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Beneath the Surface

From Permission to Possession

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

December 12, 2025 • 3 minute, 55 second read


CryptoStablecoins

From Permission to Possession

“If someone gives you permission, they can take it away. I give myself permission.”

– Lucille Clifton

 

December 11, 2025 —For the first time in history, Americans will be able to transact freely without fearing political disfavor or the legacy financial system. The architecture itself enforces neutrality. There is no “cancel” button.

The end of fiat regimes controlled by politicians and central bankers is a reasonably imaginable prospect.

This is precisely what Kirk meant by the preservation of order. The founders balanced power between branches; today’s coders balance power between servers.

In both cases, the goal is the same: to prevent centralized concentration and preserve liberty. Peer-to-peer transactions will introduce a whole new level of competition into the banking system.

Instead of putting money in a savings account with a bank, earning partly (if any) interest, you can lend directly. And then you can get a market rate for your capital, not a rate imposed by today’s big banks, which are effectively gatekeepers for the legacy financial system.

Dollar 2.0: Our Grey Swan Working Thesis

On October 21, the Fed hosted its Payments Innovation Conference and formally opened the policy spigot on stablecoins, cryptocurrency, and tokenization. We’ll continue to track and flag investable edges as the guardrails are implemented.

We’ll be watching opportunities in three categories:

  • The issuers — companies that create digital dollars backed by real cash or short-term U.S. Treasuries, and prove it every month. Think of them as safer, faster payment systems that don’t depend on weekend bankers.

    • The builders — firms designing the plumbing and legal framework that make those payments work. They’re the picks and shovels of the new financial gold rush.

    • The adapters — traditional banks that plug into the new system instead of fighting it, using faster settlement to cut costs and (in theory) pass the savings on to customers.

In short: the new money rails are coming, the infrastructure is investable, and the smart banks will ride them instead of watching from the station. 

🌍 And… The Global Shift

Across the world, nation-states are taking notes. China’s digital yuan is built for surveillance; Europe’s digital euro is built for compliance. The American model is being built for freedom — a multi-issuer, transparent, competitive system anchored in law. Chaotic in its disruption.

At the Fed’s Payments Innovation Conference, Governor Christopher Waller floated “skinny accounts” to allow approved stablecoin issuers direct settlement access—a constitutional bridge between central banking and market innovation.

Hamilton meets Satoshi.

Love it.

And it’s a reason for optimism. Refreshing for me in a career critiquing the failures of fiat currencies and insurmountable debt that it encourages at all levels of society – government, corporate and individual.

🧭 Back to First Principles

Kirk wrote that liberty “endures only when linked to order, and order only when linked to justice.” That’s what’s being rebuilt here: not a new ideology, but a new infrastructure for old freedoms.

Trump’s conversion to digital money wasn’t the result of his kids following a tech fad — it was a rite of passage the nation had to witness. That is, if they bothered to pay attention to what was happening to the man behind the ghoul’s mask painted over his public face.

Trump was the test case. The debanked president who learned, painfully, that political power doesn’t guarantee financial access — and that the only real safeguard against tyranny is a system that cannot discriminate.

The lesson? Freedom cannot depend on parties or courts… but it can be preserved on digital monetary architecture.

🌄 The Optimistic View

America has consistently reinvented itself in times of crisis. The founders survived monarchy. Lincoln survived disunion. We’ve survived bank panics, oil shocks, stagflation, and disco. We’ll survive deplatforming, too.

The Second American Revolution won’t be fought with muskets or manifestos. It won’t be fought with petty violence and street demonstrations. It will be written into code. And available to those who wish to take advantage of it.

Russell Kirk called the first American Revolution “a revolution not made, but prevented.” The second will be the same. We’re not tearing down the house — we’re going to rewire it in code.

The result may not be utopia. But it will be freedom you can bank on.

Addison Wiggin

 

Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

 

P.S. This piece first appeared in our November Grey Swan Bulletin. Today, we’re continuing our review our 2025 Grey Swan forecasts and planning out our best new ideas for 2026 this week… and putting together our final Bulletin of 2025.

Next week, we’ll be back at it with a sneak preview of what we expect in 2026 and solid moves you can make before year-end.


Marin Katusa: Silver Miner Q4 Earnings Will Set Records

January 16, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Mining stocks amplify everything. First Majestic went from losing money to 45% margins without building anything new. They just held the line on costs while silver did the heavy lifting.

That cuts both ways. If silver drops hard, margins compress just as fast. Same leverage, opposite direction.

The miners with the lowest costs and cleanest balance sheets will hold up best in a pullback and capture the most upside if the deficit keeps grinding.

Marin Katusa: Silver Miner Q4 Earnings Will Set Records
“Dispersion Rising”

January 16, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Economists at Goldman Sachs said this morning they expect core inflation to finish the year around 2% even while GDP rises at a “surprisingly strong” 2.5% clip.

In our view, their inflation forecast is optimistic. Their GDP call? Modest.

The last time we pumped this much liquidity into the system — 2020 through 2022—the result was a manic asset bubble, runaway inflation, and an epic hangover at the Fed.

Goldman’s optimism has triggered a fresh round of bullish bets: cyclical stocks are rallying, “dispersion” in the S&P 500 is spiking, and the Fed is expected to cut interest rates twice before Jerome Powell gets kicked out of Washington at the end of his term on May 15.

“Dispersion Rising”
The Boom Behind the Data

January 16, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Anecdotally, we’re hearing stories of warehouses full of GPUs sitting unused for lack of energy to power them. It’s a natural feature of the heavy capital investment in new machines. The grid has to catch up!

While Trump’s great reset rolls on in 2026, keep an eye on modular nuclear reactors and increased demand for uranium, natural gas and related resources.

The Boom Behind the Data
The Economics of Precious Metals Stocks Today

January 15, 2026 • Shad Marquitz

These PM producers are literally printing the most ‘hard money’ that they ever have at these metals prices and record margins here at the midway point in Q4.

If there ever was a time for this sector to get overheated and frothy, this would be it… only that isn’t what we’ve seen playing out.

PM producers are still insanely profitable at even at current metals prices and should be far more valuable based on their margins, revenue generating potential, and their resources still in the ground.

The Economics of Precious Metals Stocks Today