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Ripple Effect

How To Guarantee Higher Prices

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

December 8, 2025 • 1 minute, 12 second read


Inflation

How To Guarantee Higher Prices

Not all inflation is created equal:

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Areas with the most government regulation have seen the highest inflation. (Source: Mark Perry via X)

It’s absurd, really, for any politician to be talking about “affordability.”

The data is clear. If higher prices are your goal, let the government “fix” them.

Mandates, paperwork, and busybodies telling you what you can and can’t do – it’s not a surprise why costs add up.

In contrast, if you want lower prices, do nothing– zilch. Let the market work.

Side effect: It’s hard not to notice. The quality of TVs, software and smartphones  improve while prices are dropping.

In sharp contrast? Healthcare, education and housing – three items on the tip of Hakeem Jeffries tongue – all get worse while prices become unreachable for the folks who depend on them.

~ Addison

P.S. Last week, in Grey Swan Live! with Dan Denning, Bonner Private Research we covered a litany of structural challenges facing the economy and markets in 2026, including the end of Quantitative Tightening (QT), the unraveling of the Yen Carry Trade and a stubborn flattening of the M2 “cash curve.”

For structural reasons, inflation is already sticky. Throw in some less-than-honest posturing from politicians… 2026 is going to be a party!

Catch Dan Denning, Andrew and me right here.

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If you have requests for new guests you’d like to see join us for Grey Swan Live!,  or have any questions for our guests, send them here.


The Hindenburg Five

February 24, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The stock market “rebalancing” is a polite way to put it. Energy and health care are getting a healthy boost. But tech hardware and software makers are still getting dressed down and have been asked to report to the principal’s office.

The great rotation underway has triggered a series of “Hindenburg Omens.” Five have occurred in recent weeks.

The Hindenburg Five
Piercing The Veil

February 23, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The S&P 500 has traded in a 3.7% range over the past two months — less than half the 20-year median of 8.6%. One of the tightest ranges in modern history.

In trader parlance, the indexes are “flat,” a setup that often materializes before a sell-off at the top after a multi-year bull market.

Goldman Sachs told its own traders to be aware that institutional trading activity resembles a VIX reading near 35. Rather than a reading of 20, where the VIX has been trading over that same 2-month period.

The U.S. software ETF, IGV, tested its April 2025 lows last week and trades roughly 35% below its peak. The “SaaS-pocalypse” in software companies reflects the fear of Citrini’s 2028 scenario happening in real time.   That divergence now exceeds the spread seen at the peak of the Great Financial Crisis.

Under the surface, the “great rotation” we wrote about last week is threatening to widen.

Piercing The Veil
Oh. Canada

February 23, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Despite its overly-educated 40-million-plus population, on a GDP per capita basis Canada is null. Collectively, the Great White North would rank as America’s second-lowest state, coming in above Mississippi, but below Alabama.

Oh. Canada
Matt Milner: SpaceX + xAI: What It Means for You

February 20, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

SpaceX is the most valuable private startup in history — and if its success continues, it might become the most valuable public company in history.

After all, as Musk famously said in 2023, “I have never lost money for those who invest in me and I am not starting now.”

For investors, SpaceX has been a wild, joyful ride — and now the journey continues!

Matt Milner: SpaceX + xAI: What It Means for You