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Ripple Effect

Another Sign the ’70s Are Back

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

June 12, 2025 • 1 minute, 48 second read


central bank gold holdingsgold

Another Sign the ’70s Are Back

We’ve noted many similarities between today and the tumultuous 1968-1980 period.

The biggest similarity is the rise of inflation. While inflation has broken below the 1970s trend, ongoing deficit spending may compel policymakers to let inflation run hot.

That may be why central bankers are also taking a cue from the era of polyester and disco – and are loading up on gold in their balance sheets. Their total gold holdings are now back to a 1970s level:

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Notably, central bank gold holdings didn’t bottom around the year 2000 when gold prices did – they bottomed right around that pesky Great Financial Crisis.

And since then, central bankers have been taking the same steady buying approach to gold that retail investors take with their 401(k)s.

As central bankers rediscover gold, we can’t help but note that the metal is still undervalued relative to the fiat money supply – and would need to rise to over $20,000 per ounce to be fairly valued.

While retail investors chase paper assets, the central bankers may be onto the right trend for a change – and it’s a trend still worth following by adding your own gold and gold stock holdings.

~ Addison

Elon’s Next Move Could Turn Him Into America’s Biggest “Super Villain?”

Elon Musk has already taken public shots at Trump…

But what he’s planning next could hit a lot harder.

Not just for Trump…

But for every American…

So much so that Elon’s biggest supporters could soon call him a “traitor.”

Click here to see what’s coming.

P.S.: With the hard asset story getting stronger as time goes by, so is our research. Andrew’s planning to attend the Rule Investment Symposium in Boca Raton on July 7-11, 2025.

The Symposium is a five-day affair featuring in-depth research from dozens of small-cap resource companies, including gold and silver mining companies – but also copper, uranium, and other critical commodities we’ve explored in-depth in our research over the past year. Click here to attend and meet your future cutting-edge resource investments face-to-face.

As always, your reader feedback is welcome: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com (We read all emails. Thanks in advance for your contribution.)


Grey Swan Forecast #6: China Annexes Taiwan — Without a Shot Fired

December 26, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Our forecast will feel obvious in hindsight and controversial in advance — the hallmark of a Grey Swan.

Most analysts we speak to are thinking in terms of the history of Western conflict. 

They expect full-frontal military engagement.

Beijing, from our modest perch, prefers resolution because resolution compounds its power. Why sacrifice the workshop of the world, when cajoling and bribery will do?

Taiwan will not fall.

It will merge.

Grey Swan Forecast #6: China Annexes Taiwan — Without a Shot Fired
Grey Swan Forecast #7: A Global Debt Crisis Will Reprice Democracy

December 24, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Wars, technology races, and political upheavals — all of them rest on fiscal capacity.

In 2026, that capacity will tighten across the developed world simultaneously. Democracies will discover that generosity financed by debt carries conditions, whether voters approve of them or not.

Bond markets will not shout so much as clear their throats. Repeatedly.

Grey Swan Forecast #7: A Global Debt Crisis Will Reprice Democracy
Seven Grey Swans, One Year Later

December 23, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Taken together, the seven Grey Swans of 2025 behaved less like isolated events and more like interlocking stories readers already recognize.

The year moved in phases. A sharp April selloff cleared leverage quickly. Policy shifted toward tax relief, lighter regulation, and renewed tolerance for liquidity. Innovations began to slowly dominate the marketplace conversation – from Dollar 2.0 digital assets to AI-powered applications in all manner of commercial enterprises, ranging from airline and hotel bookings to driverless taxis and robots. 

Seven Grey Swans, One Year Later
2025: The Lens We Used — Fire, Transition, and What’s Next… The Boom!

December 22, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Back in April, when we published what we called the Trump Great Reset Strategy, we described the grand realignment we believed President Trump and his acolytes were embarking on in three phases.

At the time, it read like a conceptual map. As the months passed, it began to feel like a set of operating instructions written in advance of turbulence.

As you can expect, any grandiose plan would get all kinds of blowback… but this year exhibited all manner of Trump Derangement Syndrome on top of the difficulty of steering a sclerotic empire clear of the rocky shores.

The “phases” were never about optimism or pessimism. They were about sequencing — how stress surfaces, how systems adapt, and what must hold before confidence can regenerate. And in the end, what do we do with our money?!

2025: The Lens We Used — Fire, Transition, and What’s Next… The Boom!