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Ripple Effect

Stealth Correction

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

February 13, 2026 • 1 minute, 41 second read


mag 7valuation

Stealth Correction

Despite a stock market within 3% of its all-time highs, your portfolio likely feels a bigger pinch right now.

Fears of high spending on AI are leading to another pullback in the market’s biggest names. The Mag 7 stocks are collectively 10% off their peak, and now in correction territory:

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 AI spending fears push the Mag 7 stocks down into  to “correction” territory. (Source: Barchart)

“It’s tough to see the market making new all-time highs while tech stocks are coming down,” noted Andrew Packer to members of the Grey Swan Trading Fraternity this week. “As we’ve warned, the top seven stocks make up too much of the market.”

In the Grey Swan Trading Fraternity Mr. Packer added a put option trade to hedge against a market decline much like yesterday’s.

The market is throwing off more warning signs than usual right now. The all-clear sign? When bad news hits a market that’s been down and stocks trend higher anyway.

~ Addison

P.S. For the record, the names in the Grey Swan Model Portfolio continue to pay strong dividends outside roiling tech and we still like bitcoin and Dollar 2.0 digital asset plays. See the library of special reports in the members section on the website for more alternatives to tech stocks.

Yesterday, U.S. Global Investors founder Frank Holmes reviewed some of the trends today. Despite the short-term challenge to the stock market, economic fundamentals are in good shape right now.

Frank explained in detail how alternative data, like global airline demand, helps his team rebalance their portfolio of ETFs when market trends shift.

Washington is betting that crypto assets and stablecoins can create a bigger, more efficient market for U.S. debt, extending the dollar’s reserve-currency status.

Frank noted that the recent crash in crypto could easily reverse as regulatory conditions improve and market sentiment can return on a dime. And that many of the companies in our Dollar 2.0 wheelhouse are poised to benefit from that shift. We’ll have the replay up for members shortly.

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Igniting Minneapolis

March 5, 2026 • John Robb

Ever since the re-election of Trump, the blue tribe has been searching for another event it could use to repeat its success with BLM. They thought they had finally found it with ICE (its enforcement actions produce numerous excesses it could exploit).

Igniting Minneapolis
China, Chokepoints and Gold

March 5, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

In normal times, the Chinese operate a quota system for refined product exports; this week, the throttle tightened. And even though they are Asia’s third-largest exporters of “energy,” the country still draws close to half its imported crude from the Gulf, including nearly all Iranian shipments.

China, Chokepoints and Gold
Out Come The Private Credit Cockroaches

March 5, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Back in October 2025, following the collapse of firms like First Brands and Tricolor, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon warned of hidden risks in the $3 trillion private credit market. “When you see one cockroach, there are probably more,” Dimon said, suggesting that further defaults and “garbage lending” issues will likely emerge.

Out Come The Private Credit Cockroaches
The AI Middle

March 4, 2026 • John Robb

Given our country’s history, a new middle based on proprietary autonomous AIs would generate a level of prosperity, dynamism, and societal success an order of magnitude greater than any AI-enabled socioeconomic system without it. Decentralized economic superempowerment would also serve as a bulwark against a slide into the long night of AI-enabled tyranny. So, what do we need to do to make it inevitable rather than a possibility?

The AI Middle