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Ripple Effect

Europe’s Increasing Irrelevancy

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

October 7, 2025 • 2 minute, 3 second read


European StocksGlobal Markets

Europe’s Increasing Irrelevancy

Tech stocks are running hot. But they’re not the only game in town.

A breakdown of the top 20 global players shows a lot of tech, yes – but also the big players in energy, pharmaceuticals, financial, and retailers:

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Following the market’s massive rally, tech takes the lead – as do U.S. stocks as a whole.
(Source: Companiesmarketcap.com)

What’s most fascinating is that you won’t find a European stock in the top 20.

Even the top 25. ASML, a chip manufacturer based in the Netherlands, clocks in at the #26 spot globally.

We’re not surprised. As much as we see international investing as a way to diversify out of the U.S. dollar and its continued weakening, Europe is in a worse place.

Their GDP has flatlined over the past 15 years, against a doubling in GDP for the U.S. and even bigger GDP gains in China.

While the U.S. leads the world in AI spending, and China leads in technology like drones, what does Europe lead the world in? Regulation.

They spend more time penalizing U.S. tech firms for regulatory violations than encouraging their own tech ecosystem.

Europe isn’t even trying to play the capitalist game anymore – and it shows.

U.S. stocks are the best game in town right now, but could still take a backseat to other countries in the years ahead as richly valued AI stocks take a breather. But don’t expect too many big changes in this list in the next year – or for any European stock to crack into the top 20 anytime soon.

~ Addison

 

P.S. Grey Swan Live! continues Thursday at 2 PM ET. This week’s guest is none other than George Gilder.

George once handed President Reagan the first microchip, and now he says today’s tech wave dwarfs the original $6.5 trillion tech revolution of the 1980s.

Eight exponential technologies — AI, quantum computing, robotics, self-driving cars, blockchain, chips, advanced biotech, and even space — are no longer advancing in isolation.

They’re colliding, compounding, and accelerating into what could be the single greatest wealth-building event of our lifetimes.

The pace is staggering.

That’s why in Grey Swan Live!, we’ll show you how to navigate this convergence — and how early positioning could define not just your portfolio, but your legacy.

It’s not too late. Join us, won’t you?

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If you have any questions for us about the market, send them our way now to: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com.


Grey Swan Forecast #6: China Annexes Taiwan — Without a Shot Fired

December 26, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Our forecast will feel obvious in hindsight and controversial in advance — the hallmark of a Grey Swan.

Most analysts we speak to are thinking in terms of the history of Western conflict. 

They expect full-frontal military engagement.

Beijing, from our modest perch, prefers resolution because resolution compounds its power. Why sacrifice the workshop of the world, when cajoling and bribery will do?

Taiwan will not fall.

It will merge.

Grey Swan Forecast #6: China Annexes Taiwan — Without a Shot Fired
Grey Swan Forecast #7: A Global Debt Crisis Will Reprice Democracy

December 24, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Wars, technology races, and political upheavals — all of them rest on fiscal capacity.

In 2026, that capacity will tighten across the developed world simultaneously. Democracies will discover that generosity financed by debt carries conditions, whether voters approve of them or not.

Bond markets will not shout so much as clear their throats. Repeatedly.

Grey Swan Forecast #7: A Global Debt Crisis Will Reprice Democracy
Seven Grey Swans, One Year Later

December 23, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Taken together, the seven Grey Swans of 2025 behaved less like isolated events and more like interlocking stories readers already recognize.

The year moved in phases. A sharp April selloff cleared leverage quickly. Policy shifted toward tax relief, lighter regulation, and renewed tolerance for liquidity. Innovations began to slowly dominate the marketplace conversation – from Dollar 2.0 digital assets to AI-powered applications in all manner of commercial enterprises, ranging from airline and hotel bookings to driverless taxis and robots. 

Seven Grey Swans, One Year Later
2025: The Lens We Used — Fire, Transition, and What’s Next… The Boom!

December 22, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Back in April, when we published what we called the Trump Great Reset Strategy, we described the grand realignment we believed President Trump and his acolytes were embarking on in three phases.

At the time, it read like a conceptual map. As the months passed, it began to feel like a set of operating instructions written in advance of turbulence.

As you can expect, any grandiose plan would get all kinds of blowback… but this year exhibited all manner of Trump Derangement Syndrome on top of the difficulty of steering a sclerotic empire clear of the rocky shores.

The “phases” were never about optimism or pessimism. They were about sequencing — how stress surfaces, how systems adapt, and what must hold before confidence can regenerate. And in the end, what do we do with our money?!

2025: The Lens We Used — Fire, Transition, and What’s Next… The Boom!