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Ripple Effect

Silver Gets Hammered As Retail Piles In

Addison WigginAddison Wiggin

January 30, 2026 • 1 minute, 47 second read


Silver

Silver Gets Hammered As Retail Piles In

Precious metals are seeing their first significant pullback. After topping $120 per ounce, silver has been hammered back to around $100 this morning – a bear market by the numbers.

The quick sell-off is instructive.

Headlines about silver reaching new highs drove new interest from retail investors started to pile into SLV, the silver ETF. The ETF  assets reach $50 billion – and at a pace only beaten by the largest bitcoin ETF:

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Inflows into silver ETFs have soared in recent days, with the price of the metal
topping $100 per ounce. (Source: Goldman Sachs)

Pullbacks are to be expected. Gold and bitcoin sold off yesterday, as well. Our view, the metals – and BTC – are still in a multi-year uptrend.

The analysis we’ve published of the main drivers for gold applies to silver and bitcoin, too. The latter two, however, remain more speculative and gap down and spike up more dramatically.

If you’re leveraged to silver, whether through mining companies, ETFs, or the like, it may be prudent to take some profits off the table. And keep your eyes peeled for future moves upward.

~ Addison

P.S. Yesterday’s Grey Swan Live! proved a masterclass in how to look for international real estate deals. Ronan’s business model is unique. He’s able to bring serious negotiating weight to the table with developers in markets you’re most likely to find both rental income and capital appreciation.

The intrepid Ronan McMahon of Real Estate Trend Alert explained his system, and showed how owning property – particularly bought in foreign locales – can avoid much of the volatility of traditional assets in the U.S. And, done properly, can be a great source of retirement income.

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The replay will be up on the site shortly.

Real estate plays an important role in the asset allocation model we model out for Grey Swan Investment Fraternity members. Later today, at 2 p.m. ET, for paid-up annual Fraternity members, we’ll have a special session reviewing our model portfolio with Andrew Packer. As always, we’ll go over the charts on all our model portfolio positions and what we expect amid the unfolding chaos (and opportunities) of 2026.

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Copper’s Clear Signal

August 17, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Copper and resources are sending us a cleaner market signal than AI stocks.

Channeling Ludwig von Mises, we observe this morning that price is not just a number; it’s information. Price reflects what buyers and sellers collectively believe: demand, scarcity, fear, speculation, disappointment, future expectations and available supply.

When prices rise, and inventories fall at the same time, the message is usually straightforward: buyers need the stuff, and there is not enough of it.

Copper’s Clear Signal
Market Crash Insurance Is Cheap

August 14, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

A low VIX does not predict disaster. It measures complacency. A serial skeptic will read it as the calm before a storm. We shook off that feeling this morning and opted to pursue an opportunity instead.

Here goes:

A VIX reading below 15 means the market is not pricing in much near-term trouble, even though there are obvious risks still sitting in the room: Iran, oil prices, memory chip speculation, circular financing, high valuations, epic high concentrations, spiking long-term interest rates, a regime change at the Fed, a meltdown in Japan and a historic deficit and rising national debt.

Market Crash Insurance Is Cheap
Beware: Financial Innovation In AI

August 13, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Money is not flowing in a clean, straight line from outside investors to productive businesses. The firms at the top are investing in and buying from each other.

Microsoft and OpenAI are the easiest examples to follow.

Microsoft says OpenAI has contracted to purchase an additional $250 billion in Azure services, while Microsoft continues to account for $13 billion in funding commitments to OpenAI as an investment.

Beware: Financial Innovation In AI
Signs of a Late-Stage Bull Market

August 12, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

At this stage, it’s a stock picker’s market.

We expect space, robotics and some more visible tech startups to remain sources of speculation. After weakness in the first half of 2026, we’re also due for a strong rotation of capital into natural resources, precious metals, critical minerals and energy.

Signs of a Late-Stage Bull Market