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Ripple Effect

A Tale of Two Asset Classes

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

May 21, 2025 • 56 second read


A Tale of Two Asset Classes

Five years ago, during the pandemic, the bond market hit record-low yields. At one point, the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond paid a scant 0.318% yield.

Today’s 10-year bond buyers? 4.51%.

For $10,000, that’s a more than ten-fold difference between getting paid $31.80 in annual interest versus $451.

Bonds have been a poor asset, especially longer-dated ones. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF, TLT, is down over 50% since 2020.

Let’s contrast that return with bitcoin.

Over the past five years, whether interest rates have been low or high, whether central banks have been flooding the system or not – bitcoin has soared over 1,100%.

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This week, soon-to-retire JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon graciously announced that the bank would allow its customers to buy crypto.

That’s after a 1,100% move. And after bonds, which the bank is more than happy to deal in, have been cut in half.

When it comes to crypto, asking a bank about it is like asking a taxi driver what they think of Uber.

There’s a monetary regime change underway. And bitcoin could allow investors to come out ahead – whatever happens – and whoever ends up on top.

~ Addison


Bonfire in Timber (Prices)!

November 19, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Timber is among several commodities declining this year. Oil, down 15%. Wheat minus 10%. Egg prices have gotten over the avian flu and are down 80%.

Lower commodity costs are good for consumers. They offset tariff costs to wholesalers. And they are good for this year’s political pet issue, “affordability.”

But they also reflect a sore spot in the overall economy. Lower demand for timber, a key component in housing, means builders aren’t building.

Many economists interpret lower timber prices as a sign that the economy is already in recession.

Bonfire in Timber (Prices)!
The Debasement “Trade”

November 18, 2025 • Mark Jeftovic

Bitcoin isn’t a trade and trying to time it with chart patterns generally does not work.

I’ve never really felt like technical analysis carried much real predictive edge in general and when it comes to BTC, I’ve seen too many failed “death crosses” to change my opinion.

The one that just triggered in mid-November as bitcoin flirted with $90,000 is just the latest.

What really matters? It’s a monetary regime change – if market participants are trading anything it’s getting rid of a currency (“it’s the denominator, stupid”) for a store of value – and we’re seeing it in spades with Bitcoin and gold.

The Debasement “Trade”
The Cult of Stock Market Riches

November 18, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

White-collar hiring is, in fact, slowing. Engel’s Pause is taking hold of the jobs picture.

In the meantime, everyday Americans are rediscovering an ancient truth: there is wisdom in wearing steel-toed boots.

Jobs that struggle to attract bodies in boom times are now seeing stampedes of applicants.

– Georgia’s Department of Corrections: applications up 40%.

– The U.S. military: reached 2025 recruiting goals early.

– Waste management staffing: applications up 50%.

For now, economists call this “labor market tightness.” Anyone who has ever scrubbed a grease trap knows it by another name: fear.

The Cult of Stock Market Riches
Whales Buy the Bitcoin Dip

November 18, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Bitcoin has historically weathered 30%+ corrections while still in a bull market. 

Global liquidity fears and lower odds of a Fed rate cut in December are driving bitcoin and other cryptos lower at present. 

As Andrew Zatlin described on Thursday’s Live! we can expect a series of stimulus efforts next year, ahead of the midterms, driving new liquidity. The $2,000 “tariff rebate” checks President Trump has been touting are but one example.

When higher liquidity hits the market – in whatever form it takes – today’s bitcoin buyers will be waiting.

Make like the whales, and use market selloffs and stimulus to your advantage.

Whales Buy the Bitcoin Dip