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Ripple Effect

About Yesterday’s Rally

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

October 29, 2025 • 1 minute, 18 second read


Breadth

About Yesterday’s Rally

Yesterday, on landmark deal announcements with Nokia and the U.S. Department of Energy, Nokia scooted up 5% bringing the S&P 500 index with it.

Good if you already own the stock.

Yesterday, also notched a less obvious record – its worst “breadth” day since 1990.

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Despite “the market” closing higher, nearly 300 of the 500 S&P 500 stocks traded lower. (Source: Bespoke Investment Group)

A high concentration of capital in a few stocks at the top ranks high among the features we detailed in Anatomy of a Stock Market Bubble.

On days like yesterday, headlines urge investors to buy. However, they also underscore the fragility of this terrifying bull market: just a handful of names can make the difference between a big up day and a big down day.

~ Addison

P.S. The Nvidia deal with the U.S. Energy Department is another minor feature of the Trump administration’s new strategic economic initiatives.

Tomorrow on Grey Swan Live! we’ll explore the rise of Trump’s economic nationalism and what it means for U.S. military readiness in the years ahead. Joining us is John Robb — our go-to analyst on the geopolitics of Trump’s tariff strategy, the global networked intifada, and the evolution of drone warfare in Ukraine.

A former consultant to the Joint Chiefs of Staff, John brings firsthand insight into how autonomous weapons and AI are reshaping modern strategy.

With markets rallying on optimism over a U.S.–China trade deal, he’ll pinpoint the next global flashpoints — and the investment opportunities emerging as technology transforms the defense industry.


Broad Market Rally Meet Narrowing Political Window

February 9, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The Nasdaq logged its fourth straight down week, pulled lower by the “SaaSpocalypse” in software.

Goldman Sachs’ Software Basket fell 16% for the week. Hedge fund exposure to software shrank sharply, according to Prime Book data.

Lou Miller, Goldman’s global head of Equity Custom Baskets, told clients that buyers remained scarce even as the group entered oversold territory.

In the late 1990s, telecom infrastructure outpaced demand, pricing compressed, and equity valuations adjusted long before usage caught up.

Today’s AI buildout carries healthier balance sheets and real utility, yet capital intensity remains high, and patience wears thin when returns depend on perfect adoption curves.

Broad Market Rally Meet Narrowing Political Window
Correlation Breakdown

February 9, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The week’s trading revealed that a rotation out of high-flying tech into defensive names is well underway. The Dow, which includes broader, non-tech-related stocks, is starting the week above 50,000 for the first time in its history.  

Correlation Breakdown
David v. Goliath in Davos

February 6, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The most important moment in finance this week didn’t happen in a committee room or on cable television. It took place over coffee last week in Davos.

Brian Armstrong, the founder and CEO of Coinbase, was mid-conversation with former U.K. Prime Minister Tony Blair when Jamie Dimon stepped in, pointed a finger, and said, “You are full of s—.”

Dimon wasn’t debating crypto theory. He was defending deposits.

Armstrong had spent the week accusing large banks of leaning on lawmakers to kneecap digital-asset legislation that threatens their core franchise. Dimon, whose firm sits atop the U.S. deposit pile, heard enough. According to people familiar with the exchange, he told Armstrong to stop lying on television.

David v. Goliath in Davos
Bitcoin Gets Taken to the Woodshed

February 6, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Bitcoin is now selling off at a pace last seen at bear-market bottoms in 2018 and 2022.

Our trading channel was buzzing yesterday. Traders are actively seeking the bottom and trying to plot a way back in!

Indeed, bitcoin is rebounding and back up to $68,000 in today’s trading. Nail-biting stuff.

Bitcoin Gets Taken to the Woodshed