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Ripple Effect

A Bubble in Bubble Talk

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

November 13, 2025 • 1 minute, 27 second read


AI bubble

A Bubble in Bubble Talk

Retail investors are catching on:

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Search trends for a market bubble precede a market peak. Buckle up! 2026 is likely to be a rough ride for investors.

Searches for “market bubble” spiked in 2006, right before the last great market peak. They did it again in 2021, just before the market took a header into the 2022 bear.

Yes, Nvidia’s profits are up 500%, and its share price followed suit — a rare case where the story actually matches the math. But that’s the exception, not the rule.

Beneath the headlines, we’re starting to see the kind of financial gymnastics — circular lending, balance-sheet origami, and creative “partnerships” — that usually signal the boom is running out of breath.

If history rhymes, it looks like we’re closing in on the tail end of a mania.

One key outlier: the sheer will of the Trump agenda before the midterms in November 2026. Stay tuned. More drama awaits…

~ Addison

P.S. We’ve invited Bloomberg’s #1 employment analyst, Andrew Zatlin, to join us this afternoon on Grey Swan Live! for obvious reasons:

Andrew Zatlin — the #1-ranked economic forecaster on Bloomberg and one of the most connected data minds in finance. For decades, Andrew has helped billion-dollar hedge funds stay three steps ahead of Washington’s chaos, consumer shifts, and global supply chain shocks.

As unemployment ticks up, politicians trade on insider intel, and Pelosi closes out an era, he’ll reveal what his data is signaling next — and what investors should prepare for. With the government reopening, the timing of today’s conversation with Andrew couldn’t be better.

If you have requests for new guests you’d like to see join us for Grey Swan Live!,  or have any questions for our guests, send them here.

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Beware The Surface Calm

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Through the first 41 trading days of 2026, the S&P 500 traded within a 2.7% range — the narrowest start to any year since 1928. The first 41 days of 2008 spanned roughly 35%. In 2020, the range ran near 15%. Even the placid 1950s never opened this tight…

Beware The Surface Calm
America Catches a Bid

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Since the Iran attack began, global markets have been chaotic. Despite some wild intraday swings this week, the U.S. stock market has held up well. When bombs go flying, capital moves from frontier markets to safer shores. And even though the U.S. has been the one to aggressively move against Iran, capital that was going to foreign markets has shifted back to New York.

America Catches a Bid
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Ever since the re-election of Trump, the blue tribe has been searching for another event it could use to repeat its success with BLM. They thought they had finally found it with ICE (its enforcement actions produce numerous excesses it could exploit).

Igniting Minneapolis
China, Chokepoints and Gold

March 5, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

In normal times, the Chinese operate a quota system for refined product exports; this week, the throttle tightened. And even though they are Asia’s third-largest exporters of “energy,” the country still draws close to half its imported crude from the Gulf, including nearly all Iranian shipments.

China, Chokepoints and Gold