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Beneath the Surface

Is Crypto Now a Matter of National Security?

Loading ...Ian King

June 26, 2025 • 6 minute, 4 second read


Cryptocurrenciesdefense

Is Crypto Now a Matter of National Security?

“The Internet is the first thing that humanity has built that humanity doesn’t understand, the largest experiment in anarchy that we have ever had.”

– Eric Schmidt, former CEO of Google

June 26, 2025 — Over the weekend, the U.S. launched airstrikes on three nuclear sites in Iran, dealing massive damage to the country’s weapons infrastructure.

The strikes came after several days of escalating attacks between Israel and Iran, with missiles and explosives exchanged across multiple fronts.

But physical spaces aren’t the only places this war is being waged.

Last Monday, Iran’s largest crypto exchange, Nobitex, lost more than $100 million in a coordinated cyberattack that crippled trading and triggered a nationwide internet clampdown.

The hackers were reportedly affiliated with a group called “Predatory Sparrow.” They accused Nobitex of helping the country build nuclear weapons by skirting international sanctions and moving assets through crypto.

In other words, these hackers went after Iran’s digital infrastructure.

All evidence points to it being a politically motivated strike tied directly to the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran.

It also represents a new battlefront in today’s rapidly evolving military era.

And even though cyberattacks aren’t as visibly destructive as the bombings we’ve seen over the past week, they can still cause significant damage.

That’s certainly what happened in Iran.

Users were locked out of their funds. Transaction records were wiped. And the Iranian government was left scrambling to contain the damage.

This attack also exposed something bigger about crypto that I’ve been thinking about lately.

These days, crypto is more than just an asset class…

It has become a tool of national power that governments are racing to control.

Continued Below…

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Crypto as Infrastructure

Most countries are still trying to figure out how to best regulate crypto. And as we learned from last week’s attack, some countries are also figuring out how to weaponize it.

Here in the U.S., lawmakers are finally starting to draw up some important guardrails.

Last week, the Senate passed the GENIUS Act, a landmark bill that establishes clear federal guidelines for stablecoins.

It requires one-to-one reserve backing, mandatory audits and compliance with anti-money-laundering laws.

Simply put, for every stablecoin that represents a US dollar, there needs to be one held at a bank.

As I mentioned the day after the bill passed, this effectively gives a green light to bank-issued or institutionally managed stablecoins.

In other words, it’s an effort to bring the crypto dollar under the same roof as our traditional banking system.

This is the most serious bipartisan crypto legislation we’ve seen to date.

And while it doesn’t solve every regulatory gray area, it establishes a framework for stable, tokenized dollars that can function at scale.

It’s a great start.

And considering the Biden administration’s harsh crackdown on crypto, it represents a radical change in how Washington views crypto.

But the push to treat crypto as infrastructure is gaining traction well beyond Capitol Hill.

At least 16 states have introduced legislation to establish state-level bitcoin reserves, which would allow their treasuries to hold bitcoin alongside traditional reserves.

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While no state has made a large allocation yet, it’s clear that policymakers are starting to view bitcoin as a strategic hedge, especially against the risk of federal monetary mismanagement.

At the same time, crypto is becoming more entangled with our national politics.

The Trump Media team is reportedly backing a new stablecoin and preparing a crypto ETF tied to the president’s media properties.

Whatever your view on these projects, they show how far crypto has come from a fringe asset class to front and center in the national conversation.

Crypto is here to stay.

Which brings us back to Nobitex, the Iranian exchange that was hacked last week.

That platform had become a key part of Iran’s shadow economy. It was a way for everyday Iranians to bypass international sanctions and move assets outside the collapsing rial, their dollar equivalent.

It was also likely used by government-linked entities to acquire foreign goods and possibly fund illicit programs.

That’s exactly why it was targeted.

The Nobitex hack reveals what can happen when critical infrastructure is built on centralized platforms with poor security.

It’s a risk that isn’t unique to Iran.

In fact, it applies just as much to emerging U.S. projects.

The passage of the GENIUS Act is a step in the right direction. It brings much-needed clarity to stablecoins and shows that lawmakers are finally taking digital assets seriously.

But we need to go further.

If we want to control the rails of the coming financial era, then we have to view crypto as part of our national infrastructure.

The U.S. has an opportunity to lead in this space.

But only if we treat the digital realm like a new layer of national power. One that needs to be protected, regulated and defended when necessary.

Otherwise, we could end up on the wrong side of a technology we helped build.

And that would be a loss with consequences far beyond crypto.
Regards,

Ian King
Chief Strategist, Banyan Hill Publishing

P.S. from Addison: We talked to Ian this morning for Grey Swan Live! Our conversation was interesting for more than a few reasons, not least of which is that doing the Zoom sessions live lead to somewhat awkward moments.

Some are just user error on my part.

Others, let’s just say, happen when we get a glimpse into members’ own living rooms. Today’s recording will be up on the website soon, but we’ve had to do some editing…

We’re also changing our policy on how we record. Heh.

If you’re a paid up member you’ll want to hear crypto expert Ian King break down Tier One crypto assets v. tokenized securities v. stablecoins as a tool for financing the government debt and kicking the dollar’s reserve currency status down the road.

Our comprehensive discussion on the GENIUS Act shows us how the regulations needed for new opportunities in DeFi are on their way through Congress headed for the president’s desk.

Many of the cutting-edge opportunities we discussed haven’t even taken place yet, but are only months away.

We’re talking about what the co-founder of Coinbase calls a “once in a lifetime” platform shift that will mean equal opportunity for those who understand how quickly the monetary system is evolving.

After you get an overview from Ian, you can follow along with the themes we discussed in his free letter Daily Disruptor, right here.

Your thoughts? Please send them here: addison@greyswanfraternity.com


The Debasement “Trade”

November 18, 2025 • Mark Jeftovic

Bitcoin isn’t a trade and trying to time it with chart patterns generally does not work.

I’ve never really felt like technical analysis carried much real predictive edge in general and when it comes to BTC, I’ve seen too many failed “death crosses” to change my opinion.

The one that just triggered in mid-November as bitcoin flirted with $90,000 is just the latest.

What really matters? It’s a monetary regime change – if market participants are trading anything it’s getting rid of a currency (“it’s the denominator, stupid”) for a store of value – and we’re seeing it in spades with Bitcoin and gold.

The Debasement “Trade”
The Cult of Stock Market Riches

November 18, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

White-collar hiring is, in fact, slowing. Engel’s Pause is taking hold of the jobs picture.

In the meantime, everyday Americans are rediscovering an ancient truth: there is wisdom in wearing steel-toed boots.

Jobs that struggle to attract bodies in boom times are now seeing stampedes of applicants.

– Georgia’s Department of Corrections: applications up 40%.

– The U.S. military: reached 2025 recruiting goals early.

– Waste management staffing: applications up 50%.

For now, economists call this “labor market tightness.” Anyone who has ever scrubbed a grease trap knows it by another name: fear.

The Cult of Stock Market Riches
Whales Buy the Bitcoin Dip

November 18, 2025 • Addison Wiggin

Bitcoin has historically weathered 30%+ corrections while still in a bull market. 

Global liquidity fears and lower odds of a Fed rate cut in December are driving bitcoin and other cryptos lower at present. 

As Andrew Zatlin described on Thursday’s Live! we can expect a series of stimulus efforts next year, ahead of the midterms, driving new liquidity. The $2,000 “tariff rebate” checks President Trump has been touting are but one example.

When higher liquidity hits the market – in whatever form it takes – today’s bitcoin buyers will be waiting.

Make like the whales, and use market selloffs and stimulus to your advantage.

Whales Buy the Bitcoin Dip
Private Credit’s Creditanstalt Moment

November 17, 2025 • Andrew Packer

The market seems to know something about private credit that we don’t. And in a big enough liquidity event for private credit, investors will have to sell off more liquid assets if they want capital.

That’s the danger private credit poses today, exactly at a time when rules are being eased to make it easier for retail investors like us to buy into this asset class.

I’m in the camp that this smells like a way to keep the party going by providing another source of liquidity – the passive investment flows from your regular 401(k) contributions. The smell takes on a sour note as this sector starts to falter.

Perhaps today’s selloff is simply a reaction to declining interest rates, the growth of private credit, and a few inevitable deals that have gone sour recently.

Private Credit’s Creditanstalt Moment