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Beneath the Surface

Is Crypto Now a Matter of National Security?

Loading ...Ian King

June 26, 2025 • 6 minute, 4 second read


Cryptocurrenciesdefense

Is Crypto Now a Matter of National Security?

“The Internet is the first thing that humanity has built that humanity doesn’t understand, the largest experiment in anarchy that we have ever had.”

– Eric Schmidt, former CEO of Google

June 26, 2025 — Over the weekend, the U.S. launched airstrikes on three nuclear sites in Iran, dealing massive damage to the country’s weapons infrastructure.

The strikes came after several days of escalating attacks between Israel and Iran, with missiles and explosives exchanged across multiple fronts.

But physical spaces aren’t the only places this war is being waged.

Last Monday, Iran’s largest crypto exchange, Nobitex, lost more than $100 million in a coordinated cyberattack that crippled trading and triggered a nationwide internet clampdown.

The hackers were reportedly affiliated with a group called “Predatory Sparrow.” They accused Nobitex of helping the country build nuclear weapons by skirting international sanctions and moving assets through crypto.

In other words, these hackers went after Iran’s digital infrastructure.

All evidence points to it being a politically motivated strike tied directly to the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran.

It also represents a new battlefront in today’s rapidly evolving military era.

And even though cyberattacks aren’t as visibly destructive as the bombings we’ve seen over the past week, they can still cause significant damage.

That’s certainly what happened in Iran.

Users were locked out of their funds. Transaction records were wiped. And the Iranian government was left scrambling to contain the damage.

This attack also exposed something bigger about crypto that I’ve been thinking about lately.

These days, crypto is more than just an asset class…

It has become a tool of national power that governments are racing to control.

Continued Below…

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Crypto as Infrastructure

Most countries are still trying to figure out how to best regulate crypto. And as we learned from last week’s attack, some countries are also figuring out how to weaponize it.

Here in the U.S., lawmakers are finally starting to draw up some important guardrails.

Last week, the Senate passed the GENIUS Act, a landmark bill that establishes clear federal guidelines for stablecoins.

It requires one-to-one reserve backing, mandatory audits and compliance with anti-money-laundering laws.

Simply put, for every stablecoin that represents a US dollar, there needs to be one held at a bank.

As I mentioned the day after the bill passed, this effectively gives a green light to bank-issued or institutionally managed stablecoins.

In other words, it’s an effort to bring the crypto dollar under the same roof as our traditional banking system.

This is the most serious bipartisan crypto legislation we’ve seen to date.

And while it doesn’t solve every regulatory gray area, it establishes a framework for stable, tokenized dollars that can function at scale.

It’s a great start.

And considering the Biden administration’s harsh crackdown on crypto, it represents a radical change in how Washington views crypto.

But the push to treat crypto as infrastructure is gaining traction well beyond Capitol Hill.

At least 16 states have introduced legislation to establish state-level bitcoin reserves, which would allow their treasuries to hold bitcoin alongside traditional reserves.

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While no state has made a large allocation yet, it’s clear that policymakers are starting to view bitcoin as a strategic hedge, especially against the risk of federal monetary mismanagement.

At the same time, crypto is becoming more entangled with our national politics.

The Trump Media team is reportedly backing a new stablecoin and preparing a crypto ETF tied to the president’s media properties.

Whatever your view on these projects, they show how far crypto has come from a fringe asset class to front and center in the national conversation.

Crypto is here to stay.

Which brings us back to Nobitex, the Iranian exchange that was hacked last week.

That platform had become a key part of Iran’s shadow economy. It was a way for everyday Iranians to bypass international sanctions and move assets outside the collapsing rial, their dollar equivalent.

It was also likely used by government-linked entities to acquire foreign goods and possibly fund illicit programs.

That’s exactly why it was targeted.

The Nobitex hack reveals what can happen when critical infrastructure is built on centralized platforms with poor security.

It’s a risk that isn’t unique to Iran.

In fact, it applies just as much to emerging U.S. projects.

The passage of the GENIUS Act is a step in the right direction. It brings much-needed clarity to stablecoins and shows that lawmakers are finally taking digital assets seriously.

But we need to go further.

If we want to control the rails of the coming financial era, then we have to view crypto as part of our national infrastructure.

The U.S. has an opportunity to lead in this space.

But only if we treat the digital realm like a new layer of national power. One that needs to be protected, regulated and defended when necessary.

Otherwise, we could end up on the wrong side of a technology we helped build.

And that would be a loss with consequences far beyond crypto.
Regards,

Ian King
Chief Strategist, Banyan Hill Publishing

P.S. from Addison: We talked to Ian this morning for Grey Swan Live! Our conversation was interesting for more than a few reasons, not least of which is that doing the Zoom sessions live lead to somewhat awkward moments.

Some are just user error on my part.

Others, let’s just say, happen when we get a glimpse into members’ own living rooms. Today’s recording will be up on the website soon, but we’ve had to do some editing…

We’re also changing our policy on how we record. Heh.

If you’re a paid up member you’ll want to hear crypto expert Ian King break down Tier One crypto assets v. tokenized securities v. stablecoins as a tool for financing the government debt and kicking the dollar’s reserve currency status down the road.

Our comprehensive discussion on the GENIUS Act shows us how the regulations needed for new opportunities in DeFi are on their way through Congress headed for the president’s desk.

Many of the cutting-edge opportunities we discussed haven’t even taken place yet, but are only months away.

We’re talking about what the co-founder of Coinbase calls a “once in a lifetime” platform shift that will mean equal opportunity for those who understand how quickly the monetary system is evolving.

After you get an overview from Ian, you can follow along with the themes we discussed in his free letter Daily Disruptor, right here.

Your thoughts? Please send them here: addison@greyswanfraternity.com


Grey Swan Forecast #6: China Annexes Taiwan — Without a Shot Fired

December 26, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Our forecast will feel obvious in hindsight and controversial in advance — the hallmark of a Grey Swan.

Most analysts we speak to are thinking in terms of the history of Western conflict. 

They expect full-frontal military engagement.

Beijing, from our modest perch, prefers resolution because resolution compounds its power. Why sacrifice the workshop of the world, when cajoling and bribery will do?

Taiwan will not fall.

It will merge.

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December 24, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Wars, technology races, and political upheavals — all of them rest on fiscal capacity.

In 2026, that capacity will tighten across the developed world simultaneously. Democracies will discover that generosity financed by debt carries conditions, whether voters approve of them or not.

Bond markets will not shout so much as clear their throats. Repeatedly.

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December 23, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Taken together, the seven Grey Swans of 2025 behaved less like isolated events and more like interlocking stories readers already recognize.

The year moved in phases. A sharp April selloff cleared leverage quickly. Policy shifted toward tax relief, lighter regulation, and renewed tolerance for liquidity. Innovations began to slowly dominate the marketplace conversation – from Dollar 2.0 digital assets to AI-powered applications in all manner of commercial enterprises, ranging from airline and hotel bookings to driverless taxis and robots. 

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2025: The Lens We Used — Fire, Transition, and What’s Next… The Boom!

December 22, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Back in April, when we published what we called the Trump Great Reset Strategy, we described the grand realignment we believed President Trump and his acolytes were embarking on in three phases.

At the time, it read like a conceptual map. As the months passed, it began to feel like a set of operating instructions written in advance of turbulence.

As you can expect, any grandiose plan would get all kinds of blowback… but this year exhibited all manner of Trump Derangement Syndrome on top of the difficulty of steering a sclerotic empire clear of the rocky shores.

The “phases” were never about optimism or pessimism. They were about sequencing — how stress surfaces, how systems adapt, and what must hold before confidence can regenerate. And in the end, what do we do with our money?!

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