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Ripple Effect

Silver Gets Hammered As Retail Piles In

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

January 30, 2026 • 1 minute, 47 second read


Silver

Silver Gets Hammered As Retail Piles In

Precious metals are seeing their first significant pullback. After topping $120 per ounce, silver has been hammered back to around $100 this morning – a bear market by the numbers.

The quick sell-off is instructive.

Headlines about silver reaching new highs drove new interest from retail investors started to pile into SLV, the silver ETF. The ETF  assets reach $50 billion – and at a pace only beaten by the largest bitcoin ETF:

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Inflows into silver ETFs have soared in recent days, with the price of the metal
topping $100 per ounce. (Source: Goldman Sachs)

Pullbacks are to be expected. Gold and bitcoin sold off yesterday, as well. Our view, the metals – and BTC – are still in a multi-year uptrend.

The analysis we’ve published of the main drivers for gold applies to silver and bitcoin, too. The latter two, however, remain more speculative and gap down and spike up more dramatically.

If you’re leveraged to silver, whether through mining companies, ETFs, or the like, it may be prudent to take some profits off the table. And keep your eyes peeled for future moves upward.

~ Addison

P.S. Yesterday’s Grey Swan Live! proved a masterclass in how to look for international real estate deals. Ronan’s business model is unique. He’s able to bring serious negotiating weight to the table with developers in markets you’re most likely to find both rental income and capital appreciation.

The intrepid Ronan McMahon of Real Estate Trend Alert explained his system, and showed how owning property – particularly bought in foreign locales – can avoid much of the volatility of traditional assets in the U.S. And, done properly, can be a great source of retirement income.

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The replay will be up on the site shortly.

Real estate plays an important role in the asset allocation model we model out for Grey Swan Investment Fraternity members. Later today, at 2 p.m. ET, for paid-up annual Fraternity members, we’ll have a special session reviewing our model portfolio with Andrew Packer. As always, we’ll go over the charts on all our model portfolio positions and what we expect amid the unfolding chaos (and opportunities) of 2026.

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Hedge Funds Crowd the “Sell America” Trade

February 10, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Funds net sold U.S. equities for a fourth straight week, at the fastest clip since the opening chapter of the Trump trade war on April 2, 2025.

Despite that positioning, the indexes pushed higher on Monday.

Dip buyers stepped in after last week’s slide and nudged indexes back toward their highs.
Chipmakers gained ground, and a software ETF tacked on close to 7% across two sessions, a quick counterpoint to the sector’s recent purge. Sameer Samana at Wells Fargo Investment Institute described the move as the market’s reflex after steep selloffs—fast hands cover, slower money watches.

Hedge Funds Crowd the “Sell America” Trade
Bitcoin Approaches Its Final Million

February 10, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Every ten minutes, the bitcoin network completes another block of transaction data. Another bitcoin miner seeks a reward.

The reward is cut in half every four years, thanks to the “halving protocol” which established the coin’s scarcity algorithm. Next month, total bitcoin supply will hit 20 million, leaving just 1 million left to be mined.

Bitcoin Approaches Its Final Million
Broad Market Rally Meet Narrowing Political Window

February 9, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The Nasdaq logged its fourth straight down week, pulled lower by the “SaaSpocalypse” in software.

Goldman Sachs’ Software Basket fell 16% for the week. Hedge fund exposure to software shrank sharply, according to Prime Book data.

Lou Miller, Goldman’s global head of Equity Custom Baskets, told clients that buyers remained scarce even as the group entered oversold territory.

In the late 1990s, telecom infrastructure outpaced demand, pricing compressed, and equity valuations adjusted long before usage caught up.

Today’s AI buildout carries healthier balance sheets and real utility, yet capital intensity remains high, and patience wears thin when returns depend on perfect adoption curves.

Broad Market Rally Meet Narrowing Political Window
Correlation Breakdown

February 9, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The week’s trading revealed that a rotation out of high-flying tech into defensive names is well underway. The Dow, which includes broader, non-tech-related stocks, is starting the week above 50,000 for the first time in its history.  

Correlation Breakdown