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Ripple Effect

A Tale of Two Countries

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

January 6, 2026 • 1 minute, 29 second read


PolandVenezuela

A Tale of Two Countries

History is clear. The “warmth of collectivism,” as New York City Mayor Mamdani wants you to believe, doesn’t come from a healthy economy. Maybe from, burning books and buildings… but not from building a prosperous society.

Let’s compare two countries. Poland, rising out of collectivism, and Venezuela, forced into the delusion:

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Twenty years ago, the economic prosperity of Poland and Venezuela were, all things being equal, identical. (Source: Our World Data)

Poland spent decades behind the Iron Curtain as a vassal state as part of what Reagan called the “Evil Empire”, the USSR. Venezuela did not, enjoying growth and economic freedom to become one of the wealthiest countries in South America.

However, Venezuela’s shift towards collectivism in the early 2000s led to a massive decline in the standard of living.

Meanwhile, once the people of Poland unshackled themselves from the collectivist delusion, it has become a thriving success story.

Since 2000, Poland’s GDP per capita has more than doubled after adjusting for inflation.

In 2025, Poland surpassed Switzerland on the global who’s who of thriving economies, joining the G20.

In the same time span, Venezuela’s GDP has declined by two-thirds.

~ Addison

P.S. Grey Swan Live! returns from its holiday hiatus this week. Our guest this week will be Matt Smith, publisher at Casey Research. Matt and co-author Doug Casey have just released a new book titled “The Preparation.”

Quick hit: Both Matt and Doug are raising cattle in Uruguay. The Preparation has some very strong opinions on the value of Western education and how to prepare the next generation to participate in a strong, thriving economy.

If you have requests for new guests you’d like to see join us for Grey Swan Live!,  or have any questions for our guests, send them here.


Marin Katusa: Silver Miner Q4 Earnings Will Set Records

January 16, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Mining stocks amplify everything. First Majestic went from losing money to 45% margins without building anything new. They just held the line on costs while silver did the heavy lifting.

That cuts both ways. If silver drops hard, margins compress just as fast. Same leverage, opposite direction.

The miners with the lowest costs and cleanest balance sheets will hold up best in a pullback and capture the most upside if the deficit keeps grinding.

Marin Katusa: Silver Miner Q4 Earnings Will Set Records
“Dispersion Rising”

January 16, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Economists at Goldman Sachs said this morning they expect core inflation to finish the year around 2% even while GDP rises at a “surprisingly strong” 2.5% clip.

In our view, their inflation forecast is optimistic. Their GDP call? Modest.

The last time we pumped this much liquidity into the system — 2020 through 2022—the result was a manic asset bubble, runaway inflation, and an epic hangover at the Fed.

Goldman’s optimism has triggered a fresh round of bullish bets: cyclical stocks are rallying, “dispersion” in the S&P 500 is spiking, and the Fed is expected to cut interest rates twice before Jerome Powell gets kicked out of Washington at the end of his term on May 15.

“Dispersion Rising”
The Boom Behind the Data

January 16, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Anecdotally, we’re hearing stories of warehouses full of GPUs sitting unused for lack of energy to power them. It’s a natural feature of the heavy capital investment in new machines. The grid has to catch up!

While Trump’s great reset rolls on in 2026, keep an eye on modular nuclear reactors and increased demand for uranium, natural gas and related resources.

The Boom Behind the Data
The Economics of Precious Metals Stocks Today

January 15, 2026 • Shad Marquitz

These PM producers are literally printing the most ‘hard money’ that they ever have at these metals prices and record margins here at the midway point in Q4.

If there ever was a time for this sector to get overheated and frothy, this would be it… only that isn’t what we’ve seen playing out.

PM producers are still insanely profitable at even at current metals prices and should be far more valuable based on their margins, revenue generating potential, and their resources still in the ground.

The Economics of Precious Metals Stocks Today