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Beneath the Surface

A Masterclass In Absurdity

Loading ...Lau Vegys

November 6, 2025 • 5 minute, 55 second read


Mamdanisocialism

A Masterclass In Absurdity

“Communism doesn’t work because people like to own stuff.”

― Frank Zappa

Turn Your Images On

NYC voters exercised their liberty – to vote their way into socialism.

November 6, 2025 — If you’re wondering why New Yorkers just elected Zohran Mamdani—a 34-year-old socialist who wants free buses, free childcare, city-run groceries, and rent freezes—as mayor of America’s largest city– just watch his debate with Cuomo earlier this month.

A Masterclass in Absurdity

I only caught up on the debate over the weekend, about a week after it happened. Beyond being every bit as absurd as you’d expect, it was—well—pretty eye-opening. For one, it left little doubt that instead of a triumphant Cuomo comeback, this race looks more like his political burial.

Let me be clear: there’s zero reason to like Cuomo. He’s the guy whose COVID policies led to thousands of nursing home deaths while he basked in media praise. On top of that, he used state resources to write a book about his pandemic leadership—making staff (allegedly) work on it during office hours, all while taxpayers footed the bill. With ethics probes and lawsuits all over the place, we’re only skimming the surface here. Either way, he’s not a good guy.

But Mamdani’s slam dunk didn’t come from attacking Cuomo on COVID or his (in)competence.

Oh no.

According to Mamdani, Cuomo’s main failure was that he wasn’t sufficiently pro-Islamic. When Cuomo couldn’t name a single mosque he’d visited, Mamdani said, “That’s why so many New Yorkers have lost faith in politics.”

Not the crime. Not the trash. Not the homelessness, the crumbling infrastructure, the noise—or the myriad other problems plaguing this once-great city.

No, it’s because Cuomo can’t name a mosque.

The absurdity didn’t end there. Mamdani acknowledged the urgent need to address New York’s growing crises. He even listed the city’s rat infestation as one of the top two problems—along with noise.

Yet in almost the very next breath, when asked how he’d pitch corporations on relocating to New York City—an interesting ask under a socialist platform, to put it mildly—he looked straight into the camera and said with complete conviction: “Quality of life.”

Because, you know, nothing says “quality of life” like an infestation of disease-carrying rodents.

Crime, Migrants, and Magical Thinking

When the discussion turned to crime, both Cuomo and Mamdani recognized the problem—hard not to, given the headlines.

The NYPD may tout fewer murders and shootings. But felony assaults are still near the highest since 1998. Petit larceny, harassment, and misdemeanor assault are up 23%, 21%, and 15% vs. pre-pandemic. Together they topped 250,000 in 2024—more than double all major felonies.

So while city officials celebrate declining “major crime” statistics, subway riders and pedestrians experience something very different.

Naturally, the city says it doesn’t have the resources to focus on these crimes. And how could it? The NYPD’s budget is about $6.2 billion, while the city is spending roughly $8 billion to house illegal migrants—including at the Roosevelt Hotel, which processed ~173,000 arrivals before it closed.

But to Mamdani, it’s all Trump’s fault.

His fix? An army of social workers to stop New York’s violent crime problem. And he’ll pay for all of it by raising taxes.

If you think that’s a little naïve—given the steady exodus of people and businesses over high taxes, rising crime, and collapsing services—remember: they’ll supposedly come back for that wonderful “quality of life.”

All rats be damned.

The Real Danger Ahead

If you’re from New York—or know anyone there—you’ll probably agree: most New Yorkers are fed up with crime, the outrageous cost of living, government incompetence and corruption—and, yes, the rats.

But the fact that a hard-core socialist like Mamdani is their favorite pick to solve those problems tells you that most voters have no idea why any of it is happening.

Their hatred of Donald Trump—and a steady diet of MSNBC—has made them blind to the obvious: it’s the Left’s policies creating these problems. You have rent control shrinking supply by forcing landlords to pull units from the market, union giveaways jacking up the cost of transportation, zero-bail laws putting criminals back on the streets, and so on and so forth.

And now—just to reiterate—to fix the problems their own leftist policies created, New Yorkers are about to install someone even further left. Treating poison with more poison.

Which brings me back to the debate—and what worries me most.

Mamdani has real talent. He has the kind of charisma we haven’t seen since Obama—the same command of language and ability to make radical (and stupid) ideas sound reasonable. But it’s not just his eloquence or how he dominated Cuomo. It’s also his approachability, his everyman appeal.

And that’s what makes him dangerous.

If you can sell bad economics that well, you can sell the excuses too. When his policies inevitably fail, he’ll blame Republicans, corporations, “the rich”—anyone but the policies themselves. And because he’s so convincing, people will buy it.

And if they do, my guess is Mamdani won’t stop with New York.

Will he move on to Governor? Senator? The presidency? I don’t know. But what’s clear is that the most polished, articulate, and compelling voice on the Left no longer belongs to the openly sociopathic and far less relatable Gavin Newsom.

That title now belongs to Mamdani—the “man of the people,” the charming champion of the working class… someone with the potential to cause much more damage, countrywide.

I can’t shake the feeling we’re witnessing the start of a political career that could reshape American politics for the next decade.

And that should concern anyone who values, well, sanity.
Regards,

Lau Vegys
Doug Casey’s Crisis Investing & Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

P.S. from Addison:  We covered the socialist attack on free market capitalism in our Grey Swan Live! chat with Harry Dent today. Andrew and I were treated to a whirlwind of historical cycles converging on today’s AI stock market bubble.

We covered many of the topics you’ve read from Harry this week in Grey Swan’s Beneath the Surface, including: Harry’s views on immigration; demographic shifts in Japan, the US and emerging markets; why young people are prone to socialist promises at the ballot box; Trump’s economic nationalism and the AI race with China; Harry also gave us his price targets for buying gold, Bitcoin, tech stocks and India – after the stock market crashes.

The team is hard at work already buttoning up the replay and transcript. If you’re paid up member for the Grey Swan Investment Fraternity, you’ll get a link in your email inbox as soon as we’ve posted everything to the website.

Good stuff.

If you have requests for new guests you’d like to see join us for Grey Swan Live! send them here. 


The Second American Revolution Will Be Digitized

December 10, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

As we approach the 250th anniversary of the United States, it’s worth recalling that our first Revolution wasn’t waged to destroy an order — it was fought to preserve one.

Political philosopher Russell Kirk called it “a revolution not made but prevented.” The colonists sought not chaos but continuity — the defense of their “chartered rights as Englishmen,” not the birth of an entirely new world. Kirk wrote:

“The American Revolution was a preventive movement, intended to preserve an old constitutional structure. The French Revolution meant the destruction of the fabric of society.”

The difference, Kirk argued, was moral. The American Revolution was rooted in ordered liberty; the French in ideological frenzy. The first produced a Constitution; the second, a guillotine.

Two and a half centuries later, the argument continues — only now, the battlefield is financial. Who controls access to money? Who defines legitimacy? Can a citizen’s ability to transact depend on their politics?

The Second American Revolution Will Be Digitized
The Money Printer Is Coming Back—And Trump Is Taking Over the Fed

December 9, 2025 • Lau Vegys

Trump and Powell are no buddies. They’ve been fighting over rate cuts all year—Trump demanding more, Powell holding back. Even after cutting twice, Trump called him “grossly incompetent” and said he’d “love to fire” him. The tension has been building for months.

And Trump now seems ready to install someone who shares his appetite for lower rates and easier money.

Trump has been dropping hints for weeks—saying on November 18, “I think I already know my choice,” and then doubling down last Sunday aboard Air Force One with, “I know who I am going to pick… we’ll be announcing it.”

He was referring to one Kevin Hassett, who—according to a recent Bloomberg report—has emerged as the overwhelming favorite to become the next Fed chair.

The Money Printer Is Coming Back—And Trump Is Taking Over the Fed
Waiting for Jerome

December 9, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Here we sit — investors, analysts, retirees, accountants, even a few masochistic economists — gathered beneath the leafless monetary tree, rehearsing our lines as we wait for Jerome Powell to step onstage and tell us what the future means.

Spoiler: he can’t. But that does not stop us from waiting.

Tomorrow, he is expected to deliver the December rate cut. Polymarket odds sit at 96% for a dainty 25-point cut.

Trump, Navarro and Lutnick pine for 50 points.

And somewhere in the wings smiles Kevin Hassett — at 74% odds this morning,  the presumed Powell successor — watching the last few snowflakes fall before his cue arrives.

Waiting for Jerome
Deep Value Going Global in 2026

December 9, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

With U.S. stocks trading at about 24 times forward earnings, plans for capital growth have to go off without a hitch. Given the billions of dollars in commitments by AI companies, financing to the hilt on debt, the most realistic outcome is a hitch.

On a valuation basis, global markets will likely show better returns than U.S. stocks in 2026.

America leads the world in innovation. A U.S. tech stock will naturally fetch a higher price than, say, a German brewery. But value matters, too.

Deep Value Going Global in 2026