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Ripple Effect

Gold’s Relative Strength

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

October 28, 2025 • 1 minute, 23 second read


goldRelative Strength

Gold’s Relative Strength

Gold’s recent push from $4,000 to $4,400 proved to be too much, too fast.

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After reaching its most “overbought” reading ever, gold is back to a neutral range. (Source: Zerohedge)

Relative strength, or RSI, provides investors with a quick glance as to how much the market likes or hates a given asset. The correction is a welcome event for hard asset investors.

With the metal back under $4,000, our thesis remains untouched.

In fact, the pullback  – while sharp and severe – makes  gold a less expensive insurance policy against geopolitical shocks and other Grey Swan events.

Gold remains a buy.

~ Addison

P.S. This week on Grey Swan Live!  we’re pivoting to the advent of Trump’s economic nationalism and US military readiness for future conflicts.

We’ll be joined by John Robb, our go-to analyst on the geopolitics of the Trump tariff strategy, the global networked intifada and the rise of drone warfare in Ukraine.

A former consultant to the military’s Joint Chiefs of Staff, Robb has a unique insight into  innovations at the forefront of autonomous weapons and how they are changing geopolitical strategy. With the markets rallying on positive news of a U.S.-China trade deal today, John will identify  the next global hotspots…

And some of the more attractive investment opportunities as AI and tech disrupt the traditional defense industry and its dependence on  U.S. government bureaucracy.

Click here to sign up and become an annual member of the Grey Swan Investment Fraternity today so that you can join us live this Thursday.

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If you have any questions for us about the market, send them our way now to: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com.


Grey Swan Forecast #6: China Annexes Taiwan — Without a Shot Fired

December 26, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Our forecast will feel obvious in hindsight and controversial in advance — the hallmark of a Grey Swan.

Most analysts we speak to are thinking in terms of the history of Western conflict. 

They expect full-frontal military engagement.

Beijing, from our modest perch, prefers resolution because resolution compounds its power. Why sacrifice the workshop of the world, when cajoling and bribery will do?

Taiwan will not fall.

It will merge.

Grey Swan Forecast #6: China Annexes Taiwan — Without a Shot Fired
Grey Swan Forecast #7: A Global Debt Crisis Will Reprice Democracy

December 24, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Wars, technology races, and political upheavals — all of them rest on fiscal capacity.

In 2026, that capacity will tighten across the developed world simultaneously. Democracies will discover that generosity financed by debt carries conditions, whether voters approve of them or not.

Bond markets will not shout so much as clear their throats. Repeatedly.

Grey Swan Forecast #7: A Global Debt Crisis Will Reprice Democracy
Seven Grey Swans, One Year Later

December 23, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Taken together, the seven Grey Swans of 2025 behaved less like isolated events and more like interlocking stories readers already recognize.

The year moved in phases. A sharp April selloff cleared leverage quickly. Policy shifted toward tax relief, lighter regulation, and renewed tolerance for liquidity. Innovations began to slowly dominate the marketplace conversation – from Dollar 2.0 digital assets to AI-powered applications in all manner of commercial enterprises, ranging from airline and hotel bookings to driverless taxis and robots. 

Seven Grey Swans, One Year Later
2025: The Lens We Used — Fire, Transition, and What’s Next… The Boom!

December 22, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Back in April, when we published what we called the Trump Great Reset Strategy, we described the grand realignment we believed President Trump and his acolytes were embarking on in three phases.

At the time, it read like a conceptual map. As the months passed, it began to feel like a set of operating instructions written in advance of turbulence.

As you can expect, any grandiose plan would get all kinds of blowback… but this year exhibited all manner of Trump Derangement Syndrome on top of the difficulty of steering a sclerotic empire clear of the rocky shores.

The “phases” were never about optimism or pessimism. They were about sequencing — how stress surfaces, how systems adapt, and what must hold before confidence can regenerate. And in the end, what do we do with our money?!

2025: The Lens We Used — Fire, Transition, and What’s Next… The Boom!