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Ripple Effect

Hedge Funds Are All-In on Chip Stocks

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

October 27, 2025 • 1 minute, 8 second read

semiconductor
Hedge Funds Are All-In on Chip Stocks

Move over index funds and ETFs, hedge funds have now gone all-in on semiconductor stocks:

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Hedge funds now have their highest exposure to semiconductor stocks – ever. (Source: Barchart)

Typically, “hedge funds” are used for portfolio insurance against prevailing trends. Right now, they’re all in on AI chipmakers.

This isn’t a sign of a top all by itself, but we could absolutely add it to our list of features in the Anatomy of a Stock Market Bubble, we detailed last Thursday on Grey Swan Live!

~ Addison

P.S. Thanks to everyone who joined us last week. On Thursday, our Anatomy of a Stock Market Bubble on Grey Swan Live!, allowed us to review several charts and indicators, showing the case for a market bubble.

We followed that up with a quarterly review of our asset allocation strategy and our model portfolio for our annual members on Friday. All told, Andrew Packer and I spent over 2 and a half hours covering the macro environment and our specific investment plays.

This week, we’re back in the saddle with one of our Grey Swan contributors, John Robb.

Details to come, but in the meantime, it’s not too late to sign up and become a full-fledged Grey Swan Investment Fraternity member.

If you have any questions for us about the market, send them our way now to: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com.

The Hindenburg Five

February 24, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The stock market “rebalancing” is a polite way to put it. Energy and health care are getting a healthy boost. But tech hardware and software makers are still getting dressed down and have been asked to report to the principal’s office.

The great rotation underway has triggered a series of “Hindenburg Omens.” Five have occurred in recent weeks.

The Hindenburg Five
Piercing The Veil

February 23, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The S&P 500 has traded in a 3.7% range over the past two months — less than half the 20-year median of 8.6%. One of the tightest ranges in modern history.

In trader parlance, the indexes are “flat,” a setup that often materializes before a sell-off at the top after a multi-year bull market.

Goldman Sachs told its own traders to be aware that institutional trading activity resembles a VIX reading near 35. Rather than a reading of 20, where the VIX has been trading over that same 2-month period.

The U.S. software ETF, IGV, tested its April 2025 lows last week and trades roughly 35% below its peak. The “SaaS-pocalypse” in software companies reflects the fear of Citrini’s 2028 scenario happening in real time.   That divergence now exceeds the spread seen at the peak of the Great Financial Crisis.

Under the surface, the “great rotation” we wrote about last week is threatening to widen.

Piercing The Veil
Oh. Canada

February 23, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Despite its overly-educated 40-million-plus population, on a GDP per capita basis Canada is null. Collectively, the Great White North would rank as America’s second-lowest state, coming in above Mississippi, but below Alabama.

Oh. Canada
Matt Milner: SpaceX + xAI: What It Means for You

February 20, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

SpaceX is the most valuable private startup in history — and if its success continues, it might become the most valuable public company in history.

After all, as Musk famously said in 2023, “I have never lost money for those who invest in me and I am not starting now.”

For investors, SpaceX has been a wild, joyful ride — and now the journey continues!

Matt Milner: SpaceX + xAI: What It Means for You