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Beneath the Surface

Nuclear Test Case

Loading ...Addison Wiggin

June 2, 2025 • 5 minute, 28 second read


AIenergynuclear

Nuclear Test Case

“Patience; this is the greatest business asset. Wait for the right time to make your moves.”

–J. Paul Getty

June 2, 2025 — “In theory, there is no difference between theory and practice. In practice, there is.” — Yogi Berra

John George Trump was one of the 20th century’s great physicists. For 34 years, Trump led the High Voltage Research Laboratory at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), where his contributions to science left lasting legacies in medicine, nuclear physics, industry, and the military.

Through World War II, he was a critical contributor to the MIT Radiation Laboratory — the largest civilian scientific organization of the war — with a focus on advanced radar technology. Trump’s work on high-voltage generators was instrumental to the development of rotational radiation therapy, which eventually revolutionized cancer treatment. In 1983, President Ronald Reagan awarded him the National Medal of Science in Engineering Sciences for his many accomplishments.

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Ahead of his time | MIT Museum

The fact that the paternal uncle of the 47th president of the United States was a pioneer in the development of nuclear technology undoubtedly helps explain some of the latter’s consistent support for the industry. During Donald Trump’s first term, he worked hard to jump-start the revival of civilian nuclear energy, albeit with mixed success. After four years of contemplating his political comeback, Trump has utterly revolutionized America’s energy agenda.

Continued Below…

15,000 New Elon Musk “Supercomputers” Shipping to Americans EACH Day

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Elon Musk is shipping 15,000 “Supercomputers” from this factory to cities across America — every single day. Making it one of the largest tech rollouts in history. Yet one little-known chipmaker is providing the guts of these new Elon devices — and it trades for just $50 a share. Click here to discover this “backdoor” opportunity to Elon’s newest project right now.

Among the flurry of executive actions launched in his first months in office, President Trump laid waste to the domestic solar and wind industries, worked with Congress to gut the Inflation Reduction Act, and paved the way for a true U.S. nuclear renaissance by signing a series of momentous executive orders. Here’s how the excellent Substack, Coffee & Covid, described the whirlwind in late May:

“Together, Trump’s 2025 energy pivot—anchored by the nuclear executive orders and EPA’s rollback of greenhouse gas rules—is profoundly historic. Not just in scale, but in doctrinal ambition. It blows past any previous U.S. energy shift. It is the single biggest U.S. energy strategic realignment since, at least, the 1973 Oil Crisis, and the most aggressive pro-nuclear policy in world history.

No U.S. administration since the Manhattan Project has ever tried to reorganize the nation’s entire power ecosystem — supply chain, education, regulation, financing — all at once. Welcome to 2025. You’re witnessing the birth of a post-climate, post-renewables energy doctrine, where not carbon but grid dominance becomes the organizing principle of American power policy.

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No autopen needed | Getty

Several key architects of President Trump’s nuclear agenda are veterans of the shale revolution. Prior to his appointment as U.S. Energy Secretary, Chris Wright, himself an MIT graduate, was a serial energy entrepreneur, founding several companies that would achieve enormous commercial success in the shale basins of America. Wright also invested in and served on the board of Oklo Inc., a startup developing advanced nuclear power plants and small modular reactors. U.S. Secretary of the Interior Doug Burgum previously served as governor of North Dakota, home to the Bakken Formation, where he earned a reputation as one of the country’s most energy-friendly state leaders.

Among the numerous startups now racing to develop advanced nuclear technology in the U.S. are several backed by those who made their fortunes in shale development. Perhaps foremost among them is Texas-based Natura Resources, a privately held company founded by energy entrepreneur Doug Robison. Back in 2005, Robison and two others formed ExL Petroleum to focus on unconventional resource plays in the Permian Basin. In 2014, ExL partnered with the private equity firm Quantum Energy Partners, securing a $500 million capital infusion as part of the transaction. The public record suggests both sides are likely pleased with the deal.

In late May, we were afforded the opportunity to interview Robison as part of a private panel discussion, an offer we gladly accepted. Our interest — beyond Natura itself — was to gauge firsthand whether the current hype around nuclear energy will be translated into new reactors actually splitting atoms.

What we learned left us surprisingly optimistic.

Doomberg
Substack & Grey Swan

P.S. from Addison: “I just turned 74,” writes Grey Swan member Jack F., “and was amused by some of the feedback from writers whose parents are in their 70s.” Mr. F continues:

Some of the parents were afraid of the new technology, while some embraced it, as the ones who welcomed robots and self-driving cars. I’m with the second group. I look forward to technology assisting me in my later years and giving me a better quality of life.

I am a retired engineer who developed new technologies and made my living by understanding and applying them.

Like it or not, technological advancements will continue to improve our lives. Yes, technology can be misused for criminal or evil activities, but overall, we benefit from it.

No sooner had I written The Quickening Age of Intelligence than I got a glimpse of what the future may hold.

Some background: I’ve been admittedly obsessed with Artificial Intelligence for the better part of the last year.

First, as an investor concerned with what we perceive as an unhealthy amount of global capital getting “hoovered” up by a small selection of stocks listed on the NYSE.

Then, following a deep dive into large language models (LLMs) and less effective forecasting platforms, we spent a few months toying with ChatGPT, Claude and Perplexity.

This morning, it was their turn to toy with me. I was unceremoniously locked out of my accounts. It took me several hours to retrace my steps, identify what was going on, then rebuild.

The platform I’ve adopted is a kind of duct-tape and spittle operation of my own creation. But it’s astounding how quickly I’ve come to expect and count on its efficiencies.

Without access, even quickly diagnosing what had gone wrong was tedious and distracting.

It’s a beautiful day in the mid-Atlantic, 74 degrees, cloudless sunny sky, slight bay breeze. How annoying, I had to spend the morning thinking through the problem outside on a long walk with my corgi, Winston.

Your thoughts? Please send them here: addison@greyswanfraternity.com


The Hindenburg Five

February 24, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The stock market “rebalancing” is a polite way to put it. Energy and health care are getting a healthy boost. But tech hardware and software makers are still getting dressed down and have been asked to report to the principal’s office.

The great rotation underway has triggered a series of “Hindenburg Omens.” Five have occurred in recent weeks.

The Hindenburg Five
Piercing The Veil

February 23, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

The S&P 500 has traded in a 3.7% range over the past two months — less than half the 20-year median of 8.6%. One of the tightest ranges in modern history.

In trader parlance, the indexes are “flat,” a setup that often materializes before a sell-off at the top after a multi-year bull market.

Goldman Sachs told its own traders to be aware that institutional trading activity resembles a VIX reading near 35. Rather than a reading of 20, where the VIX has been trading over that same 2-month period.

The U.S. software ETF, IGV, tested its April 2025 lows last week and trades roughly 35% below its peak. The “SaaS-pocalypse” in software companies reflects the fear of Citrini’s 2028 scenario happening in real time.   That divergence now exceeds the spread seen at the peak of the Great Financial Crisis.

Under the surface, the “great rotation” we wrote about last week is threatening to widen.

Piercing The Veil
Oh. Canada

February 23, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

Despite its overly-educated 40-million-plus population, on a GDP per capita basis Canada is null. Collectively, the Great White North would rank as America’s second-lowest state, coming in above Mississippi, but below Alabama.

Oh. Canada
Matt Milner: SpaceX + xAI: What It Means for You

February 20, 2026 • Addison Wiggin

SpaceX is the most valuable private startup in history — and if its success continues, it might become the most valuable public company in history.

After all, as Musk famously said in 2023, “I have never lost money for those who invest in me and I am not starting now.”

For investors, SpaceX has been a wild, joyful ride — and now the journey continues!

Matt Milner: SpaceX + xAI: What It Means for You