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Daily Missive

Send In the Clowns

Loading ...Bill Bonner

December 18, 2024 • 4 minute, 27 second read


CongressdebtDOGE

Send In the Clowns

Wednesday, December 18th, 2024

Bill Bonner, writing today from Baltimore, Maryland

Another day.

Another dope trying to make sure the DOGE is neutered.

Fox News:

Sen. James Lankford (R-Okla.) said federal employees will help with Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) efforts by sharing their ideas for changes within the government. “We are reaching out to federal employees. They see it firsthand. Many of these employees are frustrated, as well. They are taxpayers, as well. They want to see it be more efficient. We are asking them to also share their ideas with us so we can actually get this thing fixed,” Lankford said on Fox News.

The DOGE has its work cut out for it. It aims to cut $2 trillion in spending. Every dollar goes to someone, so that represents as many as 20 million $100,000 paychecks. Musk and Ramaswamy are going to need all the help they can get.

But really? Get the feds to prune off the branches where they rest their own plump derrieres? How likely is that?

If they were seriously interested in cutting costs, senators could simply vote against unfunded, reckless appropriations bills. There’s one in front of them right now. The Western Journal:

History appears to be repeating itself this week as Congress has brokered an agreement on a massive year-end catch-all spending bill — something it has often done in recent years just before leaving Washington for Christmas break.

But these clowns rubber stamp every jackass piece of legislation that comes down the pike; that’s why we have a $36 trillion national debt. Now they bow their heads and cross their fingers, claiming to be dead set on ‘efficiency.’

Donald Trump reportedly said he wanted the ‘kind of generals that Hitler had.’ We presume he was impressed by their ability to get things done.

Maybe he was thinking of the way they put down the Warsaw uprising… maybe not the Battle for Stalingrad or WWII itself.

Whatever was going through his head, Mr. Trump is in a better position than anyone to batten down the hatches and tighten up the ship. But he’s way off course. Here’s Barrons:

Donald Trump’s tax-and-tariff economic policies and the U.S.’s mounting deficit could drive yields on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes to their highest level since 2000, T. Rowe Price has warned. The investment manager’s CIO for fixed income Arif Husain said in a report that the yield could top 5% early next year, then rise even higher.

In other words, Cap’n Trump is set to increase deficits, not shave them. A shame, because all he would have to do is what Javier Milei did, tell his generals, lieutenants, and housekeepers that that he will not tolerate any more debt.

But even at the top, lawmakers are going with the DODGE… the Department of Deceiving the public about Government Efficiency. Its fantasy goal is to make sure the brightwork is polished… the chow is hot… and the uniforms are pressed.

Just don’t turn the ship around!

Keeping the lounge tidy didn’t keep the Titanic from sinking. Nevertheless, tidiness is the new objective… and it is so important that even the Democrats are coming up the gangplank. Fox continues:

Some Democrats have jumped on board, as well: Reps. Jared Moskowitz (D-Fla.) and Greg Landsman (D-Ohio) have said they will join the DOGE Caucus.

Rep. Ro Khanna (D-Calif.) took aim at the U.S. defense budget for potential cuts doled out by DOGE in an op-ed published last week.

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) earlier this month said Musk was “right” about defense spending, because the Pentagon has “lost track of billions.” 

Hey, anybody can lose a few bucks here and there. But it takes talent and skill to misplace billions. That’s the kind of expertise we need on the DODGE team, right? Here’s the latest from Duffel Blog (believed to be tongue-in-cheek):

New Department of Gov. Efficiency seeks majors and staff NCOs as military liaisons

The new agency is seeking military-grade efficiency.

According to sources in the White House who spoke on the condition of possible future book deals, Musk and Ramaswamy are seeking highly capable military personnel to support the new agency’s mission and bring military-grade efficiency to the often slow and bogged-down federal government. 

[Theo] Redding, a Virginia-based defense contractor, was one of the early hires for the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). He hit the ground running by publishing a 732-slide PowerPoint presentation outlining critical elements of new efficiency methodologies.

The next steps are obvious. Convene a series of meetings with other agencies involved with the efficiency drive. Dig into the details. Study the ‘ideas’ put forward by the feds themselves. Put out the call for bids to develop a new, AI-enhanced multi-million-dollar cost-buster program. Compare the bids… perhaps putting a few procurement specialists on the case to help analyze them. Then, await the report.

After all the obvious inputs, through-puts, and put options have been put into it, the AI report can be put to the DODGE and to a special committee of Congress… which can then draw its own conclusions, make its own recommendations, and put it in the trash.

This whole process will, of course, take time. When it is complete… that is to say, after Hell freezes over… the budget cutting can begin.

Regards,

Bill Bonner


Andrew Zatlin: Trump’s Battle with the Phantom Economy

August 27, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

So right now, jobless claims are in a sweet spot that coincides with a pretty decent economy, 225,000 plus or minus.

Why are they hovering so low? And the reason I believe has to do with fear of deportation.

I believe that the Hispanic community is not applying for the jobless benefits that they’re entitled to because they are afraid of being deported. There are lots and lots of anecdotes out there of workers showing up at a government agency and being nabbed by ICE and being deported.

So rather than run the risk of deportation, these folks would rather run the risk of just not having as much money in their pocket from being eligible for jobs claims and not filing. Lemme explain by talking about California. In general, nationally right now, jobless claims are up about 10% year over year, except when we talk California, and that’s where everything signals under reporting.

Andrew Zatlin: Trump’s Battle with the Phantom Economy
Trump’s Fed Coup

August 27, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

America’s debt service bill is now $1.2 trillion a year. Trump has made no secret of his goal: lower rates to ease the burden.

He admitted yesterday he looks forward to having a majority on the Fed board, which would “save the country hundreds of billions.”

Yet most economists agree the real fix is fiscal discipline — less borrowing, lower spending. The bond market would adjust to those conditions by needing a lower yield for the risk of lending.

Leaning on the Fed to make the cost of debt cheaper is like asking your doctor for whiskey to cure high blood pressure.

Trump’s Fed Coup
Andrew Zatlin: The “Phantom” Economy

August 27, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

The construction industry is contracting. The number of permit applications recently hit a two-year low, meaning builders are not seeing much growth.

In fact, builders are having to add a lot of incentives just to sell the homes they’ve got out there. And in fact, when we talk about building starts, it’s at an 11-month low. In other words, demand for construction workers isn’t booming. It’s quite the opposite.

Andrew Zatlin: The “Phantom” Economy
Trump, the Fed, and the Commanding Heights

August 26, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

The Federal Reserve Act of 1913 says governors can only be removed “for cause” — meaning malfeasance, not politics.

Trump cites alleged mortgage fraud (charges Cook denies) as his justification.

But the timing is telling: markets sit at historic highs, tech valuations are stretched to perfection, and even the hint of volatility could topple the indexes.

Trump has spent months berating Jerome Powell for not cutting rates. Now he’s maneuvering to add enough loyal voices to the Board of Governors to outvote him. If successful, the Fed’s independence — already wobbling — could collapse.

Trump, the Fed, and the Commanding Heights