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Beneath the Surface

Porter Stansberry: Anatomy of an Asymmetric Bet

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

September 11, 2025 • 4 minute, 30 second read


Asymmetric

Porter Stansberry: Anatomy of an Asymmetric Bet

“It’s not whether you’re right or wrong, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.”

-George Soros

September 11, 2025 — The last time I sat down with Erez, I made a very public bet.

I said his advisory, Biotech Frontiers, was going to be one of the most lucrative in the history of our industry.

Not because he’s a former Tiger Cub. Not because he’s managed billions of dollars. And not because he’s one of the most gifted analysts that I’ve ever met.

But because he had uncovered the greatest financial paradox of our generation… one that almost every other analyst was sleeping on.

You see, we were, and still are, in the midst of a truly unparalleled moment in biotech. We’re experiencing nothing short of a Cambrian explosion in the underlying science of biotechnology.

Diseases that we thought were impossible to cure, treatments that sounded like science fiction a few years ago… they’re happening right now and they’re going to transform the world.

And from a financial perspective… they’re going to deliver trillions of dollars to the companies on the frontier of this revolution.

And yet… the paradox is that at the same time all of this is happening… biotech stocks have suffered a historic collapse with prices crashing 70%, 80%, even 90% as investors abandoned the industry because of high interest rates.

Dozens of biotech companies with, quite literally, some of the most exciting IP ever developed are trading for LESS than the cash on their balance sheet.

It was this paradox…

And the fact nobody else was seeing it…

Which is why I was willing to wager Biotech Frontiers would be one of the most profitable advisories ever published. And for those who listened, the results have been remarkable.

Biotech Frontiers has made more than seven recommendations that gained 100% or more during the past 18 months… and Erez has achieved this during the worst biotech bear market ever.

And, as you can imagine, the feedback from our subscribers has been incredible.

But that’s not why I asked Erez to sit down with me this time.

We both dropped everything to host Wednesday’s broadcast because Erez has uncovered another major financial paradox. One that we’re calling “the most asymmetric opportunity of our careers.”

And, ironically, it’s not in biotech.

It’s in an industry far bigger than biotech. Almost 100-times bigger, in fact.

And although this has nothing to do with things like cancer treatments or editing the human genome, the impact it could have on society is no less dramatic.

We’re talking about a shift with the potential to send shockwaves through every corner of our economy: How we work, trade, travel, invest, and even plan for retirement… everything.

If you miss it, you risk being left behind as the very foundations of daily life shift beneath your feet.

And one company sits at the center of this change. An obscure, mundane, company that – on the surface – has nothing to do with this looming societal shift.

But it is actually the sleeping giant of the sector because of a multi-billion-dollar asset hidden in their financials… and I would bet that 99% of professional investors, let alone retail investors, have never heard of this company.

Even if they had, they wouldn’t see the value in it because they’re viewing the company through the wrong lens. Almost no one has tied it to the event that could set off one of the largest transfers of wealth in human history.

We believe they will soon though.

An investment that is asymmetric in the purest sense of the word.

Because what we’re looking at here is a fundamental mis-pricing of a business… not by a few points but by billions of dollars.

It’s one of those rare situations Warren Buffett would describe as “raining gold”… when all you have to do is step outside if you want to get rich. And it’s the type of setup Erez has built his entire investing career around.

The type of opportunity with the potential to make you a small fortune.

And in our most recent broadcast, Erez and I laid out all the details for you.

You can watch it by going here. And do it now because we believe the window is closing fast. Even before we had the chance to sit down together one of the five catalysts that Erez identified was triggered. The others could follow soon.

Good investing,

Porter Stansberry
Porter & Company & Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

P.S. from Addison: Porter is a longtime friend who has revolutionized our industry.

His research is top-notch, focusing on quality investments, stories the mainstream media won’t touch – and where to find the proverbial 100-bagger stocks that can turn every $1,000 invested into $100,000.

It’s a bold statement.

Having just one asymmetric trade in your portfolio can knock years off your investment journey – either shortening the time to retirement, or allowing for a more vibrant one.

Porter’s latest research, which he dubs the most asymmetric return potential he’s ever seen, can be found here. It’s well worth a watch.

If you’d like, you can drop your most pressing questions right here: Feedback@GreySwanFraternity.com. We’ll be sure to work them in during the conversation.


The Hollow Class, Part II

November 12, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

As interest rates fell, investors swarmed into real estate, lured by yields and the illusion that home prices never fell. Wall Street’s private-label securitizers were soon packaging everything from pristine mortgages to what were effectively loans scribbled on napkins, thus turning them into bonds that glowed like gold — until you looked too closely.

For their part, the regulators and ratings agencies conveniently looked away and allowed the bubble to grow. Fannie Mae watched the frenzy from the sidelines at first.

The company’s mandate — written in law — was not to chase profits but to promote affordable housing. That is to say, to make sure that teachers, nurses, and other first-time buyers could own their own homes and unlock the American Dream.

But as Wall Street flooded the market with high-risk mortgage products, political pressure mounted. Congress demanded that Fannie “do its part” for low and moderate-income families.

The Hollow Class, Part II
The Debt of Intelligence

November 12, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

SoftBank offloaded its entire $5.83 billion Nvidia stake to bankroll an even bigger gamble: tens of billions in OpenAI.

Son insists this is his next Vision Fund moment.

OpenAI’s swelling valuation doubled SoftBank’s profit last quarter. He may have sold the pickaxe factory, but he’s betting the mine still goes deeper.

The Debt of Intelligence
Consumers Got the Memo

November 12, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Although consumer debt is at an all-time high, consumers themselves got the message during the last crisis: Pay down debt, own more assets.

That’s taken the U.S. household debt-to-asset ratio to levels last seen in the 1970s, around the time the U.S. went off the gold standard.

Consumers Got the Memo
Dan Denning: The Hollow Class, Part I

November 11, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

A 50-year mortgage doesn’t make housing cheaper. But by stretching the repayment period over time, it DOES lower the monthly payment on your principal. That lowers the percentage of your total income you’re spending on repayment. And in a strange way, it makes sense.

With a fixed rate mortgage and inflation running in the high upper digits, the real value you of your total debt goes down over time (inflation pays off your loan, as long as your income rises faster in nominal terms). Of course you pay off a lot more interest over 50 years than 30 years. And it takes a lot longer to build up equity (assuming also that house prices don’t fall).

Dan Denning: The Hollow Class, Part I