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Beneath the Surface

7 Grey Swan Predictions

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

January 1, 2025 • 40 second read


7 Grey Swan Predictions

Ironically or not, the thread that binds all of these Grey Swan events is a reliance on debt at all levels of society and a consumer culture that favors short-term gratification. Political violence is just a f’d up way of expressing dissatisfaction with a culture that values material goods over some kind of weird spiritualism. Both of the assailants in New Orleans and in Las Vegas were military and in financial distress.

Grey Swan #7: Debt Binge Ends

Grey Swan #6: Banks Go First

Grey Swan #5: BRICS Bucks Continue To Challenge the US Dollar

Grey Swan #4: The China Wild Card: Tariffs and Chips

Grey Swan #3: Death of the Middle Class

Grey Swan #2: Mutant AI and the Death of Free Speech

Grey Swan #1: Return of American Political Violence

Bonus Grey Swan: Rise of the American Police State


Ceasefire Euphoria

April 9, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

As evidenced today, even a fragile ceasefire can make a huge impact. The danger isn’t the uptrend — it’s assuming the hard part is over…

Ceasefire Euphoria
The Debt Rolls On… and Must Roll Over

April 9, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

So far in 2026, a whopping $8 trillion in U.S. debt is due to “roll over” at shorter durations, and higher yields…

The Debt Rolls On… and Must Roll Over
War And The Geological Imperative

April 8, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The war is over — at least if you believe the internet. Victory laps are already being taken, but no one with actual authority got the memo…

War And The Geological Imperative
Apocalypse Postponed

April 8, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Despite dramatic rhetoric, stocks stayed flat — until a ceasefire confirmed what traders suspected all along: escalation wasn’t the endgame.

Apocalypse Postponed