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Ripple Effect

G’Head Vote For The Socialist… Then Watch Your Wallet

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

June 25, 2025 • 1 minute, 8 second read


socialism

G’Head Vote For The Socialist… Then Watch Your Wallet

The people of New York City went to the polls yesterday, picking the upstart do-gooder Zohran Mamdani, a 33-year-old immigrant, to be the city’s next mayor.

Mamandi ran as a full-throated socialist with retread policies like freezing rents and government-run grocery stores… because, well, those kinds of policies worked so well in the Soviet Union, to name one historic place to mandate them. 

Guess what happened after voters checked the box for Mamdani? They fired up Google to search the term “socialism”:

As Nancy Pelosi once quipped about Obamacare, “We have to pass the bill to see what’s in it.” (Yes, she really did say that.)

This is a fair warning to the people of New York City: when you vote on “the vibe” rather than common sense, bad results are likely. 

Mamdani still faces the general election. Historically, Democrats have a significant advantage in the Five Boros. But on occasion, Republicans win – think Rudy Giuliani and Mike Bloomberg. 

Still, even in the mayoral race, Mamdani was running against the “fascist” Donald Trump.

“Fascism” – another buzzword hyped up nationwide by AOC and Bernie Sanders – is sure to send people to Google search, too. 

Our forecast: People and smart money will continue to leave New York. Those on the receiving end, such as Texas, home to the New York Stock Exchange’s latest location, will benefit.

~ Addison


Grey Swan Forecast #6: China Annexes Taiwan — Without a Shot Fired

December 26, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Our forecast will feel obvious in hindsight and controversial in advance — the hallmark of a Grey Swan.

Most analysts we speak to are thinking in terms of the history of Western conflict. 

They expect full-frontal military engagement.

Beijing, from our modest perch, prefers resolution because resolution compounds its power. Why sacrifice the workshop of the world, when cajoling and bribery will do?

Taiwan will not fall.

It will merge.

Grey Swan Forecast #6: China Annexes Taiwan — Without a Shot Fired
Grey Swan Forecast #7: A Global Debt Crisis Will Reprice Democracy

December 24, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Wars, technology races, and political upheavals — all of them rest on fiscal capacity.

In 2026, that capacity will tighten across the developed world simultaneously. Democracies will discover that generosity financed by debt carries conditions, whether voters approve of them or not.

Bond markets will not shout so much as clear their throats. Repeatedly.

Grey Swan Forecast #7: A Global Debt Crisis Will Reprice Democracy
Seven Grey Swans, One Year Later

December 23, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Taken together, the seven Grey Swans of 2025 behaved less like isolated events and more like interlocking stories readers already recognize.

The year moved in phases. A sharp April selloff cleared leverage quickly. Policy shifted toward tax relief, lighter regulation, and renewed tolerance for liquidity. Innovations began to slowly dominate the marketplace conversation – from Dollar 2.0 digital assets to AI-powered applications in all manner of commercial enterprises, ranging from airline and hotel bookings to driverless taxis and robots. 

Seven Grey Swans, One Year Later
2025: The Lens We Used — Fire, Transition, and What’s Next… The Boom!

December 22, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Back in April, when we published what we called the Trump Great Reset Strategy, we described the grand realignment we believed President Trump and his acolytes were embarking on in three phases.

At the time, it read like a conceptual map. As the months passed, it began to feel like a set of operating instructions written in advance of turbulence.

As you can expect, any grandiose plan would get all kinds of blowback… but this year exhibited all manner of Trump Derangement Syndrome on top of the difficulty of steering a sclerotic empire clear of the rocky shores.

The “phases” were never about optimism or pessimism. They were about sequencing — how stress surfaces, how systems adapt, and what must hold before confidence can regenerate. And in the end, what do we do with our money?!

2025: The Lens We Used — Fire, Transition, and What’s Next… The Boom!