GSI Banner
  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • My Account
  • Sign In
  • Join Now

  • Free Access
  • Contributors
  • Membership Levels
  • Grey Swan Forecasts
  • Video
  • Origins
  • Sponsors
  • Contact

© 2026 Grey Swan Investment Fraternity

  • Cookie Policy
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information
  • Whitelist Us
Ripple Effect

The Hidden Crack In the Labor Market

Andrew PackerAndrew Packer

July 18, 2025 • 1 minute, 14 second read


Labor Marketsecond jobs

The Hidden Crack In the Labor Market

The labor market continues to show strength.

That reflects a vibrant private sector, albeit one that is still processing tariff uncertainty. It also reflects the fact that President Trump’s government cuts haven’t shown up yet in the employment data.

But there’s another trend – one that shows some economic uncertainty right now: A soaring population of people holding second jobs.

Turn Your Images On

The number of Americans holding down two jobs has soared to a record high.

The 8.87 million Americans holding second jobs likely fall into two groups. The first are those who work a second job by choice – the so-called “side gig.”

The second group? Those who are struggling economically.

Given that the cumulative inflation of the past five years has topped 25% by the government’s own numbers, and that wages haven’t increased that much, the second category indicates a strain by American workers right now.

It’s another yellow flag that the economy isn’t in a sustainable trend – but we likely have more upside in the stock market before things get worse.

~ Andrew

P.S. Part of President Trump’s Great Reset plan is to increase private sector jobs in America. But that trend will also take time to play out. As long as inflation doesn’t surge significantly higher in the coming months, there’s a chance things could get better for consumers.

As always, your reader feedback is welcome: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com (We read all emails. Thanks in advance for your contribution.)


The Leverage To Watch

July 6, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

In today’s bull market, tense with the uncertainty of a midterm year, the debt load hedge funds are taking on is worth monitoring right now… 

The Leverage To Watch
🌏 Xi Jinping Doesn’t “Need” a War

July 3, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

China’s growing maritime pressure around Taiwan demonstrates economic leverage may be its preferred path to reshaping regional power dynamics.

🌏 Xi Jinping Doesn’t “Need” a War
💰 Warsh, Washington and the Yield Curve

July 2, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Rapid growth in Treasury bill issuance is tying federal borrowing costs more tightly to short-term interest rates set by the central bank…

💰 Warsh, Washington and the Yield Curve
The SpaceX IPO May Still Ground the Market

July 2, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

SpaceX has given a masterclass on what to expect from an IPO. But history shows a surge in IPO volume tends to mark near-term market caution.

The SpaceX IPO May Still Ground the Market