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Ripple Effect

Hedge Funds Are All-In on Chip Stocks

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

October 27, 2025 • 1 minute, 8 second read


semiconductor

Hedge Funds Are All-In on Chip Stocks

Move over index funds and ETFs, hedge funds have now gone all-in on semiconductor stocks:

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Hedge funds now have their highest exposure to semiconductor stocks – ever. (Source: Barchart)

Typically, “hedge funds” are used for portfolio insurance against prevailing trends. Right now, they’re all in on AI chipmakers.

This isn’t a sign of a top all by itself, but we could absolutely add it to our list of features in the Anatomy of a Stock Market Bubble, we detailed last Thursday on Grey Swan Live!

~ Addison

P.S. Thanks to everyone who joined us last week. On Thursday, our Anatomy of a Stock Market Bubble on Grey Swan Live!, allowed us to review several charts and indicators, showing the case for a market bubble.

We followed that up with a quarterly review of our asset allocation strategy and our model portfolio for our annual members on Friday. All told, Andrew Packer and I spent over 2 and a half hours covering the macro environment and our specific investment plays.

This week, we’re back in the saddle with one of our Grey Swan contributors, John Robb.

Details to come, but in the meantime, it’s not too late to sign up and become a full-fledged Grey Swan Investment Fraternity member.

If you have any questions for us about the market, send them our way now to: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com.


Grey Swan Forecast #6: China Annexes Taiwan — Without a Shot Fired

December 26, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Our forecast will feel obvious in hindsight and controversial in advance — the hallmark of a Grey Swan.

Most analysts we speak to are thinking in terms of the history of Western conflict. 

They expect full-frontal military engagement.

Beijing, from our modest perch, prefers resolution because resolution compounds its power. Why sacrifice the workshop of the world, when cajoling and bribery will do?

Taiwan will not fall.

It will merge.

Grey Swan Forecast #6: China Annexes Taiwan — Without a Shot Fired
Grey Swan Forecast #7: A Global Debt Crisis Will Reprice Democracy

December 24, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Wars, technology races, and political upheavals — all of them rest on fiscal capacity.

In 2026, that capacity will tighten across the developed world simultaneously. Democracies will discover that generosity financed by debt carries conditions, whether voters approve of them or not.

Bond markets will not shout so much as clear their throats. Repeatedly.

Grey Swan Forecast #7: A Global Debt Crisis Will Reprice Democracy
Seven Grey Swans, One Year Later

December 23, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Taken together, the seven Grey Swans of 2025 behaved less like isolated events and more like interlocking stories readers already recognize.

The year moved in phases. A sharp April selloff cleared leverage quickly. Policy shifted toward tax relief, lighter regulation, and renewed tolerance for liquidity. Innovations began to slowly dominate the marketplace conversation – from Dollar 2.0 digital assets to AI-powered applications in all manner of commercial enterprises, ranging from airline and hotel bookings to driverless taxis and robots. 

Seven Grey Swans, One Year Later
2025: The Lens We Used — Fire, Transition, and What’s Next… The Boom!

December 22, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Back in April, when we published what we called the Trump Great Reset Strategy, we described the grand realignment we believed President Trump and his acolytes were embarking on in three phases.

At the time, it read like a conceptual map. As the months passed, it began to feel like a set of operating instructions written in advance of turbulence.

As you can expect, any grandiose plan would get all kinds of blowback… but this year exhibited all manner of Trump Derangement Syndrome on top of the difficulty of steering a sclerotic empire clear of the rocky shores.

The “phases” were never about optimism or pessimism. They were about sequencing — how stress surfaces, how systems adapt, and what must hold before confidence can regenerate. And in the end, what do we do with our money?!

2025: The Lens We Used — Fire, Transition, and What’s Next… The Boom!