying bull market has already hit — including retail investor buy-in, record margin debt and capital concentration at the top of the S&P 500.

We’ll also lay out in simple terms the AI crash scenario. Mostly, so you’re aware of what’s at stake, where we think this market is going.

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As Andrew Ross Sorkin, author of Too Big To Fail, said this week while promoting his new book “1929,” if we’re all in agreement this is a bubble in AI stocks, the trick is to “know when to get on [and more importantly] get off, the wave.”

Then, on Friday, October 24, at 2 p.m. ET, we’re going to do a comprehensive asset allocation and model portfolio review for paid-up annual members of the Grey Swan Investment Fraternity.

During the review session on Friday, we’ll be giving you access to an exclusive Plunge Protection Plan (for annual members only), including ways you can protect your money against a stock market correction and a few aggressive ways you can make money like the pros when the stock market goes down.

(Note: You still have time to subscribe and get the Plan on Friday. Click here for details.)

We’ll be providing more details throughout the week. But for now, mark your calendar for these two dates:

  • Thursday, October 23, 2025 @ 2 p.m. ET — comprehensive overview of the “terrifying bull market.”
  • Friday, October 24, 2025 @ 2 p.m. ET — a comprehensive review of the Grey Swan asset allocation strategy and model portfolio. (For paid up annual members only)

The time to prepare for a market correction is before it happens, not while or after. If you wait too long, the exits will get crowded in a hurry… and you don’t want to be worrying about your money if and when that happens.

If you have any questions for us about the market, send them our way now to: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com.


Panama, The Strait… and Private Credit

March 16, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

With the United States conducting what the Pentagon politely calls an “operation” against Iranian military infrastructure, markets have had every reason to be panicky. Instead, the past week delivered something subtler…

Panama, The Strait… and Private Credit
All that Glitters Ain’t Enough

March 16, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Gold has been consolidating after a powerful multiyear rally. Yet with America’s gold reserves equal to only about 3% of federal debt, the metal could still have significant upside ahead.

All that Glitters Ain’t Enough
You Can’t Print That!

March 13, 2026 • Andrew Packer

The Federal Reserve can print money, but it can’t print oil. As energy prices surge and supply disruptions loom, the central bank may find itself with limited tools to fight inflation driven by real-world shortages.

You Can’t Print That!
The SPR Drain Is Worse than You Think

March 13, 2026 • Andrew Packer

The plan to release 172 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve would leave the U.S. with its smallest stockpile of emergency oil in more than four decades. And with tensions simmering globally, the shrinking reserve raises uncomfortable questions about how prepared the U.S. is for the next supply disruption…

The SPR Drain Is Worse than You Think