Buy Bitcoin Before, During, and After Election Day

Andrew Packer, Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

We’re just one Scaramucci away from Election Day 2024.

As a refresher, a Scaramucci is 11 days. Longer than a week, shorter than a fortnight.

It’s a term that jokingly came up during President Trump’s (first?) term. SkyBridge Capital founder Anthony Scaramucci joined the White House staff, but only lasted for 11 days. Amazingly, he only tied the record for shortest tenure on staff.

While Scaramucci was a poor fit for the Trump team, his investment record is far better.

A huge part of that success has come from investing in bitcoin early.

Today, Scaramucci reports that 55% of his wealth is in bitcoin. Don’t worry; you don’t need to go that far to see great returns. Simply look at making a small move today.

Scaramucci noted that if, in 2010, you had allocated just 1% of your wealth to bitcoin and kept the other 99% in cash, you would have outperformed every other asset class. Or every top stock of the past 15 years.

A report from Bitwise noted that between 2014 and 2020, a 60-40 portfolio split between stocks and bonds would have returned 26%. If investors reduced each of those positions by half a percentage and put just 1% into bitcoin, the return would have jumped to 34%, 31% higher.

From just 1%!

A 5% allocation over the same period would have resulted in 65% returns, a full 150% better.

That’s the power of asset allocation. You don’t need much in volatile assets like bitcoin. But if you don’t have any exposure, you’re missing out on a tremendous opportunity.

Why Bitcoin Will Continue to Beat Fiat

Remember, bitcoin is a piece of code. It doesn’t have a monetary policy. Or a marketing team. A few people volunteer to work on projects related to it.

But it’s largely a self-sustaining project, driven by people who want to run the bitcoin code on their own, creating a node in the network in the process.

Bitcoin uses a proof-of-work model. One way of looking at that is that it takes real-world computational power and electricity to run.

That helps derive bitcoin’s value. It also helps electric utilities manage their baseload power needs, and allows energy companies to use what would have been “stranded” energy.

Comparatively, what’s the U.S. dollar? Or the future BRICS bucks? Those are fiat currencies. They can be created at a whim. In the digital age, there’s zero cost to creating them. At least printing physical money required ink and paper.

Their purchasing power is subject to change based on political needs, not economic ones. That’s why fiat currencies have a long-term downward trend. And why their purchasing power will continue to decline.

And those who run those fiat currencies like to change the rules all the time. Just ask Russia, who’s been pushing for a BRICS Buck in part because it was kicked out of the SWIFT payments system.

When you save in fiat currency, you’re losing money to inflation. Sometimes quickly, sometimes not. When you save in bitcoin, you have wild price swings. But over time, the swings higher more than make up for the short-term volatility.

Bitcoin is a lesson in transferring wealth from the impatient to the patient.

Your Key Move Before Election Day

There’s no excuse not to own any bitcoin. There are 11 ETFs that buy it for you, so you can hold it in a retirement account.

You can also go to Coinbase to get started.

You can also set up an account using a bitcoin-only exchange. I use Swan Bitcoin. I have also met some of the team at River, another highly-regarded bitcoin-only exchange. Both allow you to set up recurring buys and self-custody if you so choose.

But if you still own none, your allocation is zero.

You need to get off of zero. 1-5% is a good start.

Even if it’s just 1%, the returns could be huge. Future price estimates for bitcoin within the next 10 years range from around $500,000 to $1,000,000.

While the percentage returns are lower than in bitcoin’s early years, the ease of investing today means you can still benefit. And from current prices, a 10X or 20X return on an asset will still beat whatever future inflation comes down the pike.

The upcoming election offers investors little choice in terms of monetary policy. Both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are big spenders. It’s only a question of where that spending is going.

We stand a very real chance of seeing a repeat of the 1970s’ “double dip” inflation.

And as with the 1970s, the second wave higher could be far worse than the first. If that happens, owning gold and other tangible commodities, should protect your wealth. But bitcoin could grow that wealth in real terms.

Since fiat currencies can be printed to infinity, investors need to own real assets as an escape valve. Bitcoin is one of them. It doesn’t need to be a huge part of your portfolio. But those who have been investing in it for a while, from Anthony Scaramucci to Michael Saylor over at MicroStrategy (MSTR) continue to up their stake.

For now, just to get ahead of any uncertainty in 2025 that could see massive money printing or resurgent inflation, grab some bitcoin. And keep dollar-cost averaging to build your stack. ~~ Andrew Packer, Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

Buy Bitcoin Before, During, and After Election Day

Andrew Packer, Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

We’re just one Scaramucci away from Election Day 2024.

As a refresher, a Scaramucci is 11 days. Longer than a week, shorter than a fortnight.

While Scaramucci was a poor fit for the Trump team, his investment record is far better.

A huge part of that success has come from investing in bitcoin early.

Today, Scaramucci reports that 55% of his wealth is in bitcoin. Don’t worry; you don’t need to go that far to see great returns. Simply look at making a small move today.

From just 1%!

A 5% allocation over the same period would have resulted in 65% returns, a full 150% better.

That’s the power of asset allocation. You don’t need much in volatile assets like bitcoin. But if you don’t have any exposure, you’re missing out on a tremendous opportunity.

Why Bitcoin Will Continue to Beat Fiat

Remember, bitcoin is a piece of code. It doesn’t have a monetary policy. Or a marketing team. A few people volunteer to work on projects related to it.

But it’s largely a self-sustaining project, driven by people who want to run the bitcoin code on their own, creating a node in the network in the process.

Bitcoin uses a proof-of-work model. One way of looking at that is that it takes real-world computational power and electricity to run.

That helps derive bitcoin’s value. It also helps electric utilities manage their baseload power needs, and allows energy companies to use what would have been “stranded” energy.

And those who run those fiat currencies like to change the rules all the time. Just ask Russia, who’s been pushing for a BRICS Buck in part because it was kicked out of the SWIFT payments system.

Bitcoin is a lesson in transferring wealth from the impatient to the patient.

Your Key Move Before Election Day

There’s no excuse not to own any bitcoin. There are 11 ETFs that buy it for you, so you can hold it in a retirement account.

You can also go to Coinbase to get started.

But if you still own none, your allocation is zero.

You need to get off of zero. 1-5% is a good start.

Even if it’s just 1%, the returns could be huge. Future price estimates for bitcoin within the next 10 years range from around $500,000 to $1,000,000.

The upcoming election offers investors little choice in terms of monetary policy. Both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are big spenders. It’s only a question of where that spending is going.

We stand a very real chance of seeing a repeat of the 1970s’ “double dip” inflation.

Let’s peel back the layers of this precious metals bull market by analyzing the pricing action on the charts, which contains ALL the buying and selling.

Most people love a good narrative, and they use these stories to either reinforce their biased views or to explain away price action that they don’t agree with.

They are just stories, though, even if there are elements of truth embedded within them. We can utilize charts to remove this biased narrative and noise.

Over the longer term, the pricing that populates charts truly incorporates the total buying and selling from all central banks, financial institutions, ETFs, hedge funds, whale investors, and the rest of the retail investors.

Yesterday’s CPI showed prices still ticking up—2.7% year-over-year, right in line with expectations.

Wall Street expects at least two rate cuts in 2026. At the same time, global central banks — led by China and Russia — continue buying gold to reduce their reliance on the dollar. Combine this with supply chain reshoring and increasing geopolitical tensions, and metals have emerged as both a hedge and a haven.

Between a precious metals rally catching the attention of outlets as lilywhite as Bloomberg and the Trump administration’s 2026 focus on critical minerals and domestic production, there’s a lot to unearth in the natural resource sector.

Today’s chart of inflation reflects an eerily similar path to the 1970s. The last CPI reading ticked back up 2.7%. If prices today continue to track those of the 1970s, the next wave of inflation could see prices rise higher and faster than during the 2021/2022 bout.

Yesterday, gold notched another new record high of $4647. Its slimmer, svelte cousin, silver, set a new historic high of $92. Both monetary metals are reflecting the market fear that once inflation gets started, it’s very difficult to contain.

Sunday night, Powell addressed the probe head-on in a video post — a rarity. He accused the White House of using cost overruns in the Fed’s HQ renovation as a pretext for political interference.

The White House denied involvement. But few in Washington believed it.

What followed was bipartisan condemnation of the investigation. Greenspan, Bernanke, and Yellen co-signed a blistering rebuke, warning the U.S. was starting to resemble “emerging markets with weak institutions.”

Let’s peel back the layers of this precious metals bull market by analyzing the pricing action on the charts, which contains ALL the buying and selling.

Most people love a good narrative, and they use these stories to either reinforce their biased views or to explain away price action that they don’t agree with.

They are just stories, though, even if there are elements of truth embedded within them. We can utilize charts to remove this biased narrative and noise.

Yesterday’s CPI showed prices still ticking up—2.7% year-over-year, right in line with expectations.

Sunday night, Powell addressed the probe head-on in a video post — a rarity. He accused the White House of using cost overruns in the Fed’s HQ renovation as a pretext for political interference.

The White House denied involvement. But few in Washington believed it.