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Beneath the Surface

7 Grey Swan Predictions

Addison WigginAddison Wiggin

January 1, 2025 • 40 second read


7 Grey Swan Predictions

Ironically or not, the thread that binds all of these Grey Swan events is a reliance on debt at all levels of society and a consumer culture that favors short-term gratification. Political violence is just a f’d up way of expressing dissatisfaction with a culture that values material goods over some kind of weird spiritualism. Both of the assailants in New Orleans and in Las Vegas were military and in financial distress.

Grey Swan #7: Debt Binge Ends

Grey Swan #6: Banks Go First

Grey Swan #5: BRICS Bucks Continue To Challenge the US Dollar

Grey Swan #4: The China Wild Card: Tariffs and Chips

Grey Swan #3: Death of the Middle Class

Grey Swan #2: Mutant AI and the Death of Free Speech

Grey Swan #1: Return of American Political Violence

Bonus Grey Swan: Rise of the American Police State


The Great Race for Capital

September 29, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

With bond yields at decade highs as the AI revolution is sucking up as much capital as possible, the race for capital remains a tight one…

The Great Race for Capital
He Who Should Really Fear AI

September 28, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

In a financial crisis, banks go first. Ironically, the next one may be triggered by the very speculative items driving the boom.

He Who Should Really Fear AI
Fed Governors Stick Their Collective Heads in the Sand

September 25, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

As the wheels start to come off the AI trade, central bankers are seeing no sign of an economic slowdown right now.

Fed Governors Stick Their Collective Heads in the Sand
IonQ’s Breakthrough Moment

September 24, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Quantum computing is moving from theory toward practical applications, creating a potentially significant new opportunity for investors…

IonQ’s Breakthrough Moment