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Ripple Effect

A Rising Sign of Consumer Stress

Addison WigginAddison Wiggin

January 13, 2026 • 1 minute, 45 second read


Consumer Spending

A Rising Sign of Consumer Stress

Consumers, the backbone of the U.S. economy, are exhibiting crisis-level stress.

Turn Your Images On

The odds of consumers missing minimum debt payments are on the rise (Source: Augur Infinity)

This week begins bank earnings season. Estimates now indicate that the average consumer will default on a minimum payment at about a 15% rate – the highest level since a spike during the pandemic lockdown of the economy.

President Trump’s proposal over the weekend to cap credit card interest at 10% for a year won’t arrive in time to help consumers who are already missing minimum payments.

Not to fret, the other 85% of borrowers continue to spend on borrowed time. Total U.S. household debt, including mortgages, auto loans, student loans, and credit cards, reached record highs in late 2025, exceeding $18.5 trillion. This surge was driven partly by rising credit card balances, which neared their own all-time peaks due to inflation and higher interest rates.

~ Addison

P.S. Gold, on the other hand, hit another all-time high of its own yesterday at $4,631. After decades of neglect, gold, silver, and critical minerals are moving back to the center of the global monetary and economic chessboard.

While we’ve been well ahead of this trend, investors are only just beginning to connect the dots.

Grey Swan Investment Fraternity contributor Shad Marquitz is joining us this week on Grey Swan Live! to walk us through why the next phase of the metals cycle won’t be driven by speculation alone — but by hard constraints, federal policy, and domestic scarcity.

In fact, for more than 20 years, one company was penalized for producing antimony and copper, strategic metals that smelters treated as contaminants rather than assets.

As of January 1, 2026, that’s just changed.

If you care about domestic supply chains, strategic metals, the next growth phase for precious metals, or how federal policy is quietly reshaping resource winners…

Join us live on Thursday at 2 p.m. ET for Grey Swan Live! with Shad Marquitz.

If you have requests for new guests you’d like to see join us for Grey Swan Live!,  or have any questions for our guests, send them here.


The “Yentervention” Kicks US Markets Into High Gear

August 4, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The stock market is getting an unexpected boost to kick off August, bucking the historically weak summer session for the U.S. stock market.

What’s happening? The Bank of Japan and the U.S. Treasury are making a coordinated effort to support Japanese yen; a move last attempted nearly 30 years in the height of the Asian Financial contagion (1998).

The “Yentervention” Kicks US Markets Into High Gear
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August 3, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Global opportunities aside, the US stock market’s stealthy reset of sectors outside the complex AI trade means solid U.S. companies are offering attractive entry prices, particularly in energy, rare earths and critical minerals.

Stealth Correction for U.S. Stocks
The Real AI Crisis

July 31, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The next phase of the AI boom won’t be decided by who builds the fastest chips, but by who can keep them powered.

The Real AI Crisis
Retail Investors Get the Memo

July 30, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Even retail investors are now increasingly skeptical of the AI space, particularly its cash flow. And rightly so…

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