GSI Banner
  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • My Account
  • Sign In
  • Join Now

  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • Contact

© 2026 Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

  • Cookie Policy
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information
  • Whitelist Us
Ripple Effect

Liquidity Party!

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

November 10, 2025 • 1 minute, 16 second read


SOFR

Liquidity Party!

Some overlooked financial indicators never make mainstream headlines. The secured overnight funding rate (SOFR) is one of them.

Maybe now it will – because it’s collapsing:

Turn Your Images On

Overnight bank lending rates are collapsing. (Source: FRED)

SOFR measures the overnight rate – annualized – that banks pay to borrow cash. Plunging rates will make it easier for the financial system to lever up, take on and dole out more debt.

In plain English: there’s a new wave of easy money coming fast. We expect this will boost the already terrifying bull market even higher.

This is a perfect time to “panic now, and avoid the rush,” as we outline in our Plunge Protection Strategy.  Sell ⅓ or half of your positions into the buyer frenzy. Let the rest of your winners ride.

~ Addison

P.S. For a great overview of where we are in the AI “industrial” bubble, check out last week’s Grey Swan Live! chat with Harry Dent. Harry raved about the benefits AI will accrue to society. But also warns investors should be prepared in advance for a crash and recession.

“Stock market crashes and economic recessions,” Dent says, “are a good thing!”

It’s what the government does to fight them that causes problems in people’s lives.

To fully understand Harry’s cold, hard point of view, watch the replay here:

Turn Your Images On

Details on this week’s Grey Swan Live! coming soon. Stay tuned.

If you have requests for new guests you’d like to see join us for Grey Swan Live!,  send them here.


You Can’t Print That!

March 13, 2026 • Andrew Packer

The Federal Reserve can print money, but it can’t print oil. As energy prices surge and supply disruptions loom, the central bank may find itself with limited tools to fight inflation driven by real-world shortages.

You Can’t Print That!
The SPR Drain Is Worse than You Think

March 13, 2026 • Andrew Packer

The plan to release 172 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve would leave the U.S. with its smallest stockpile of emergency oil in more than four decades. And with tensions simmering globally, the shrinking reserve raises uncomfortable questions about how prepared the U.S. is for the next supply disruption…

The SPR Drain Is Worse than You Think
Now The West Begins To Panic

March 12, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The IEA is weighing the largest coordinated oil reserve release in its history, but global supply risks remain as tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz faces ongoing disruption…

Now The West Begins To Panic
When Macro and Seasonality Collide

March 12, 2026 • Andrew Packer

Headlines, a sluggish labor market, and persistent inflation are keeping the tone bearish, despite seasonal trends that usually turn bullish. But long-term investors can still find oversold opportunities if they buy strategically now…

When Macro and Seasonality Collide