Silver’s 40-Year Breakout

Gold has topped $3,500… and silver is finally moving along for the ride.

The metal topped $40 on Friday, its highest close since 2011.

That’s 14 years of sideways trading.

Even though silver has strong industrial demand on top of a historical use case as money. And on August 28, silver was listed among the Trump administration’s classification as a “critical metal” for the US economy.

We’re writing about silver today for a different reason.

One key technical chart suggests that the breakout is the start of what could be a multi-year rally, because it’s a chart 40 years in the making:

Turn Your Images On

Silver isn’t just at an 11-year high, it’s showing a technical pattern that suggests a further break higher
(Source: Kinesis)

We generally use technical indicators to determine short-term momentum in specific stocks are sectors. Today’s silver breakout reveals a longer term trend.

Silver first reached a peak of $50 per ounce in 1980. Then, it languished and hit $48 in 2011 during the last peak.

After adjusting for inflation, silver still needs to soar closer to $200 per ounce to make all-time highs.

With a cup-and-handle breakout now in the cards, it’s possible that in the next few years, the metal could do just that. In the shorter term? It could jump to $50 per ounce.

~ Addison

P.S. Grey Swan Live! returns at a special new time on Thursday at 2:00 P.M. ET. We’ve gotten feedback suggesting it would be more polite to host GSLive! at 2pm Eastern Time, 11am on the West Coast. More civilized for our members in California. Cheers.

We’ll be joined by Ian King, looking at the latest moves in the cryptocurrency market – including the rise of Ethereum as the rally in bitcoin takes a pause.

Ian’s recent predictions include a new event that could trigger a new crypto boom, sending the market cap of the space to $8.5 trillion by 2030 – as well as the latest on President Trump’s plans for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.

All that and Ian will cover some of the top token opportunities in the cryptocurrency space as this asset class continues to push higher.

If you have any questions for us about the market, send them our way now to: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com.

Gold has topped $3,500… and silver is finally moving along for the ride.

The metal topped $40 on Friday, its highest close since 2011.

That’s 14 years of sideways trading.

We’re writing about silver today for a different reason.

One key technical chart suggests that the breakout is the start of what could be a multi-year rally, because it’s a chart 40 years in the making:

Turn Your Images On

Silver isn’t just at an 11-year high, it’s showing a technical pattern that suggests a further break higher
(Source: Kinesis)

We generally use technical indicators to determine short-term momentum in specific stocks are sectors. Today’s silver breakout reveals a longer term trend.

Silver first reached a peak of $50 per ounce in 1980. Then, it languished and hit $48 in 2011 during the last peak.

After adjusting for inflation, silver still needs to soar closer to $200 per ounce to make all-time highs.

With a cup-and-handle breakout now in the cards, it’s possible that in the next few years, the metal could do just that. In the shorter term? It could jump to $50 per ounce.

~ Addison

We’ll be joined by Ian King, looking at the latest moves in the cryptocurrency market – including the rise of Ethereum as the rally in bitcoin takes a pause.

All that and Ian will cover some of the top token opportunities in the cryptocurrency space as this asset class continues to push higher.

If you have any questions for us about the market, send them our way now to: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com.

The stock market “rebalancing” is a polite way to put it. Energy and health care are getting a healthy boost. But tech hardware and software makers are still getting dressed down and have been asked to report to the principal’s office.

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The S&P 500 has traded in a 3.7% range over the past two months — less than half the 20-year median of 8.6%. One of the tightest ranges in modern history.

In trader parlance, the indexes are “flat,” a setup that often materializes before a sell-off at the top after a multi-year bull market.

Goldman Sachs told its own traders to be aware that institutional trading activity resembles a VIX reading near 35. Rather than a reading of 20, where the VIX has been trading over that same 2-month period.

The U.S. software ETF, IGV, tested its April 2025 lows last week and trades roughly 35% below its peak. The “SaaS-pocalypse” in software companies reflects the fear of Citrini’s 2028 scenario happening in real time. That divergence now exceeds the spread seen at the peak of the Great Financial Crisis.

Under the surface, the “great rotation” we wrote about last week is threatening to widen.

Despite its overly-educated 40-million-plus population, on a GDP per capita basis Canada is null. Collectively, the Great White North would rank as America’s second-lowest state, coming in above Mississippi, but below Alabama.

SpaceX is the most valuable private startup in history — and if its success continues, it might become the most valuable public company in history.

After all, as Musk famously said in 2023, “I have never lost money for those who invest in me and I am not starting now.”

For investors, SpaceX has been a wild, joyful ride — and now the journey continues!