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Beneath the Surface

7 Grey Swan Predictions

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

January 1, 2025 • 40 second read


7 Grey Swan Predictions

Ironically or not, the thread that binds all of these Grey Swan events is a reliance on debt at all levels of society and a consumer culture that favors short-term gratification. Political violence is just a f’d up way of expressing dissatisfaction with a culture that values material goods over some kind of weird spiritualism. Both of the assailants in New Orleans and in Las Vegas were military and in financial distress.

Grey Swan #7: Debt Binge Ends

Grey Swan #6: Banks Go First

Grey Swan #5: BRICS Bucks Continue To Challenge the US Dollar

Grey Swan #4: The China Wild Card: Tariffs and Chips

Grey Swan #3: Death of the Middle Class

Grey Swan #2: Mutant AI and the Death of Free Speech

Grey Swan #1: Return of American Political Violence

Bonus Grey Swan: Rise of the American Police State


The Hormuz Disruption

April 6, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Inflation is proving more persistent than expected, as the Strait of Hormuz remains the center of global attention amid the ongoing Iran war.

The Hormuz Disruption
The Market’s Cheap Money Gets More Expensive

April 6, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

For over a decade, global financial markets depended on the “yen carry trade.” Now, soaring Japanese bond yields threaten global liquidity…

The Market’s Cheap Money Gets More Expensive
Don’t Be a Turkey

April 3, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Gold is an ideal hedge for protection against government foolishness and market volatility. Except… when it isn’t, like we’re seeing today.

Don’t Be a Turkey
Shattered Assumptions, Real Energy

April 2, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Politicians talk. Markets often discount any potential follow-through or just ignore them altogether. But Trump isn’t like other politicians.

Shattered Assumptions, Real Energy