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Beneath the Surface

7 Grey Swan Predictions

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

January 1, 2025 • 40 second read


7 Grey Swan Predictions

Ironically or not, the thread that binds all of these Grey Swan events is a reliance on debt at all levels of society and a consumer culture that favors short-term gratification. Political violence is just a f’d up way of expressing dissatisfaction with a culture that values material goods over some kind of weird spiritualism. Both of the assailants in New Orleans and in Las Vegas were military and in financial distress.

Grey Swan #7: Debt Binge Ends

Grey Swan #6: Banks Go First

Grey Swan #5: BRICS Bucks Continue To Challenge the US Dollar

Grey Swan #4: The China Wild Card: Tariffs and Chips

Grey Swan #3: Death of the Middle Class

Grey Swan #2: Mutant AI and the Death of Free Speech

Grey Swan #1: Return of American Political Violence

Bonus Grey Swan: Rise of the American Police State


Stealth Stimulus, Again

March 11, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet once swelled to such extremes that the institution technically went “bankrupt” in 2022 — an accounting oddity unimaginable to earlier central bankers. Now, it’s quietly growing again…

Stealth Stimulus, Again
Barrels, Boardrooms, and Beijing

March 10, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

From where things stand today, oil is off the peak, employment is making traders nervous, inflation is ticking back up and boardrooms are adjusting quickly behind the scenes…

Barrels, Boardrooms, and Beijing
It’s Not Oil or AI…

March 10, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

While oil and AI take the brunt of the blame for a poor February jobs report, the real biggest driver for both rising prices and slowing employment – and a compression in corporate profits – is flying under the radar…

It’s Not Oil or AI…
Oil’s Most Dramatic Move

March 9, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Oil prices opened significantly higher in overnight trading, following a weekend of news about shutdowns in Saudi Arabia and the bombing of Iranian oil infrastructure.

Oil’s Most Dramatic Move