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Swan Dive

How to Ruin a Business Without Really Trying

Loading ...Andrew Packer

July 18, 2025 • 4 minute, 3 second read


Integrityinvesting principlesmanagement

How to Ruin a Business Without Really Trying

“It takes 20 years to build a reputation, and five minutes to ruin it,” Warren Buffett once warned.

Perhaps that’s why social media has been flooded with news headlines, coverage, and memes since Wednesday night.

That’s when the CEO of a tech startup called Astronomer was caught on the jumbotron camera at a Coldplay concert, enjoying what looked like an intimate moment with what appeared to be the company’s HR manager.

Not present? Their respective spouses.

Astronomer is one of many unicorn companies today. It’s privately held and valued at over $1 billion.

That means there are dozens of investors, from angel investors to hedge funds, who put their capital – and their reputation – on the line to invest.

The latest filing notes that Astronomer has about 370 employees.

Today, that’s all in jeopardy. The damage done to the company by the actions of two of its key employees is all that it took.

Turn Your Images On

Imagine finding out that your spouse is either cheating on you… or, worse – they’re a Coldplay fan.

It’s most likely that the event, which became a social media storm on top of all the other drama this week, will blow over. The CEO and HR manager will likely be allowed to step down.

The company will likely move on. But even as this viral moment fades into memory, the impact may endure for years – with future investors being more hesitant to invest.

Management: A Make-or-Break Factor In Investment Success

Management is just one facet of any investment decision.

But it’s a challenging one because it doesn’t appear on the balance sheet. It requires a deeper dive beyond the numbers.

Chances are, if you’re a momentum trader, you just watch the price and buy as long as it’s been going up.

Value investors look to determine the total sum of a company’s assets and discounted future earnings, and look to buy at a discount to that figure.

Most likely, you’re somewhere in between. You own some value plays. You trade some momentum stocks. Life is good.

But every once in a while, you’ll run into the Enrons of the world – the companies whose behavior leads to a material risk to your investment.

Sure, it helps to be diversified.

But at the end of the day what really matters is management.

Ultimately, a company CEO has obligations beyond making decisions in boardrooms. They need to behave in a way that reflects well for the company that they run 24/7. They need to do the right thing, even when nobody is looking.

We used to have a word for that. It’s called integrity.

Build Your Community With Integrity

Integrity is in short supply today.

Corporate CEOs have to chase quarterly results, and the temptation to cut corners is great. We’ll see that play out with earnings season over the next few weeks – look for companies with a suspicious number of “one-time” events – chances are they aren’t one-time.

Members of Congress use the information they get from committee meetings during their part-time hours to substantially outperform the stock market. Until that’s fixed with clearer legislation and term limits, at least investors can follow along, albeit belatedly.

Families are working harder and harder to make ends meet, having their purchasing power eroded by inflation, and by the machinations of a central bank concerned with propping up asset prices, not wages.

It’s tough. I get it. But that’s also why it’s worthwhile. The road less taken is a more challenging one, but a more satisfying one.

This is why it’s crucial as an investor to look at who you’re investing with. Someone with a good idea and integrity will help you grow your wealth far more than someone with a great idea but who has no integrity.

And why it’s important to keep some of your wealth in honest forms of money like gold and, yes, bitcoin.

And there’s another theme here as well: The truth. It always comes out. Not always on the jumbotron, or on the front page of a national newspaper. But if you always live your life under the assumption that anything you do will be headline news – or the darling of social media – you’ll focus on the positive ways that can turn out.

~ Andrew

P.S. Integrity, trust, truth – themes we’ve touched on this week as we look at the unfolding news – are qualities always worth watching.

Issues of corporate governance – and wild stories about CEOs and management teams running amok – aren’t unusual.

In fact, real-world examples of corporate malfeasance have become inspirational for the series of novels that I’ve written. But what happened at that Coldplay concert this week sounds stranger than fiction.

Your thoughts? Please send them here: addison@greyswanfraternity.com


Marin Katusa: Silver Miner Q4 Earnings Will Set Records

January 16, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Mining stocks amplify everything. First Majestic went from losing money to 45% margins without building anything new. They just held the line on costs while silver did the heavy lifting.

That cuts both ways. If silver drops hard, margins compress just as fast. Same leverage, opposite direction.

The miners with the lowest costs and cleanest balance sheets will hold up best in a pullback and capture the most upside if the deficit keeps grinding.

Marin Katusa: Silver Miner Q4 Earnings Will Set Records
“Dispersion Rising”

January 16, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Economists at Goldman Sachs said this morning they expect core inflation to finish the year around 2% even while GDP rises at a “surprisingly strong” 2.5% clip.

In our view, their inflation forecast is optimistic. Their GDP call? Modest.

The last time we pumped this much liquidity into the system — 2020 through 2022—the result was a manic asset bubble, runaway inflation, and an epic hangover at the Fed.

Goldman’s optimism has triggered a fresh round of bullish bets: cyclical stocks are rallying, “dispersion” in the S&P 500 is spiking, and the Fed is expected to cut interest rates twice before Jerome Powell gets kicked out of Washington at the end of his term on May 15.

“Dispersion Rising”
The Boom Behind the Data

January 16, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Anecdotally, we’re hearing stories of warehouses full of GPUs sitting unused for lack of energy to power them. It’s a natural feature of the heavy capital investment in new machines. The grid has to catch up!

While Trump’s great reset rolls on in 2026, keep an eye on modular nuclear reactors and increased demand for uranium, natural gas and related resources.

The Boom Behind the Data
The Economics of Precious Metals Stocks Today

January 15, 2026 • Shad Marquitz

These PM producers are literally printing the most ‘hard money’ that they ever have at these metals prices and record margins here at the midway point in Q4.

If there ever was a time for this sector to get overheated and frothy, this would be it… only that isn’t what we’ve seen playing out.

PM producers are still insanely profitable at even at current metals prices and should be far more valuable based on their margins, revenue generating potential, and their resources still in the ground.

The Economics of Precious Metals Stocks Today