Silver’s 40-Year Breakout

Gold has topped $3,500… and silver is finally moving along for the ride.

The metal topped $40 on Friday, its highest close since 2011.

That’s 14 years of sideways trading.

Even though silver has strong industrial demand on top of a historical use case as money. And on August 28, silver was listed among the Trump administration’s classification as a “critical metal” for the US economy.

We’re writing about silver today for a different reason.

One key technical chart suggests that the breakout is the start of what could be a multi-year rally, because it’s a chart 40 years in the making:

Turn Your Images On

Silver isn’t just at an 11-year high, it’s showing a technical pattern that suggests a further break higher
(Source: Kinesis)

We generally use technical indicators to determine short-term momentum in specific stocks are sectors. Today’s silver breakout reveals a longer term trend.

Silver first reached a peak of $50 per ounce in 1980. Then, it languished and hit $48 in 2011 during the last peak.

After adjusting for inflation, silver still needs to soar closer to $200 per ounce to make all-time highs.

With a cup-and-handle breakout now in the cards, it’s possible that in the next few years, the metal could do just that. In the shorter term? It could jump to $50 per ounce.

~ Addison

P.S. Grey Swan Live! returns at a special new time on Thursday at 2:00 P.M. ET. We’ve gotten feedback suggesting it would be more polite to host GSLive! at 2pm Eastern Time, 11am on the West Coast. More civilized for our members in California. Cheers.

We’ll be joined by Ian King, looking at the latest moves in the cryptocurrency market – including the rise of Ethereum as the rally in bitcoin takes a pause.

Ian’s recent predictions include a new event that could trigger a new crypto boom, sending the market cap of the space to $8.5 trillion by 2030 – as well as the latest on President Trump’s plans for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.

All that and Ian will cover some of the top token opportunities in the cryptocurrency space as this asset class continues to push higher.

If you have any questions for us about the market, send them our way now to: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com.

Gold has topped $3,500… and silver is finally moving along for the ride.

The metal topped $40 on Friday, its highest close since 2011.

That’s 14 years of sideways trading.

We’re writing about silver today for a different reason.

One key technical chart suggests that the breakout is the start of what could be a multi-year rally, because it’s a chart 40 years in the making:

Turn Your Images On

Silver isn’t just at an 11-year high, it’s showing a technical pattern that suggests a further break higher
(Source: Kinesis)

We generally use technical indicators to determine short-term momentum in specific stocks are sectors. Today’s silver breakout reveals a longer term trend.

Silver first reached a peak of $50 per ounce in 1980. Then, it languished and hit $48 in 2011 during the last peak.

After adjusting for inflation, silver still needs to soar closer to $200 per ounce to make all-time highs.

With a cup-and-handle breakout now in the cards, it’s possible that in the next few years, the metal could do just that. In the shorter term? It could jump to $50 per ounce.

~ Addison

We’ll be joined by Ian King, looking at the latest moves in the cryptocurrency market – including the rise of Ethereum as the rally in bitcoin takes a pause.

All that and Ian will cover some of the top token opportunities in the cryptocurrency space as this asset class continues to push higher.

If you have any questions for us about the market, send them our way now to: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com.

Altman’s claim is that not only will people get more done with less with AI, they will be happier because their work is easier and…more fun. This follows a report from Anthropic, responsible for the Claude AI, that said AI increases productivity.

I will say I’m skeptical. But we’ve been told the nature of exponential change is that it comes at you faster than you can measure or observe. And if that is true, it will have consequences in 2026 for employees and investors. Big ones.

For employees–those who are not replaced by automated processes and robots–it will mean secure employment and higher wages. A small number of winners getting richer.

American consumers don’t feel – or are at least unaware of – monetary nuance. They’re just getting the bill.

Trump declared last night that “affordability doesn’t mean anything to anybody,” dismissing the term as a “Democrat scam”— this despite recently proclaiming
himself the “Affordability President” on Truth Social.

That’s the current state of political messaging on cost-of-living: part whiplash, part vaudeville. But voters aren’t confused. Grocery prices are still 30% higher than 2020. Tariffs add daily friction. Utilities, rent, houses, tuition, healthcare continue their daily grind upward.

During a Fed rate cut cycle, bond yields follow, which typically means bond prices tick higher. If you buy bonds now, you’ll be getting in ahead of the crowd.

And if this tech wreck shapes up anything like 2000-01, investors will want to get out fast. Despite the debt mess in Washington, bonds will again look “safe.”

One minor bonus: if you buy now, you’ll lock in higher yields before the next Fed rate cut, which is expected to come one week from today.

But Green is describing more than just a new calculation. He’s talking about a new form of misery.’ It’s a poverty where you may still have most of the accoutrements of middle-class life. But your relationship with the financial elite has changed: you are indentured to the credit industry — for life.

For employees–those who are not replaced by automated processes and robots–it will mean secure employment and higher wages. A small number of winners getting richer.

American consumers don’t feel – or are at least unaware of – monetary nuance. They’re just getting the bill.

During a Fed rate cut cycle, bond yields follow, which typically means bond prices tick higher. If you buy bonds now, you’ll be getting in ahead of the crowd.

And if this tech wreck shapes up anything like 2000-01, investors will want to get out fast. Despite the debt mess in Washington, bonds will again look “safe.”

One minor bonus: if you buy now, you’ll lock in higher yields before the next Fed rate cut, which is expected to come one week from today.