GSI Banner
  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • My Account
  • Sign In
  • Join Now

  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • Contact

© 2026 Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

  • Cookie Policy
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information
  • Whitelist Us
Ripple Effect

Liquidity Party!

Addison WigginAddison Wiggin

November 10, 2025 • 1 minute, 16 second read


SOFR

Liquidity Party!

Some overlooked financial indicators never make mainstream headlines. The secured overnight funding rate (SOFR) is one of them.

Maybe now it will – because it’s collapsing:

Turn Your Images On

Overnight bank lending rates are collapsing. (Source: FRED)

SOFR measures the overnight rate – annualized – that banks pay to borrow cash. Plunging rates will make it easier for the financial system to lever up, take on and dole out more debt.

In plain English: there’s a new wave of easy money coming fast. We expect this will boost the already terrifying bull market even higher.

This is a perfect time to “panic now, and avoid the rush,” as we outline in our Plunge Protection Strategy.  Sell ⅓ or half of your positions into the buyer frenzy. Let the rest of your winners ride.

~ Addison

P.S. For a great overview of where we are in the AI “industrial” bubble, check out last week’s Grey Swan Live! chat with Harry Dent. Harry raved about the benefits AI will accrue to society. But also warns investors should be prepared in advance for a crash and recession.

“Stock market crashes and economic recessions,” Dent says, “are a good thing!”

It’s what the government does to fight them that causes problems in people’s lives.

To fully understand Harry’s cold, hard point of view, watch the replay here:

Turn Your Images On

Details on this week’s Grey Swan Live! coming soon. Stay tuned.

If you have requests for new guests you’d like to see join us for Grey Swan Live!,  send them here.


Bank Earnings and Where To Invest

July 14, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

A disciplined insurer with strong reserves, conservative investments and sober risk management can become a quiet compounder in any market…

Bank Earnings and Where To Invest
🤖 The Age of Intelligence?

July 13, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The AI boom rages on. But the second half of 2026 could reveal whether this is a technological revolution or the start of a costly reckoning.

🤖 The Age of Intelligence?
The Government Ruins Everything It Touches, Health Care Edition

July 13, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

A soaring administrative state is exactly what happens as a result of government regulations going into overdrive…

The Government Ruins Everything It Touches, Health Care Edition
1998 Redux: Why We’re Entering the Start of a Lost Decade

July 10, 2026 • Andrew Packer

This year’s market action feels like 1998. The tech drumbeat marches on. However, the market structure is turning against investors…

1998 Redux: Why We’re Entering the Start of a Lost Decade