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Ripple Effect

Europe’s Increasing Irrelevancy

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

October 7, 2025 • 2 minute, 3 second read


European StocksGlobal Markets

Europe’s Increasing Irrelevancy

Tech stocks are running hot. But they’re not the only game in town.

A breakdown of the top 20 global players shows a lot of tech, yes – but also the big players in energy, pharmaceuticals, financial, and retailers:

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Following the market’s massive rally, tech takes the lead – as do U.S. stocks as a whole.
(Source: Companiesmarketcap.com)

What’s most fascinating is that you won’t find a European stock in the top 20.

Even the top 25. ASML, a chip manufacturer based in the Netherlands, clocks in at the #26 spot globally.

We’re not surprised. As much as we see international investing as a way to diversify out of the U.S. dollar and its continued weakening, Europe is in a worse place.

Their GDP has flatlined over the past 15 years, against a doubling in GDP for the U.S. and even bigger GDP gains in China.

While the U.S. leads the world in AI spending, and China leads in technology like drones, what does Europe lead the world in? Regulation.

They spend more time penalizing U.S. tech firms for regulatory violations than encouraging their own tech ecosystem.

Europe isn’t even trying to play the capitalist game anymore – and it shows.

U.S. stocks are the best game in town right now, but could still take a backseat to other countries in the years ahead as richly valued AI stocks take a breather. But don’t expect too many big changes in this list in the next year – or for any European stock to crack into the top 20 anytime soon.

~ Addison

 

P.S. Grey Swan Live! continues Thursday at 2 PM ET. This week’s guest is none other than George Gilder.

George once handed President Reagan the first microchip, and now he says today’s tech wave dwarfs the original $6.5 trillion tech revolution of the 1980s.

Eight exponential technologies — AI, quantum computing, robotics, self-driving cars, blockchain, chips, advanced biotech, and even space — are no longer advancing in isolation.

They’re colliding, compounding, and accelerating into what could be the single greatest wealth-building event of our lifetimes.

The pace is staggering.

That’s why in Grey Swan Live!, we’ll show you how to navigate this convergence — and how early positioning could define not just your portfolio, but your legacy.

It’s not too late. Join us, won’t you?

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If you have any questions for us about the market, send them our way now to: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com.


The Debasement “Trade”

November 18, 2025 • Mark Jeftovic

Bitcoin isn’t a trade and trying to time it with chart patterns generally does not work.

I’ve never really felt like technical analysis carried much real predictive edge in general and when it comes to BTC, I’ve seen too many failed “death crosses” to change my opinion.

The one that just triggered in mid-November as bitcoin flirted with $90,000 is just the latest.

What really matters? It’s a monetary regime change – if market participants are trading anything it’s getting rid of a currency (“it’s the denominator, stupid”) for a store of value – and we’re seeing it in spades with Bitcoin and gold.

The Debasement “Trade”
The Cult of Stock Market Riches

November 18, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

White-collar hiring is, in fact, slowing. Engel’s Pause is taking hold of the jobs picture.

In the meantime, everyday Americans are rediscovering an ancient truth: there is wisdom in wearing steel-toed boots.

Jobs that struggle to attract bodies in boom times are now seeing stampedes of applicants.

– Georgia’s Department of Corrections: applications up 40%.

– The U.S. military: reached 2025 recruiting goals early.

– Waste management staffing: applications up 50%.

For now, economists call this “labor market tightness.” Anyone who has ever scrubbed a grease trap knows it by another name: fear.

The Cult of Stock Market Riches
Whales Buy the Bitcoin Dip

November 18, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Bitcoin has historically weathered 30%+ corrections while still in a bull market. 

Global liquidity fears and lower odds of a Fed rate cut in December are driving bitcoin and other cryptos lower at present. 

As Andrew Zatlin described on Thursday’s Live! we can expect a series of stimulus efforts next year, ahead of the midterms, driving new liquidity. The $2,000 “tariff rebate” checks President Trump has been touting are but one example.

When higher liquidity hits the market – in whatever form it takes – today’s bitcoin buyers will be waiting.

Make like the whales, and use market selloffs and stimulus to your advantage.

Whales Buy the Bitcoin Dip
Private Credit’s Creditanstalt Moment

November 17, 2025 • Andrew Packer

The market seems to know something about private credit that we don’t. And in a big enough liquidity event for private credit, investors will have to sell off more liquid assets if they want capital.

That’s the danger private credit poses today, exactly at a time when rules are being eased to make it easier for retail investors like us to buy into this asset class.

I’m in the camp that this smells like a way to keep the party going by providing another source of liquidity – the passive investment flows from your regular 401(k) contributions. The smell takes on a sour note as this sector starts to falter.

Perhaps today’s selloff is simply a reaction to declining interest rates, the growth of private credit, and a few inevitable deals that have gone sour recently.

Private Credit’s Creditanstalt Moment