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Ripple Effect

Odd Man Out

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

November 4, 2025 • 1 minute, 21 second read


Palantirvaluation

Odd Man Out

Going into yesterday’s earnings report, Palantir Technologies stood out – as one of the market’s most overpriced stocks:

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Palantir trades at over 80 times sales, an absurd valuation. (Source: ZeroHedge)

While earnings and revenues were solid, it wasn’t enough at today’s valuations. Neither was the company’s increased full-year guidance – usually a catalyst for the stock price to soar.

Not today. The stock was up 5% over the past 5 days. Futures suggest today the stock price will drop as much and maybe more.

No worries. If you were following colleague Ian King’s recommendation, you’re up tenfold in just under two years.

Palantir isn’t just expensive – it’s the most expensive name in the market today.

Investors who own the stock should pay attention. Famed Big Short investor Michael Burry’s Q3 disclosure shows he owns put options on Palantir, which means he’s betting he’ll make a lot of money when PLTR corrects.

~ Addison

P.S.: As you know, since the release of Anatomy of a Stock Market Bubble, we’ve been highlighting signs of a bubble when we see them. The bubble today is largely in AI stocks.

This week on Grey Swan Live! we’ll be joined by bestselling author Harry Dent on the cross-section between AI,  shifting generational demographics and a shocking market forecast.

You’ll note, too, Harry is releasing his own “AI Crash” forecast with Grey Swan collaborator Adam O’Dell on Wednesday. To get on the list to receive Harry and Adam’s research findings, click here.

Feel free to send your Grey Swan Live! questions for Harry to feedback@greyswanfraternity.com.


Buffett’s Thanksgiving Message

November 24, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

I’m happy to say I feel better about the second half of my life than the first. My advice: Don’t beat yourself up over past mistakes—learn at least a little from them and move on. It is never too late to improve. Get the right heroes and copy them.

Remember Alfred Nobel, later of Nobel Prize fame, who—reportedly—read his own obituary that was mistakenly printed when his brother died and a newspaper got mixed up. He was horrified at what he read and realized he should change his behavior.

Don’t count on a newsroom mix-up: Decide what you would like your obituary to say and live the life to deserve it.

Greatness does not come about through accumulating great amounts of money, great amounts of publicity, or great power in government. When you help someone in any one of thousands of ways, you help the world. Kindness is costless but also priceless. Whether you are religious or not, it’s hard to beat the Golden Rule as a guide to behavior.

Buffett’s Thanksgiving Message
Energetic Open To A Sleepy Week

November 24, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

New York Fed President John Williams gave traders a holiday treat on Friday, admitting there may be “room for a further adjustment.”

Futures traders promptly lifted the odds of a December rate cut to nearly 75%, up from 40% just a week ago.

Two consecutive cuts in September and October have already greased the rails. If the Fed goes for a third, the “Santa Powell Rally” may arrive early.

Energetic Open To A Sleepy Week
Institutions Are Still Slow to Crypto Adoption

November 24, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Institutional investors are more interested in the crypto technology ecosystem – stablecoins and blockchain technology.

Rapid retail-driven four-year cycles are slowly giving way to longer cycles tied to market liquidity and economic trends.

Institutions Are Still Slow to Crypto Adoption
Stay the Course on Bitcoin

November 21, 2025 • Ian King

The narrative for BTC and other cryptocurrencies is that every government around the world has high debt-to-GDP ratios. It means they are going to print more currency. It means there is a need for alternative currency. In the past, this alternative currency was gold.

Gold is not very portable. It’s a good store of value. It’s not as great of a store of value as BTC in terms of actually storing it. BTC, you can store it on a hard drive or at Coinbase. Gold, if you have bars you have to keep them in a bank or you have to dig a hole in your backyard. And you can’t send gold around the world as easily as you can send BTC.

I still think this rally has legs. If you go back to where the breakout happened, we were really in November of 2024 that was the beginning of this bull market in my mind because that was the first time we hit an all-time high in a couple years. Then we rallied. We pulled back. We tested that level again.

The uptrend, in my mind and with what I’m seeing, is still intact. We’re just in an oversold condition right now.

Stay the Course on Bitcoin